We’re down to the last seven days of this season, and there is a ton to track. The Western and Eastern conference standings are all over the place. The tanking has been out of control, with almost one-third of the league trying to lose. And we have all kinds of squads going on big runs and horrible stretches at the worst times.
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Today, we’ll give you everything to keep an eye on the rest of the regular season. We also have the extended version of the NBA Stock Report, a Monday staple in The Bounce. That’s our free NBA newsletter that you can sign up for and receive every day in your inbox.
NBA Stock Report Extended
📈 Houston Rockets (49-29). Most of the Rockets’ six-game winning streak has come against an easy schedule. However, Houston has needed the wins, and it now has a chance at home-court advantage in the first round. The Rockets had been such a mess in end-of-game situations and couldn’t string together enough wins to keep pace with the Los Angeles Lakers (pre-injuries) and Denver Nuggets. So this is a welcome stretch for a team that might finally build some momentum heading into the postseason.
Alperen Şengün has been on a heater. He’s averaging 21.8 points in 31.5 minutes during this stretch on 57.6/50.0/72.7 shooting splits. More importantly, his playmaking has been elite. He’s averaging 6.6 assists, which may not seem super impressive. However, he’s only turning it over 1.3 times per game. That’s 40 assists and just eight turnovers in those six games. Pretty good for a playmaking big man whom the defense is swarming when he puts it on the ground. Amen Thompson has 33 assists and just six turnovers during this time as well. Ime Udoka has to love his playmakers taking care of the ball like this. They’ll need to do it in the postseason.
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📉 The 65-game rule. Injuries to Cade Cunningham, Anthony Edwards and now Luka Dončić are putting a lot of pressure on the NBA’s 65-game threshold for awards. Adam Silver dismissed criticism of the rule, saying it’s having a great effect on stars playing in more games instead of sitting for load management. And it was really just affecting one case (Cunningham’s) after last month’s Board of Governors meeting. Now we have Edwards missing the cut because he came out after three minutes in the third game of the season with a hamstring injury. Dončić’s regular season is over at 64 games because of a hamstring injury. Cunningham has played in 61 games. Edwards will finish one game short because of the three-minute game.
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What is this solving? These guys have real injuries this season. Edwards dealt with a hamstring injury and a knee injury that cost him time. Cunningham’s lung collapsed. Dončić has dealt with various leg and hamstring issues. And they won’t be eligible for awards because the NBA is doubling down on this rule instead of fixing it. Really, they should abolish the rule, like when they quickly realized the new composite ball in 2006 was horrible. The NBA got its broadcast money and doesn’t need this dumb rule. Players want to play. Punish the teams when they sit them out sans legitimate injuries.
📈 Atlanta Hawks (45-33). These Hawks keep soaring! They’ve won four in a row and 18 of their last 20 games, as they try to secure the fifth seed in the East. Atlanta enters this week with arguably the toughest closing schedule (more about that below). The Hawks were 18-21 when they officially traded Trae Young to the Washington Wizards, essentially abandoning their direction since 2018. It was a major risk with their fan base because they only got CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert back in the deal. But the Hawks have been thriving since this change in culture, as they’ve become more versatile and a lot better defensively.
Atlanta is 27-12 since the trade. It was 18th in offense and 16th in defense before the trade. Granted, Young only played in 10 games for the Hawks this season. But once he was gone, they went a style more conducive to what Quin Snyder preferred. Since the trade, the Hawks have improved to 12th in offense and seventh in defense. That’s a dramatic turnaround, which also includes trading Kristaps Porziņģis to the Golden State Warriors in a deal that landed them Jonathan Kuminga. Now the Hawks might be the team outside of the top four in the East that teams want to play the least.
📉 Lakers (50-28). The Lakers have understandably fallen apart. They got smoked by 43 against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the game Dončić injured his hamstring. Austin Reaves also injured his oblique and is expected to miss four to six weeks. Without Reaves and Dončić for the foreseeable future, the Lakers have gone from people wondering if they’ll be sneaky dangerous in the postseason to wondering how much 41-year-old LeBron James can protect this team from just losing out.
