{"id":2243860,"date":"2026-11-06T21:30:25","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T18:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2243860"},"modified":"2026-11-06T21:30:25","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T18:30:25","slug":"trump-slabit-dupa-infrangerea-electorala-ar-putea-incerca-sa-si-demonstreze-forta-in-ucraina-si-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2243860","title":{"rendered":"Trump, sl\u0103bit dup\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea electoral\u0103, ar putea \u00eencerca s\u0103-\u0219i demonstreze for\u021ba \u00een Ucraina \u0219i Iran&#8230;."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-f\/f9fd6a97-dead-4a81-97d7-a02ae9cada0b\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-1pk9a69\">\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">\u0218tiri Externe<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/europa\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Europa<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/europa\/trump-slabit-dupa-infrangerea-electorala-ar-2569477.html\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Trump, sl\u0103bit dup\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea electoral\u0103, ar putea \u00eencerca s\u0103-\u0219i demonstreze for\u021ba \u00een Ucraina \u0219i Iran. Avertismentul unui fost ambasador<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-x63bga\"><\/p>\n<p>Un pre\u0219edinte american sl\u0103bit pe plan intern, dup\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea suferit\u0103 de republicani la alegerile de la jum\u0103tatea mandatului, ar putea \u00eencerca s\u0103-\u0219i reafirme autoritatea prin decizii spectaculoase \u00een politica extern\u0103. Ucraina \u0219i Iranul sunt dou\u0103 dintre dosarele \u00een care Donald Trump ar putea recurge la astfel de gesturi, avertizeaz\u0103 Kim Darroch, fost ambasador al Marii Britanii \u00een Statele Unite.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-f\/f9fd6a97-dead-4a81-97d7-a02ae9cada0b\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Donald Trump, pre\u0219edintele SUA <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: EPA-EFE<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Diplomatul, care a reprezentat Marea Britanie \u00een Statele Unite \u00eentre 2016 \u0219i 2019, atrage aten\u021bia c\u0103 pierderea controlului asupra Congresului nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u0219edintele american va deveni mai pu\u021bin activ pe plan extern. Dimpotriv\u0103, limit\u0103rile interne i-ar putea accentua interesul pentru politica extern\u0103, unde dispune de o marj\u0103 de ac\u021biune considerabil\u0103<\/p>\n<p>Darroch aminte\u0219te c\u0103 \u0219i dup\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea republicanilor din 2018 Trump a primit greu rezultatul, sim\u021bindu-se umilit \u0219i c\u0103ut\u00e2nd persoane pe care s\u0103 dea vina. De aceast\u0103 dat\u0103,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/sua\/trump-anunta-un-acord-important-dupa-intalnirea-2569359.html\">lovitura electoral\u0103 este mult mai puternic\u0103.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eAceasta este o \u00eenfr\u00e2ngere mult mai dur\u0103. A\u0219a c\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 ne a\u0219tept\u0103m ca ma\u0219in\u0103ria de tocat a lui Trump s\u0103 fie pornit\u0103\u201d,<\/i> observ\u0103 diplomatul, care \u00eei men\u021bioneaz\u0103 printre posibilii viza\u021bi de repro\u0219urile pre\u0219edintelui pe secretarul Ap\u0103r\u0103rii, Pete Hegseth, \u0219i pe \u0219efa de cabinet, Susie Wiles, relateaz\u0103 The Guardian.<\/p>\n<h2>Iranul, dosarul \u00een care Trump nu are o ie\u0219ire clar\u0103<\/h2>\n<p>Unul dintre cele mai importante efecte ale \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerii electorale ar putea fi asupra conflictului cu Iranul. Kim Darroch arat\u0103 c\u0103 r\u0103zboiul \u0219i cre\u0219terea pre\u021burilor globale la energie au contribuit semnificativ la rezultatul nefavorabil republicanilor.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eA\u0219a cum a remarcat JD Vance, asum\u00e2ndu-\u0219i un anumit risc \u00een rela\u021bia personal\u0103 cu pre\u0219edintele, conflictul cu Iranul \u0219i impactul acestuia asupra pre\u021burilor globale la energie au reprezentat o parte important\u0103 a dezastrului electoral\u201d<\/i>, scrie fostul ambasador.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen opinia sa,<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/sua\/vicepresedintele-sua-jd-vance-se-distanteaza-de-2569209.html\"> Trump nu are \u00een acest moment o cale evident\u0103 de ie\u0219ire din conflict.\u00a0<\/a>Negocierile cu Iranul se desf\u0103\u0219oar\u0103 prin intermediari, \u00eens\u0103 cererile celor dou\u0103 p\u0103r\u021bi sunt foarte \u00eendep\u0103rtate.