{"id":246798,"date":"2024-10-24T16:24:12","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T13:24:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=246798"},"modified":"2024-10-29T17:41:51","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T14:41:51","slug":"banca-europeana-de-reconstructie-si-dezvoltare-reduce-la-mai-putin-de-jumatate-prognoza-de-crestere-economica-a-romaniei-in-2024-la-doar-14-fata-de-32-pe-cat-miza-in-luna-mai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=246798","title":{"rendered":"Banca European\u0103 de Reconstructie \u015fi Dezvoltare reduce la mai putin de jum\u0103tate prognoza de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei \u00een 2024, la doar 1,4% fat\u0103 de 3,2% pe c\u00e2t miza \u00een luna mai"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Banca European\u0103 de Reconstructie \u015fi Dezvoltare a redus puternic estim\u0103rile privind cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 din 2024, la 1,4% fat\u0103 de 3,2% c\u00e2t estima \u00een luna mai, miz\u00e2nd pe o u\u015foar\u0103 revenire \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a anului curent, \u00een pofida nevoii de consolidare fiscal\u0103, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-un raport regional publicat joi.<\/p>\n

Pentru 2025, BERD\u00a0 mizeaz\u0103 pe o cre\u015ftere PIB de 2,6%, cu 0,8 puncte sub prognoza din mai.<\/p>\n

Potrivit b\u0103ncii, \u00eent\u00e2rzierea absorb\u0163iei fondurilor UE reprezint\u0103 un risc pentru realizarea acestor prognoze.<\/p>\n

\u201d\u00cen contextul unei cereri externe mai slabe, cre\u015fterea a \u00eencetinit la 2,1% \u00een 2023 \u015fi la 1,3 % pe an \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a anului 2024. Sectorul TIC a \u00eencetinit, de asemenea, \u00een mod semnificativ, \u00een conformitate cu tendin\u0163ele globale, \u00een timp ce produc\u0163ia industrial\u0103 a stagnat. Pe de alt\u0103 parte, investi\u0163iile \u00een infrastructur\u0103 au continuat s\u0103 sprijine cre\u015fterea. Infla\u0163ia a persistat, pe fondul cre\u015fterii puternice a salariilor reale (cu o medie de 7,4%, cea mai mare din 2019) \u015fi a major\u0103rii pensiilor\u201d; se precizeaz\u0103 \u00een raportul BERD.<\/p>\n

Infla\u0163ia (armonizat\u0103) de 5,8% a fost cea mai ridicat\u0103 din UE \u00een iulie 2024.<\/p>\n

BNR a redus rata dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 de dou\u0103 ori \u00een vara anului 2024, p\u00e2n\u0103 la 6,5 %, \u00een timp ce lichidit\u0103\u0163ile interbancare abundente au men\u0163inut ratele de \u00eemprumut de pe pia\u0163\u0103 sub rata dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103.<\/p>\n

Politica fiscal\u0103 continu\u0103 s\u0103 fie expansionist\u0103, cu un deficit bugetar semestrial de aproximativ 3,6% din PIB, mai mare dec\u00e2t \u00een cei trei ani anteriori. \u00cen timp ce veniturile au avut o evolu\u0163ie bun\u0103 \u00een primele \u015fase luni, ca urmare a pachetului de m\u0103suri fiscale anun\u0163at spre sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului 2023, cheltuielile au explodat, cheltuielile de capital, salariile \u015fi cheltuielile cu bunurile \u015fi serviciile cresc\u00e2nd toate cu peste 20% de la an la an.<\/p>\n

Conform celor mai recente estim\u0103ri ale Consiliului Fiscal, deficitul va ajunge la 8% din PIB \u00een 2024.\u00a0<\/p>\n

La nivel regional, BERD estimeaz\u0103 pentru 2024 o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 de 2,2% \u00een cazul Bulgariei, 3% \u00een Ucraina, 3,2% \u00een Republica Moldova, 1,8% \u00een Ungaria, 1,1% \u00een Cehia, 3,2% \u00een Polonia, 2,3% \u00een Slovavia, 3,6% \u00een Croatia, 1,5% \u00een Slovenia, 2,3% \u00een Lituania \u015fi 0.9% \u00een Letonia. Singura tar\u0103 pentru care BERD estimeaz\u0103 o sc\u0103dere este Estonia, cu -0.8% \u00een 2024.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source URL: https:\/\/www.zf.ro\/zf-24\/banca-europeana-de-reconstructie-si-dezvoltare-reduce-la-mai-putin-22496530<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Banca European\u0103 de Reconstructie \u015fi Dezvoltare a redus puternic estim\u0103rile privind cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 din 2024, la 1,4% fat\u0103 de 3,2% c\u00e2t estima \u00een luna mai, miz\u00e2nd pe o u\u015foar\u0103 revenire \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a anului curent, \u00een pofida nevoii de consolidare fiscal\u0103, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-un raport regional publicat joi. Pentru 2025, BERD\u00a0 mizeaz\u0103 pe […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":307816,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-246798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-ziarul-financiar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=246798"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":307815,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246798\/revisions\/307815"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/307816"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=246798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=246798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=246798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}