L.A. dropped Sunday’s game to Cooper Flagg and the Dallas Mavericks. If it weren’t for their game against the Utah Jazz on the last day of the regular season, it would be fair to wonder if the Lakers will win another game before October. Dončić is headed to Europe for another opinion/treatment option on his hamstring. Is that something that can realistically be done to get him back in time? The Lakers have a little less than two weeks before the playoffs begin, and injury expert Jeff Stotts has the average Grade 2 hamstring strain at 35 days.
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📈 Portland Trail Blazers (40-38). The Blazers have now won four straight and eight of their last 10. They have climbed up to battle the LA Clippers for the eighth spot in the West for a chance to make their Play-In experience a double-elimination affair. Portland has had such a ridiculous up-and-down season, with its coach being federally indicted on the second day of the season and even a sale of the franchise to a new owner. The Blazers have had front-office suspensions and fines and so many injuries throughout this campaign. But as they’ve become healthy, interim coach Tiago Splitter has helped them put together a nice run.
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Defensive specialist Toumani Camara has turned into a good scorer in this run. He’s averaging 17.6 points on 56.1/50.0/85.7 shooting splits. Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson have been a great tandem at point guard, combining to hit 40 percent of their 3-pointers. Donovan Clingan has been a double-double and shot-blocking machine. The Blazers could actually find themselves healthy at the right time and ready to make the important step forward.
📉 Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32). The Wolves have lost four of their last five, and things could not look less encouraging. Edwards coming back from his knee injury didn’t right the ship. Granted, all of the Wolves’ losses are understandable. Their two losses to the Detroit Pistons came with both teams missing their star guards. Their loss to the Philadelphia 76ers came with Edwards playing pretty terribly against a mostly healthy Sixers squad. Then the Wolves’ loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday wasn’t that close. Edwards missed that game with some lingering knee pain. That can’t make anybody in Minneapolis feel good about the end of this season.
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It’s unlikely they’re going to fall into the Play-In, so maybe they just need to rest Edwards and make sure he’s right for the first round? The Wolves will probably end up playing the Denver Nuggets, who are peaking at the right time.
📉 Competitive basketball. On Friday, we may have seen the worst full slate of NBA games in any regular season. There were eight games that night, clearing the way as much as possible for the men’s Final Four on Saturday and Monday. The only game that ended in a single-digit margin was the Sacramento Kings’ 117-113 win over the New Orleans Pelicans. The next closest was the Orlando Magic’s 128-117 victory over the Mavs with Flagg going for 51. But the average margin of victory that night was 24.4 points. It was the biggest margin of victory on any day with at least eight games in NBA history. Better fix that tanking issue properly.
Week Ahead: What’s at stake
We have one week left in the 2025-26 regular season, and everything is counting down toward Sunday when all 30 teams are going to play in one final Gamemaggedon to settle the final standings. The No. 1 seed in the East is set (congrats to the Pistons!). The Play-In teams are also set, with 10 lottery teams officially eliminated.
This is everything else you’ll need to know to follow this final week.
East 2-4 seeding
Situation: The Boston Celtics are three games ahead of the New York Knicks and four games ahead of the Cleveland Cavaliers.
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The Celtics have all but locked up the No. 2 seed in the East. They just need to win two of their final four games, and one of them includes the Knicks. New York must win that game to close the gap while also taking the tiebreaker for the season series (it’s currently 2-1 against Boston with a better division record). The Knicks are still fighting off the Cavs for the No. 3 seed, unless there’s some galaxy-brain scheming going on in which they believe a second-round series against Detroit is more advantageous than a second-round series against Boston. Maybe then the Knicks mess with “the basketball gods” to drop down to fourth.
- Celtics (53-25) remaining games: versus Hornets, at Knicks, versus Pelicans, versus Magic
- Knicks (50-28) remaining games: at Hawks, versus Celtics, versus Raptors, versus Hornets
- Cavs (49-29) remaining games: at Grizzlies, versus Hawks, at Hawks, versus Wizards
Who holds the tiebreakers? The Knicks currently hold a tiebreaker over Boston (2-1) with one to play and have a better division record for the next tiebreaker. New York also owns the tiebreaker over Cleveland (2-1).
