Video. ‘Biggest wave’ in 50 years, says US political analyst Bruce Stokes

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Bruce Stokes, German Marshall Fund

Video.

‘Biggest wave’ in 50 years, says US political analyst Bruce Stokes

Updated:

“We have a long saying in the United States: it’s the economy, stupid.”

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Stefan Grobe speaks to Bruce Stokes, a Senior Fellow at the German Marshall Fund, on the recent US midterm election results.

He warns against over-interpreting Tuesday’s result, highlighting the tensions between the progressive and moderate wings of the Democrats in the upcoming Congress.

Stokes also notes that the upcoming Senate makeup will put some Republicans – particularly those standing for re-election – “in a bind”, given the likelihood of voting against popular social measures like food stamps, Medicaid (US state-funded healthcare support), or other healthcare subsidies.

Further, he notes that exit polling data showed that most voters thought “the economy was the principal issue,” with a 3:1 vote “against Trump” in the election.

On a potential Presidential candidate for 2028, Stokes says “the clear winner” from this election is Georgia senator John Ossoff, harking back to Obama’s election in the mid 2000s. However, he warns that it is “very early” at this point for speculation on the Democratic nomination, with almost 10 people “to throw their hat in the ring” in the coming weeks.

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