{"id":469867,"date":"2024-12-16T16:11:12","date_gmt":"2024-12-16T13:11:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=469867"},"modified":"2024-12-16T16:11:12","modified_gmt":"2024-12-16T13:11:12","slug":"ce-sanse-are-nicusor-dan-la-presedintia-romaniei-sociolog-electoratul-psd-nu-l-ar-vota","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=469867","title":{"rendered":"Ce \u0219anse are Nicu\u0219or Dan la pre\u0219edin\u021bia Rom\u00e2niei. Sociolog: \u201eElectoratul PSD nu l-ar vota\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Analistul politic Valeriu Turcan \u0219i sociologul Vladimir Iona\u0219 ofer\u0103 perspective diferite asupra candidaturii lui Nicu\u0219or Dan, subliniind at\u00e2t oportunit\u0103\u021bile c\u00e2t \u0219i provoc\u0103rile politice pe care le va \u00eent\u00e2mpina \u00een drumul s\u0103u c\u0103tre Cotroceni.<\/p>\n<p>Valeriu Turcan, analist politic, fost consilier preziden\u021bial \u0219i profesor de comunicare politic\u0103 \u0219i comunicare de criz\u0103 la Universitatea Bucure\u0219ti, consider\u0103 c\u0103 Nicu\u0219or Dan utilizeaz\u0103 oportunitatea politic\u0103 existent\u0103 pentru a-\u0219i construi o campanie preziden\u021bial\u0103. <i>\u201eNicu\u0219or Dan folose\u0219te o oportunitate existent\u0103, probabil c\u0103 vede lipsa de coordonare \u0219i orgoliile \u0219i \u0219i-a f\u0103cut socoteala c\u0103 poate fructifica acest contex<\/i>t,\u201d afirm\u0103 specialistul. Potrivit acestuia, Nicu\u0219or Dan observ\u0103 o fereastr\u0103 politic\u0103 \u00een care \u00ee\u0219i poate construi campania, baz\u00e2ndu-se pe sondajele de opinie care sugereaz\u0103 un \u201eculoar\u201d favorabil.<\/p>\n<p>Totu\u0219i, Turcan subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 succesul candidatului nu depinde doar de oportunit\u0103\u021bile politice, ci \u0219i de mai mul\u021bi factori esen\u021biali: <i>\u201e\u0218ansele depind de mai mul\u021bi factori, \u00eentre care capacitatea de a coagula o coali\u021bie de sprijin, campania propriu-zis\u0103 \u0219i evolu\u021bia evenimentelor.\u201d<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Sociologul Vladimir Iona\u0219 are o viziune mai rezervat\u0103 cu privire la \u0219ansele lui Nicu\u0219or Dan, subliniind dificult\u0103\u021bile unei candidaturi independente. <i>\u201e\u00cen calitate de independent \u0219ansele sunt 0,\u201d<\/i> spune Iona\u0219, explic\u00e2nd c\u0103 un astfel de candidat trebuie s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 sprijinul unor partide mari pentru a avea \u0219anse reale la c\u00e2\u0219tig. <i>\u201eDepinde foarte mult dac\u0103 a avut \u00een prealabil discu\u021bii, negocieri cu anumite partide \u0219i depinde foarte mult de cum se vor concretiza aceste discu\u021bii,\u201d<\/i> adaug\u0103 acesta.<\/p>\n<p>Sociologul continu\u0103 prin a sublinia importan\u021ba sus\u021binerii partidelor mari, explic\u00e2nd c\u0103 PSD nu ar putea oferi sprijinul necesar. <i>\u201eMie mi se pare imposibil ca PSD-ul s\u0103 \u00eei ofere sus\u021binerea, pentru c\u0103 electoratul PSD nu l-ar vota, indiferent de ce ar spune liderii partidului,\u201d<\/i> sus\u021bine Iona\u0219. \u00cen schimb, el sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 Nicu\u0219or Dan ar putea conta pe sprijinul partidelor mai mici: \u201e<i>Probabil se va putea bucura o sus\u021binere a USR, SENS, REPER, DREPT \u0219i celelalte partide mici care nu au trecut pragul (la parlamentare)\u201d.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Turcan, pe de alt\u0103 parte, este de p\u0103rere c\u0103, de\u0219i Nicu\u0219or Dan are o \u0219ans\u0103 bun\u0103 \u00een momentul de fa\u021b\u0103, provoc\u0103rile pe parcursul campaniei vor fi semnificative. <i>\u201eAre o \u0219ans\u0103 bun\u0103 \u00een acest moment \u00een care e singurul candidat anun\u021bat, dar lucrurile pe parcurs se pot complica \u00een tot felul de moduri,\u201d<\/i> avertizeaz\u0103 analistul politic.<\/p>\n<p>Vladimir Iona\u0219 consider\u0103 c\u0103 Nicu\u0219or Dan se bucur\u0103 de o cot\u0103 mare de favorabilitate \u00een Bucure\u0219ti, acolo unde a ob\u021binut un sprijin considerabil \u00een alegerile pentru Prim\u0103ria Capitalei.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eLa nivel na\u021bional nu, situa\u021bia nu este aceea\u0219i \u0219i atunci mi-e greu s\u0103 cred c\u0103 are foarte multe \u0219anse ca independent sau doar sus\u021binut de USR<\/i>,\u201d adaug\u0103 sociologul.<\/p>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/ce-sanse-are-nicusor-dan-la-presedintia-romaniei-2409018.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analistul politic Valeriu Turcan \u0219i sociologul Vladimir Iona\u0219 ofer\u0103 perspective diferite asupra candidaturii lui Nicu\u0219or Dan, subliniind at\u00e2t oportunit\u0103\u021bile c\u00e2t \u0219i provoc\u0103rile politice pe care le va \u00eent\u00e2mpina \u00een drumul s\u0103u c\u0103tre Cotroceni. Valeriu Turcan, analist politic, fost consilier preziden\u021bial \u0219i profesor de comunicare politic\u0103 \u0219i comunicare de criz\u0103 la Universitatea Bucure\u0219ti, consider\u0103 c\u0103 Nicu\u0219or [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":469868,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[19],"class_list":["post-469867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-adevarul"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/469867","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=469867"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/469867\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/469868"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=469867"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=469867"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=469867"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}