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East 5-10 seeding
Situation: Atlanta is two games ahead of Philadelphia for fifth. Philadelphia enters Monday tied with Toronto for sixth but owns the tiebreaker (division record). Toronto is a half-game ahead of Charlotte for seventh. Charlotte is a half-game ahead of Orlando for eighth. Orlando is one game ahead of the Miami Heat for ninth.
This is going to be a photo finish to determine who gets into the playoffs and who has to go through the Play-In gauntlet. The East Play-In has historically been mediocre. But this year, all four teams are good and interesting. The Hawks have a tough finishing schedule, and the Sixers could close the gap thanks to an easy end to their season. But Atlanta has been awesome for about two months, so it can probably survive. Toronto has to take care of business at least one game against Miami, but it should be in a good position to put pressure on the sixth spot.
- Hawks (45-33) remaining games: versus Knicks, at Cavs, versus Cavs, at Heat
- 76ers (43-35) remaining games: at Spurs, at Rockets, at Pacers, versus Bucks
- Raptors (43-35) remaining games: versus Heat, versus Heat, at Knicks, versus Nets
- Hornets (43-36) remaining games: at Celtics, versus Pistons, at Knicks
- Magic (42-36) remaining games: versus Pistons, versus Wolves, at Bulls, at Celtics
- Heat (41-37) remaining games: at Raptors, at Raptors, at Wizards, versus Hawks
Who holds the tiebreakers? John Hollinger had the best breakdown of some ridiculous possibilities with these six. But let’s try to fill in some gaps here.
Order of tiebreaker with three or more teams tied: Division winner –> record among all teams against one another –> division record (if all in the same division) –> conference record –> better record among playoff eligible teams –> point differential
- Atlanta: 4-0 versus Philadelphia | 0-4 versus Toronto | 1-3 versus Charlotte | 4-0 versus Orlando | 1-2 versus Miami (one left)
- Philadelphia: 0-4 versus Atlanta | 2-2 versus Toronto | 2-1 versus Charlotte | 2-1 versus Orlando | 1-2 versus Miami
- Toronto: 4-0 versus Atlanta | 2-2 versus Philadelphia | 2-2 versus Charlotte | 2-1 versus Orlando | 2-0 versus Miami (two left)
- Charlotte: 3-1 versus Atlanta | 1-2 versus Philadelphia | 2-2 versus Toronto | 3-1 versus Orlando | 1-3 versus Miami
- Orlando: 0-4 versus Atlanta | 1-2 versus Philadelphia | 1-2 versus Toronto | 1-3 versus Charlotte | 5-0 versus Miami
- Miami: 2-1 versus Atlanta (one left) | 2-1 versus Philadelphia | 0-2 versus Toronto (two left) | 3-1 versus Charlotte | 0-5 versus Orlando
West 1-2 seeding
Situation: The Thunder are three games ahead of the San Antonio Spurs for first in the West.
The Thunder just have to win two games or have the Spurs lose one game this week to clinch the top seed. They should be able to lock that up in the first two games and then rest their guys. This one should be all but done.
- Thunder (62-16) remaining games: at Lakers, at Clippers, at Nuggets, versus Suns
- Spurs (59-19) remaining games: versus Sixers, versus Blazers, versus Mavs, versus Nuggets
Who holds the tiebreakers? The Spurs hold the tiebreaker over the Thunder with a 4-1 season series record.
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West 3-6 seeding
Situation: The Lakers and Nuggets are tied for third in the West, but the Lakers hold the tiebreaker. That pushes the Nuggets to fourth right now. The Rockets are one game behind Denver for fourth. Minnesota is three games behind Houston for fifth. Minnesota is three games ahead of the Phoenix Suns for sixth, but we’ll keep the Suns relegated to the Play-In section. Minnesota needs to win two games or have Phoenix lose one game to clinch a top-six spot.
