{"id":456866,"date":"2024-12-02T00:16:45","date_gmt":"2024-12-01T21:16:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=456866"},"modified":"2024-12-02T00:16:45","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T21:16:45","slug":"surse-calcule-interne-la-partide-se-configureaza-o-prima-majoritate-pentru-formarea-guvernului","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=456866","title":{"rendered":"SURSE Calcule interne la partide: Se configureaz\u0103 o prim\u0103 majoritate pentru formarea Guvernului"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"article-content article-content--v2\">\n<h3>Pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 num\u0103r\u0103toarea oficial\u0103, la <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/tag\/partidele\">partide<\/a> s-a finalizat deja num\u0103r\u0103toarea paralel\u0103, inclusiv voturile care vor intra la redistribuire. Din cauza faptului c\u0103 votul a fost extrem de f\u0103r\u00e2mi\u021bat, \u00een urma <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/tag\/alegeri\">alegerilor<\/a> parlamentare aproximativ 10% din totalul voturilor vor merge la redistribuire.<\/h3>\n<p>Conform surselor noastre, la partide s-a f\u0103cut calculul cu tot cu redistribuire \u0219i situa\u021bia final\u0103 ar putea ar\u0103ta \u00een felul urm\u0103tor:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>PSD: 26-27%<\/li>\n<li>AUR: 17-18%<\/li>\n<li>PNL: 15-16% <\/li>\n<li>USR: 12-13% <\/li>\n<li>UDMR: 7-8% <\/li>\n<li>SOS Romania: 5-6%<\/li>\n<li>POT: 5-6% <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Scenariile pe care se lucreaz\u0103<\/h2>\n<p>La partide se lucreaz\u0103 acum pe diverse scenarii pentru majorit\u0103\u021bi parlamentare, \u00een urma c\u0103rora s\u0103 rezulte un Guvern. Toate partidele clasice ar evita s\u0103 se asocieze cu AUR, SOS Rom\u00e2nia sau POT.<\/p>\n<p>Blocul suveranist va \u00eensemna aproximativ 29% sau 30% din viitorul Parlament, ceea ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 restul partidelor vor avea o marj\u0103 mic\u0103 de eroare.<\/p>\n<p>Un prim scenariu care a \u00eencol\u021bit \u0219i deja se discut\u0103 pe la col\u021buri este o majoritate PSD-PNL-UDMR, care ar ob\u021bine pu\u021bin peste 50%, dar mizeaz\u0103 pe faptul c\u0103 ar ob\u021bine \u0219i sprijinul Minorit\u0103\u021bilor Na\u021bionale.<\/p>\n<div class=\"mid-article-partners\">\n<div class=\"partners-widget js-partners-widget\">\n<article class=\"partner-article loading\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/rss\/feeds\/bugetul.json\" data-index=\"0\" data-src-name=\"bugetul.ro\">\n<div class=\"partner-article__image-container\"><img src alt class=\"partner-article__image invisible\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"partner-article loading\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/rss\/feeds\/bugetul.json\" data-index=\"1\" data-src-name=\"bugetul.ro\">\n<div class=\"partner-article__image-container\"><img src alt class=\"partner-article__image invisible\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"partner-article loading hide-on-mobile\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/rss\/feeds\/bugetul.json\" data-index=\"2\" data-src-name=\"bugetul.ro\">\n<div class=\"partner-article__image-container\"><img src alt class=\"partner-article__image invisible\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"partners-widget js-partners-widget\">\n<article class=\"partner-article loading\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/rss\/feeds\/sportpesurse.json\" data-index=\"0\" data-src-name=\"sportpesurse.ro\">\n<div class=\"partner-article__image-container\"><img src alt class=\"partner-article__image invisible\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"partner-article loading hide-on-mobile\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/rss\/feeds\/sportpesurse.json\" data-index=\"1\" data-src-name=\"sportpesurse.ro\">\n<div class=\"partner-article__image-container\"><img src alt class=\"partner-article__image invisible\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"partner-article loading hide-on-mobile\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/rss\/feeds\/sportpesurse.json\" data-index=\"2\" data-src-name=\"sportpesurse.ro\">\n<div class=\"partner-article__image-container\"><img src alt class=\"partner-article__image invisible\"><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te polul de dreapta, PNL \u0219i USR nu au nicio \u0219ans\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 o majoritate, f\u0103r\u0103 a face un compromis cu blocul suveranist \u0219i s\u0103 respecte promisiunea electoral\u0103 de a trimite PSD \u00een opozi\u021bie.<\/p>\n<p>Pe cifrele actuale, cea mai probabil\u0103 alian\u021b\u0103 de guvernare ar fi cea dintre PSD-PNL \u0219i UDMR, plus Minorit\u0103\u021bile Na\u021bionale. Aceast\u0103 majoritate va avea o opozi\u021bie foarte puternic\u0103 \u00een Parlament, mai ales c\u0103 fie USR (Elena Lasconi), fie blocul suveranist (C\u0103lin Georgescu) se vor afla la Palatul Cotroceni.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/www.stiripesurse.ro\/surse-calcule-interne-la-partide-se-configureaza-o-prima-majoritate-pentru-formarea-guvernului_3510691.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 num\u0103r\u0103toarea oficial\u0103, la partide s-a finalizat deja num\u0103r\u0103toarea paralel\u0103, inclusiv voturile care vor intra la redistribuire. Din cauza faptului c\u0103 votul a fost extrem de f\u0103r\u00e2mi\u021bat, \u00een urma alegerilor parlamentare aproximativ 10% din totalul voturilor vor merge la redistribuire. Conform surselor noastre, la partide s-a f\u0103cut calculul cu tot cu redistribuire \u0219i situa\u021bia [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":456867,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[9],"class_list":["post-456866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-stiripesurse-ro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/456866","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=456866"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/456866\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/456867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=456866"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=456866"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=456866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}