{"id":426044,"date":"2019-11-10T23:09:16","date_gmt":"2019-11-10T20:09:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=426044"},"modified":"2019-11-10T23:09:16","modified_gmt":"2019-11-10T20:09:16","slug":"gusa-iohannis-a-depasit-scorul-partidului-dancila-ramane-pe-locul-doi-barna-nu-are-forta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=426044","title":{"rendered":"Gu\u0219\u0103: &#8220;Iohannis a dep\u0103\u0219it scorul partidului. D\u0103ncil\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne pe locul doi. Barna nu are for\u021b\u0103&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t Consultantul politic Cozmin Gu\u0219\u0103 a declarat c\u0103 sigurul candidat care a reu\u0219it s\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 scorul ob\u021binut de propriul partid. La partea opus\u0103 se afl\u0103 Dan Barna, care nu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 se ridice la procentele \u00eenregistrate de USR. Diaspora \u00eei va aduce lui Barna un plus de 3 procente, dar nu va avea puterea s\u0103 treac\u0103 de Viorica D\u0103ncil\u0103.<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n<div class=\"realitatea-article-content-box\">\n<p><strong>Orban a mobilizat exemplar PNL<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Iohannis e cel care a dep\u0103\u0219it scorul electoral al partidului. El este trist c\u0103 cifra ob\u021binut\u0103 nu \u00eencepe cu 4, dar s-ar putea ca diaspora s\u0103-i aduc\u0103 procentele necesare s\u0103 ajung\u0103 la 40%.<\/p>\n<div class=\"d-flex justify-content-center w-100 flex-row mt-5 mb-5 advert-970-250-m-300-250\">\n                                <!-- \/32628511\/Realitatea.netV2_articol\/300x250_ia_3 &amp; \/32628511\/Realitatea.netV2_articol_mobile\/300x600\/\/300x250_1 --><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1625071071304-0\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1625070521521-0\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Trebuie s\u0103 subliniez felul remarcabil \u00een care Ludovic Orban \u0219i-a condus echipa, iar un partid divizat ca PNL s-a unit pentru europerlamentare \u0219i preziden\u021biale. Asta \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care Iohannis nu a ie\u0219it pe nic\u0103ieri s\u0103-\u0219i jusitifice primul mandat.<\/p>\n<div id=\"in-article-teads\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Dancil\u0103 poate aduce 30%<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"d-flex justify-content-center w-100 flex-row mt-5 mb-5 advert-970-250-m-300-250\">\n                                <!-- \/32628511\/Realitatea.netV2_articol\/300x250_ia_4 &amp; \/32628511\/Realitatea.netV2_articol_mobile\/300x600\/\/300x250_2 --><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1625071089075-0\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1625070536172-0\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Contorbu\u021bia mea la aceast\u0103 campanie a fost pentru st\u00e2nga. Suntem con\u0219tien\u021bi c\u0103 PSD are o situa\u021bie dificil\u0103, dar nu vreau s\u0103 se d\u0103r\u00e2me.<\/p>\n<p>Totu\u0219i, rezultaul de azi este un rezultat bun, apropo de echilibrarea raportului de for\u021be \u00eentre st\u00e2nga \u0219i dreapta politic\u0103. D\u0103ncil\u0103 nu a luat tot bazinul st\u00e2ngii, c\u0103ci acesta este de aproape 30%. \u00cen rural, s-au mobilizat \u0219i au adus voturi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Barna n-a fructificat procentele USR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Barna nu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 c\u0103l\u0103reasc\u0103 poten\u021bialul USR, care trebuia s\u0103 fie pe trend de cre\u0219tere, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere procentele USR de la europarlamentare. Cred c\u0103 lumea l-ar fi preferat pe Ciolo\u0219 sau Kovesi. \u00cen mod evident, Barna nu este un candidat care\u00a0 performat. Mi\u0219carea de sear\u0103 a masei de votan\u021bi era una entuziasmant\u0103, iar \u00een cazul s\u0103u nu s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat a\u0219a ceva.<\/p>\n<div class=\"d-flex justify-content-center w-100 flex-row mt-5 mb-5 advert-970-250-m-300-250\">\n                                <!-- \/32628511\/Realitatea.netV2_articol\/300x250_ia_5 &amp; \/32628511\/Realitatea.netV2_articol_mobile\/300x600\/\/300x250_3 --><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1625071108131-0\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1625070551720-0\"><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>Mircea Diaconu a ob\u021binut un scor mic din cauza partidelor care l-au sus\u021binut<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00cel felicit pe Mircea Diaconu, dar este un e\u0219ec al Pro Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i ALDE. Din punct de vedere matematic, potentialul lui era mai mare de 8%. Este evident c\u0103 este la mai pu\u021bin de jum\u0103tate dec\u00e2t ar fi putut fi. El a reu\u0219it, totu\u0219i, s\u0103 fure de la Viorica multe voturi.<\/p>\n<p>Theodor Paleologu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 ia ni\u0219te voturi de la Dan Barna, care sunt poten\u021bialul s\u0103u personal. Totu\u0219i, el, al\u0103turi de PMP, ar fi trebuit s\u0103 ia mai mult dec\u00e2t au ob\u021binut acum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Barna sus\u021binut de diaspora<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Socialogii dau ca sigur c\u0103 45% din voturi s-ar duce la Barna, 35% se duc la Iohannis, iar restul de 20% la ceilal\u021bi candida\u021bi. Atunci, \u00een mod evident, Barna va benefica de 3,5%, iar el s-ar putea apropia de D\u0103ncil\u0103, dar sunt \u0219anse mici s-o dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Compatibilitatea publicului. \u00cen urma cercet\u0103rii IRES, \u00een care au fost intervieva\u021bi peste 23.000 de subiec\u021bi, vom trage concluzii \u00een ce fel se vor redistribui voturi \u00een turul 2. Palologu nu a fost contondent la Iohannis, sau Diaconu, care a fost extrem de contondent la adresa lui Iohannis. R\u0103m\u00e2ne un mare semn de \u00eentrbare: ce sa va \u00eent\u00e2mpla cu Barna? Am v\u0103zut declara\u021bii nerovase ale celor de la USR.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen paralel cu ce a zis Orban, legat de intrarea lui Iohannis \u00een turul doi cu Barna, ar trebui s\u0103 ne putem st\u0103p\u00e2ni. Nervozitatea USR \u00a0\u00eei poate face s\u0103 duc\u0103 la gesturi extreme&#8221;, a spus consultantul Cozmin Gu\u0219\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Source URL: https:\/\/www.realitatea.net\/stiri\/politica\/gu-a-iohannis-a-depa-it-scorul-partidului-dancila-ramane-pe-locul-doi_5dcc9286406af85273d83de4<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Consultantul politic Cozmin Gu\u0219\u0103 a declarat c\u0103 sigurul candidat care a reu\u0219it s\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 scorul ob\u021binut de propriul partid. La partea opus\u0103 se afl\u0103 Dan Barna, care nu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 se ridice la procentele \u00eenregistrate de USR. Diaspora \u00eei va aduce lui Barna un plus de 3 procente, dar nu va avea puterea s\u0103 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":426045,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[15],"class_list":["post-426044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-realitatea-net"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426044","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=426044"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/426044\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/426045"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=426044"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=426044"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=426044"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}