{"id":246822,"date":"2024-10-24T16:29:04","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T13:29:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=246822"},"modified":"2024-10-29T17:54:57","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T14:54:57","slug":"ibanfirst-cum-vor-evolua-leul-si-cursul-eur-usd-in-ultimul-trimestru-din-2024-alegerile-din-romania-pot-creste-volatilitatea-leului-pe-termen-scurt-insa-impactul-pe-termen-lung-va-fi-unul-minim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=246822","title":{"rendered":"iBanFirst: Cum vor evolua leul \u015fi cursul EUR\/USD \u00een ultimul trimestru din 2024. Alegerile din Rom\u00e2nia pot cre\u015fte volatilitatea leului pe termen scurt, \u00eens\u0103 impactul pe termen lung va fi unul minim"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"text-content\">\n<p> Cursul <strong>valutar<\/strong> are poten\u0163ial de cre\u015ftere pe termen scurt, p\u00e2n\u0103 la nivelul de 5 lei\/euro, avans generat \u00een mare parte de randamentele \u00een sc\u0103dere ale obliga\u0163iunilor, care determin\u0103 investitorii s\u0103 fac\u0103 pariuri tactice pe euro \u00een speran\u0163a unor c\u00e2\u015ftiguri pe termen scurt, sunt de p\u0103rere anali\u015ftii iBanFirst \u00eentr-un raport.<\/p>\n<p> \u00a0Acest lucru explic\u0103, de asemenea, cre\u015fterea recent\u0103 a EUR\/USD. Cu toate acestea, anali\u015ftii nu prev\u0103d o cre\u015ftere sus\u0163inut\u0103 a euro anul viitor, inclusiv fa\u0163\u0103 de leu.<\/p>\n<p> \u00cen cazul dolarului, anali\u015ftii nu v\u0103d sc\u0103deri semnificative ale cursului, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere puterea monedei americane. Dac\u0103 rata se va apropia de pragul de 4,44 lei\/dolar, aceasta ar \u00eensemna o revenire tehnic\u0103, similar\u0103 cu cea care a avut loc \u00een urm\u0103 cu o lun\u0103. Acest lucru va determina investitorii s\u0103 cumpere din nou dolari \u00een a\u015fteptarea unei cre\u015fteri.<\/p>\n<p> Practic, ultimul trimestru din 2024 va aduce probabil o volatilitate \u00een cre\u015ftere a leului, dar impactul pe termen lung va fi minim.<\/p>\n<p> iBanFirst estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 indicele dolarului este \u00een prezent supraevaluat cu 9,3%, de\u015fi aceast\u0103 valoare este \u00eenc\u0103 sub recordul de peste 20% atins \u00een anii 1980. Este probabil ca aceast\u0103 supraevaluare s\u0103 persiste \u00een anii urm\u0103tori.<\/p>\n<p> \u00cen ultimele luni ale acestui an, dar \u015fi \u00een 2025, procesul de normalizare a politicii monetare \u00een Uniunea European\u0103 \u015fi \u00een Statele Unite va constitui for\u0163a motrice a pie\u0163elor valutare \u015fi a \u00eentregului sistem financiar, se arat\u0103 \u00een raportul iBanFIrst. M\u0103surile adoptate de b\u0103ncile centrale vor avea un impact semnificativ asupra sentimentului pie\u0163ei \u015fi strategiilor de investi\u0163ii la nivel global.<\/p>\n<p> Alegerile preziden\u0163iale din SUA \u015fi Rom\u00e2nia vor avea efecte minime asupra pie\u0163ei valutare pe termen lung. \u00cen schimb, al\u0163i factori impredictibili, precum evolu\u0163ia economic\u0103 a Chinei, lichiditatea sc\u0103zut\u0103 pe diverse segmente ale pie\u0163ei \u015fi instabilitatea geopolitic\u0103 din Orientul Mijlociu, au poten\u0163ialul de a influen\u0163a dinamica pie\u0163elor valutare.<\/p>\n<div>\u00a0<\/div>\n<div>\u00a0<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/www.zf.ro\/zf-24\/ibanfirst-cum-vor-evolua-leul-si-cursul-eur-usd-in-ultimul-trimestru-22496437<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cursul valutar are poten\u0163ial de cre\u015ftere pe termen scurt, p\u00e2n\u0103 la nivelul de 5 lei\/euro, avans generat \u00een mare parte de randamentele \u00een sc\u0103dere ale obliga\u0163iunilor, care determin\u0103 investitorii s\u0103 fac\u0103 pariuri tactice pe euro \u00een speran\u0163a unor c\u00e2\u015ftiguri pe termen scurt, sunt de p\u0103rere anali\u015ftii iBanFirst \u00eentr-un raport. \u00a0Acest lucru explic\u0103, de asemenea, cre\u015fterea [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":307961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-246822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-ziarul-financiar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246822","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=246822"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246822\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":279241,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246822\/revisions\/279241"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/307961"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=246822"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=246822"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=246822"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}