{"id":473125,"date":"2024-12-20T12:00:33","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T09:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=473125"},"modified":"2024-12-20T12:00:33","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T09:00:33","slug":"datoria-frantei-atinge-nivelul-stratosferic-de-3-303-miliarde-de-euro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=473125","title":{"rendered":"Datoria Fran\u021bei atinge nivelul stratosferic de 3.303 miliarde de euro"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-content\">\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Datoria public\u0103 a Fran\u021bei a atins 3.303 miliarde de euro \u00een al treilea trimestru din 2024, adic\u0103 113,7% din PIB, potrivit estim\u0103rilor INSEE publicate vineri. Acesta este cel mai ridicat nivel atins vreodat\u0103 \u00een termeni absolu\u021bi \u0219i cel mai ridicat de la \u00eenceputul anului 2022 \u00een termeni procentuali, scrie <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/conjoncture\/la-dette-de-la-france-atteint-le-niveau-stratospherique-de-3303-milliards-d-euros-20241220\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Le Figaro<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">\u00cen ultimele trei luni, datoria a crescut cu \u201e71,7 miliarde de euro\u201d, comparativ cu 69 de miliarde de euro \u00een al doilea trimestru, potrivit Insee. Aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere s-a datorat \u00een principal datoriei publice, care a crescut cu aproape 60 de miliarde de euro, potrivit statisticii na\u021bionale. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, a crescut \u0219i datoria la asigur\u0103rile sociale, precum \u0219i datoria administra\u021biilor locale, de\u0219i \u201eu\u0219or\u201d. Reamintim c\u0103, \u00een primul trimestru, aceasta crescuse deja la 3.159,7 miliarde de euro, apoi la 3.228,4 miliarde de euro \u00een al doilea, reprezent\u00e2nd 112% din PIB.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Acest lucru nu este deloc surprinz\u0103tor, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere cre\u0219terea fulminant\u0103 \u00eenregistrat\u0103 de la \u00eenceputul anilor 2000. De la 1.082 de miliarde de euro la \u00eenceputul anului 2004, datoria Fran\u021bei s-a triplat \u00een dou\u0103zeci de ani. Iar ritmul se accelereaz\u0103: \u00een doar \u0219apte ani sub pre\u0219edin\u021bia lui Emmanuel Macron, aceasta a crescut cu peste 1.000 de miliarde de euro. Criza Covid \u0219i abordarea \u201ecu orice pre\u021b\u201d \u0219i-au spus cuv\u00e2ntul, desigur, dar Fran\u021ba este singura \u021bar\u0103 din Europa care nu \u0219i-a redus datoria de atunci, a avertizat guvernatorul Banque de France, Fran\u00e7ois Villeroy de Galhau. Doar Grecia \u0219i Italia stau mai prost, atunci c\u00e2nd m\u0103sur\u0103m datoria \u00een raport cu PIB-ul, potrivit datelor Eurostat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><strong><span class=\"s1\">Va atinge datoria v\u00e2rful \u00een 2027?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Ca urmare, printre altele, a cre\u0219terii poverii datoriei, finan\u021bele publice continu\u0103 s\u0103 scape de sub control. Depinde de noul guvern s\u0103 limiteze deficitul public p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2025, c\u00e2nd acesta se va ridica la 162,4 miliarde de euro \u00een 2024, adic\u0103 6,2% din PIB. Interpelat pe aceast\u0103 tem\u0103 joi seara pe France 2, Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou a declarat c\u0103 dore\u0219te \u201eun plan de reechilibrare a finan\u021belor publice\u201d pe o perioad\u0103 de zece ani, cit\u00e2nd o recomandare anterioar\u0103 pe care a f\u0103cut-o \u00een calitate de \u00cenalt Comisar pentru planificare. \u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te obiectivul de revenire a deficitului la 5% stabilit de predecesorul s\u0103u Michel Barnier, Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou a considerat c\u0103 \u201eputem g\u0103si un echilibru care s\u0103 respecte planul \u0219i care s\u0103 fie de asemenea (\u2026) sustenabil\u201d, afirm\u00e2nd totodat\u0103 c\u0103 \u201enu ar dori\u201d s\u0103 se ajung\u0103 la 6%, o \u201ezon\u0103\u201d unanim considerat\u0103 periculoas\u0103 pentru credibilitatea Fran\u021bei.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">P\u00e2n\u0103 c\u00e2nd vom \u0219ti care va fi \u021binta de deficit, dac\u0103 proiec\u021biile guvernului precedent, validate de Comisia European\u0103, ar deveni realitate, Fran\u021ba ar cobor\u00ee din nou sub pragul de 3% \u00een 2029. Dar traiectoria datoriei nu ar fi corectat\u0103 at\u00e2t de repede. Potrivit INSEE, aceasta ar urma s\u0103 creasc\u0103 la 112,8% \u00een 2024, \u00eenainte de a atinge un v\u00e2rf de 116,5% \u00een 2027. Apoi, dac\u0103 nu exist\u0103 erori de judecat\u0103, ar trebui s\u0103 \u00eenceap\u0103 s\u0103 scad\u0103, revenind la 115,8% \u00een 2029. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Fran\u021ba, care p\u00e2n\u0103 acum a putut s\u0103 se foloseasc\u0103 de greutatea sa economic\u0103 \u00een cadrul zonei euro pentru a evita o cur\u0103 de austeritate, nu mai are de ales. Agen\u021biile de rating o a\u0219teapt\u0103 la cotitur\u0103. Dac\u0103 nu se angajeaz\u0103 efectiv pe calea asan\u0103rii finan\u021belor sale pe termen scurt \u0219i mediu, ratingul datoriei sale va fi retrogradat de la AA- la A+. Deoarece unor investitori li se va interzice s\u0103 de\u021bin\u0103 obliga\u021biuni sub acest prag, se va produce o sc\u0103dere mecanic\u0103 a cererii, ceea ce va \u00eengreuna \u0219i mai mult povara datoriei. Agence France Tr\u00e9sor trebuie deja s\u0103 \u00eemprumute 300 de miliarde de euro p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2025, o sum\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 precedent.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-15\">\n<div class=\"ai-adb-hide\" data-ai-debug=\"15\">\n<h4>Urm\u0103re\u0219te mai jos produc\u021biile video ale G4Media:<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/www.g4media.ro\/datoria-frantei-atinge-nivelul-stratosferic-de-3-303-miliarde-de-euro.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Datoria public\u0103 a Fran\u021bei a atins 3.303 miliarde de euro \u00een al treilea trimestru din 2024, adic\u0103 113,7% din PIB, potrivit estim\u0103rilor INSEE publicate vineri. Acesta este cel mai ridicat nivel atins vreodat\u0103 \u00een termeni absolu\u021bi \u0219i cel mai ridicat de la \u00eenceputul anului 2022 \u00een termeni procentuali, scrie Le Figaro. \u00cen ultimele trei luni, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":473126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[24],"class_list":["post-473125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-g4media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/473125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=473125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/473125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/473126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=473125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=473125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=473125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}