The Lakers’ injuries have completely changed the way this quartet looks. Now everybody should be angling to match up with the Lakers in the first round. Denver should be able to climb into the third spot. The Lakers cannot drop to sixth because they own the tiebreaker over Minnesota, so the worst they can do is fifth. Houston can get up to third, but it doesn’t have the tiebreaker against Denver. The Wolves can only hold a tiebreaker against Houston.
- Lakers (50-28) remaining games: versus Thunder, at Warriors, versus Suns, versus Jazz
- Nuggets (50-28) remaining games: versus Blazers, versus Grizzlies, versus Thunder, at Spurs
- Rockets (49-29) remaining games: at Suns, versus Sixers, versus Wolves, versus Grizzlies
- Wolves (46-32) remaining games: at Pacers, at Magic, at Rockets, versus Pelicans
Who holds the tiebreakers? It’s not quite as complicated as the “Mid-6” in the East, but let’s break it down.
- Lakers: 2-1 versus Denver | 2-1 versus Houston | 3-0 versus Minnesota
- Nuggets: 1-2 versus Lakers | 3-1 versus Houston | 3-1 versus Minnesota
- Rockets: 1-2 versus Lakers | 1-3 versus Denver | 1-1 versus Minnesota (one left)
- Wolves: 0-3 versus Lakers | 1-3 versus Denver | 1-1 versus Houston (one left)
Western Conference Play-In positioning:
Situation: The Suns have a three-game lead over the Blazers and Clippers for seventh. The Clippers and Blazers are tied for eighth, but the Clippers currently hold the tiebreaker over Portland. The Warriors are three games back of LA and Portland for ninth.
The Suns should be safe in the seventh spot and likely won’t move up to sixth. The Warriors aren’t likely to move up at all and are nearly locked into 10th in the West. So this really comes down to whether the Blazers can finish above the Clippers.
- Suns (43-35) remaining games: versus Rockets, versus Mavs, at Lakers, at Thunder
- Clippers (40-38) remaining games: versus Mavs, versus Thunder, at Blazers, versus Warriors
- Blazers (40-38) remaining games: at Nuggets, at Spurs, versus Clippers, versus Kings
- Warriors (36-42) remaining games: versus Kings, versus Lakers, at Kings, at Clippers
Who holds the tiebreakers? The Suns hold the tiebreaker over the Blazers (2-1 season series) and the Clippers (2-2 season series and would either win the division-record or conference-record tiebreaker). The Clippers have a 2-1 season series lead on the Blazers with one game to play. If they lose that game, they’ll lose the tiebreaker due to conference record.
Tanking — and the Pelicans!
Situation: We have to flip the standings for how we view this. We’ve lumped in all the bottom 10 teams for this section.
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The Milwaukee Bucks play the Brooklyn Nets twice, so they’ll need to tank hard to have a chance to catch the Chicago Bulls. However, Chicago plays the Washington Wizards twice, so maybe this potential tie between them is still on the table? The biggest change/showdown that games may determine in this grouping is the game between the Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn this week.
- Bucks (31-47) remaining games: at Nets, at Pistons, versus Nets, at 76ers
- Bulls (29-49) remaining games: at Wizards, at Wizards, versus Magic, at Mavs
- Grizzlies (25-53) remaining games: versus Cavs, at Nuggets, at Jazz, at Rockets
- Mavericks (25-53) remaining games: at Clippers, at Suns, at Spurs, versus Bulls
- Pelicans (25-54) remaining games: versus Jazz, at Celtics, at Wolves
- Kings (21-57) remaining games: at Warriors, versus Warriors, at Blazers
- Jazz (21-58) remaining games: at Pelicans, versus Grizzlies, at Lakers
- Nets (19-59) remaining games: versus Bucks, versus Pacers, at Bucks, at Raptors
- Pacers (18-60) remaining games: versus Wolves, at Nets, versus 76ers, versus Pistons
- Wizards (17-61) remaining games: versus Bulls, versus Bulls, at Heat, versus Cavs
Tiebreakers do not apply to lottery slots. The NBA flips a coin between the teams to decide it.