{"id":488002,"date":"2025-01-17T07:26:09","date_gmt":"2025-01-17T04:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=488002"},"modified":"2025-01-17T07:26:09","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T04:26:09","slug":"cresterea-economica-a-chinei-scade-la-5-in-2024-una-dintre-cele-mai-scazute-rate-din-ultimele-trei-decenii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=488002","title":{"rendered":"Cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 a Chinei scade la 5% \u00een 2024, una dintre cele mai sc\u0103zute rate din ultimele trei decenii"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-content\">\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">China a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 de 5% \u00een 2024, cea mai sc\u0103zut\u0103 rat\u0103 din ultimele trei decenii \u00een afara perioadei Covid. Beijingul \u00ee\u0219i fixase ca obiectiv o cre\u0219tere a produsului s\u0103u intern brut (PIB) de \u201eaproximativ 5%\u201d, dup\u0103 o cre\u0219tere de 5,2% \u00een 2023, pe fondul unei crize persistente \u00een sectorul imobiliar, al unui consum intern \u00een continu\u0103 \u00eencetinire \u0219i al tensiunilor comerciale cu Statele Unite \u0219i Uniunea European\u0103, scrie <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/flash-eco\/chine-la-croissance-economique-tombe-a-5-en-2024-l-un-des-plus-faibles-taux-en-trois-decennies-20250117\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Le Figaro<\/a>. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">\u00cen 2024, PIB-ul Chinei a ajuns la 134.908 miliarde de yuani (17.867 miliarde de euro), potrivit estim\u0103rilor oficiale ale Biroului Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103 (BNS) publicate vineri. China se lupt\u0103 s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i revin\u0103 dup\u0103 o grav\u0103 criz\u0103 imobiliar\u0103, care afecteaz\u0103 moralul consumatorilor \u0219i finan\u021bele autorit\u0103\u021bilor locale. \u00cen acest tablou sumbru, exporturile gigantului asiatic au atins un nivel record de aproximativ 3.400 de miliarde de euro \u00een 2024, \u00een cre\u0219tere cu 7,1% de la an la an, potrivit datelor oficiale publicate luni, 13 ianuarie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">Cre\u0219terea importurilor a condus, de asemenea, la o accelerare a produc\u021biei industriale, care a crescut cu 5,8% anul trecut, comparativ cu 4,6% \u00een 2023. \u00cen schimb, v\u00e2nz\u0103rile cu am\u0103nuntul au \u00eencetinit brusc, cresc\u00e2nd cu 3,5% anul trecut, comparativ cu o cre\u0219tere de peste 7% \u00een 2023: o \u00eencetinire drastic\u0103 care semnaleaz\u0103 faptul c\u0103 consumul este \u00eenc\u0103 sub presiune \u00eentr-un moment \u00een care gospod\u0103riile \u00eengrijorate prefer\u0103 s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i am\u00e2ne achizi\u021biile.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><strong><span class=\"s1\">Semnale \u201emixte\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">Aceste cifre transmit un mesaj \u201emixt\u201d, potrivit lui Zhiwei Zhang, economist la Pinpoint Asset Management. \u201eSchimbarea direc\u021biei politicii (economice) \u00een septembrie a permis stabilizarea economiei \u00een trimestrul al patrulea\u201d, cu o cre\u0219tere a PIB de 5,4% \u00een ultimele trei luni ale anului, dar \u201crata \u0219omajului a crescut peste 5%\u201d, a observat expertul. Atmosfera gri de pe pia\u021ba for\u021bei de munc\u0103 risc\u0103 s\u0103 greveze \u0219i mai mult asupra consumului. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">Norii se adun\u0103 \u0219i asupra comer\u021bului exterior, motorul cre\u0219terii sale economice, care at\u00e2rn\u0103 de tarifele ridicate promise de pre\u0219edintele ales al SUA, Donald Trump. \u201eEfectele negative datorate mediului extern sunt \u00een cre\u0219tere, cererea intern\u0103 este insuficient\u0103, unele companii \u00eent\u00e2mpin\u0103 dificult\u0103\u021bi \u00een produc\u021bia \u0219i opera\u021biunile lor, iar economia continu\u0103 s\u0103 se confrunte cu obstacole \u0219i provoc\u0103ri\u201d, a recunoscut vineri BNS. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><strong><span class=\"s1\">\u201eCriza de \u00eencredere\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">Este adev\u0103rat c\u0103 anul trecut Beijingul \u0219i-a intensificat m\u0103surile de sprijin, cele mai masive din ultimii ani, pentru a \u00eencuraja milioane de consumatori s\u0103 cheltuiasc\u0103. Autorit\u0103\u021bile au promis s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i flexibilizeze \u0219i mai mult politica fiscal\u0103 \u00een 2025 \u0219i s\u0103 continue m\u0103surile de sprijinire a consumatorilor, cum ar fi recenta prelungire a subven\u021biilor care permit gospod\u0103riilor s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i \u00eenlocuiasc\u0103 aparatele electrocasnice. \u00cen ultimele s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, banca central\u0103 chinez\u0103 a indicat c\u0103 ia \u00een considerare noi reduceri ale ratelor sale cheie \u00een 2025. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">\u00cens\u0103, potrivit anali\u0219tilor, vor fi necesare eforturi suplimentare pentru a stimula consumul, \u00een special av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere perspectivele mai incerte pentru comer\u021bul exterior. \u201eDoar sprijinul politicii monetare nu va fi probabil suficient pentru a redresa economia\u201d, a declarat pentru AFP Harry Murphy Cruise de la Moody\u2019s Analytics. \u201eChina sufer\u0103 de o criz\u0103 de \u00eencredere, nu de credit, familiile \u0219i \u00eentreprinderile nu au suficient\u0103 \u00eencredere \u00een economie pentru a \u00eemprumuta, chiar dac\u0103 este foarte ieftin\u201d, a ad\u0103ugat el. Zhiwei Zhang este de acord: \u201eEste nevoie de un stimulent politic semnificativ \u0219i de durat\u0103 pentru a consolida impulsul economic \u0219i a sprijini redresarea\u201d. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">Cu toate acestea, eforturile guvernului \u00eenc\u0103 nu reu\u0219esc s\u0103 se traduc\u0103 printr-o relansare a consumului: China a sc\u0103pat la limit\u0103 de defla\u021bie \u00een decembrie, cu pre\u021buri care abia au crescut, semn al unei cereri \u00een continuare slabe. \u00cen fa\u021ba acestor provoc\u0103ri, grupul de exper\u021bi intervieva\u021bi de AFP preconizeaz\u0103 o nou\u0103 \u00eencetinire a cre\u0219terii chineze la +4,4% \u00een 2025, cu riscul ca aceasta s\u0103 cad\u0103 sub 4% \u00een 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-15\">\n<h4>Urm\u0103re\u0219te mai jos produc\u021biile video ale G4Media:<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/www.g4media.ro\/cresterea-economica-a-chinei-scade-la-5-in-2024-una-dintre-cele-mai-scazute-rate-din-ultimele-trei-decenii.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 de 5% \u00een 2024, cea mai sc\u0103zut\u0103 rat\u0103 din ultimele trei decenii \u00een afara perioadei Covid. Beijingul \u00ee\u0219i fixase ca obiectiv o cre\u0219tere a produsului s\u0103u intern brut (PIB) de \u201eaproximativ 5%\u201d, dup\u0103 o cre\u0219tere de 5,2% \u00een 2023, pe fondul unei crize persistente \u00een sectorul imobiliar, al unui [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":488003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[24],"class_list":["post-488002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-g4media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=488002"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488002\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/488003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=488002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=488002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=488002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}