<\/p>\n<p>Washingtonul urm\u0103re\u0219te oprirea programului nuclear iranian \u0219i eliminarea stocului de 440 de kilograme de uraniu puternic \u00eembog\u0103\u021bit. Teheranul solicit\u0103, \u00een schimb, garan\u021bii de securitate, ridicarea blocadei navale americane, \u00eencetarea sanc\u021biunilor, deblocarea activelor iraniene \u0219i reducerea prezen\u021bei militare americane \u00een regiune.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-4\/41842639-da0e-498f-bfdf-d80736ce3533\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Kim Darroch, fost ambasador al Marii Britanii \u00een Statele Unite <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: Profimedia<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><i>\u201ePoate c\u0103 va exista un acord dup\u0103 \u00eencheierea alegerilor de la jum\u0103tatea mandatului. Dar, la fel de bine, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u00e2t de \u00eendep\u0103rtate sunt pozi\u021biile celor dou\u0103 p\u0103r\u021bi, conflictul s-ar putea prelungi, agrav\u00e2nd prejudiciile economice pentru noi to\u021bi\u201d<\/i>, avertizeaz\u0103 Kim Darroch.<\/p>\n<p>Diplomatul nu exclude nici reluarea bombardamentelor. Israelul \u00ee\u0219i dore\u0219te acest lucru, iar Trump pare s\u0103 p\u0103streze deschise toate op\u021biunile, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care continu\u0103 s\u0103 trimit\u0103 echipamente militare suplimentare \u00een regiune.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eNimeni nu \u0219tie \u00een ce direc\u021bie va \u00eenclina balan\u021ba-poate c\u0103 nici m\u0103car Trump \u00eensu\u0219i\u201d<\/i>, noteaz\u0103 fostul ambasador.<\/p>\n<h2>Ucraina, \u00een fa\u021ba riscului unui acord negociat \u00een condi\u021biile Moscovei<\/h2>\n<p>Un alt dosar \u00een care Trump ar putea \u00eencerca s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 un rezultat major este r\u0103zboiul din Ucraina. Kim Darroch consider\u0103 c\u0103 pozi\u021bia pre\u0219edintelui american fa\u021b\u0103 de conflict nu ofer\u0103 motive pentru a anticipa o schimbare favorabil\u0103 Kievului.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/europa\/zelenski-putin-ar-putea-incerca-sa-i-ofere-lui-2554788.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-78g0vl\">Zelenski: Putin ar putea \u00eencerca s\u0103-i ofere lui Trump un c\u00e2\u0219tig diplomatic \u00eenaintea alegerilor de la jum\u0103tatea mandatului<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eDintr-un motiv sau altul (iar teoriile conspira\u021biei abund\u0103), Trump a p\u0103rut \u00eentotdeauna s\u0103-l \u00eenvinov\u0103\u021beasc\u0103 pe Volodimir Zelenski, mai degrab\u0103 dec\u00e2t pe Vladimir Putin, pentru r\u0103zboi\u201d<\/i>, scrie diplomatul.<\/p>\n<p>Acesta apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 liderul de la Casa Alb\u0103 va continua s\u0103 sus\u021bin\u0103 o \u00een\u021belegere de pace care ar presupune concesii teritoriale importante din partea Ucrainei.<\/p>\n<p>Mai exact, Trump ar putea sus\u021bine un acord prin care Kievul s\u0103 renun\u021be la \u00eentregul Donbas, inclusiv la teritoriile pe care armata rus\u0103 nu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 le cucereasc\u0103, \u0219i s\u0103 renun\u021be la perspectiva ader\u0103rii la NATO \u0219i la Uniunea European\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eZelenski va refuza s\u0103 accepte un asemenea acord. Prin urmare, \u00een absen\u021ba unor concesii surprinz\u0103toare din partea lui Putin- iar p\u00e2n\u0103 acum nu a existat niciuna\u2013, \u0219i acest conflict s-ar putea prelungi\u201d<\/i>, apreciaz\u0103 Kim Darroch.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen analiza sa, fostul ambasador britanic avertizeaz\u0103 \u0219i asupra posibilit\u0103\u021bii ca Trump s\u0103 foloseasc\u0103 din nou tarifele comerciale ca instrument de presiune asupra Europei. Pre\u0219edintele american ar putea recurge la noi taxe dac\u0103 statele europene nu se aliniaz\u0103 politicilor Washingtonului \u00een privin\u021ba Chinei, reglement\u0103rii inteligen\u021bei artificiale sau impozit\u0103rii companiilor americane din sectorul tehnologic.<\/p>\n<h2>\u201eNu va accepta pur \u0219i simplu s\u0103 priveasc\u0103 sf\u00e2r\u0219itul erei sale\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Kim Darroch consider\u0103 c\u0103 urm\u0103torii doi ani vor fi marca\u021bi de incertitudine, deoarece Trump va continua s\u0103 aib\u0103 la dispozi\u021bie instrumente importante de politic\u0103 extern\u0103, chiar dac\u0103 va \u00eent\u00e2mpina obstacole tot mai mari \u00een Congres.<\/p>\n<p>Printre posibilele direc\u021bii ale administra\u021biei americane, diplomatul enumer\u0103 un acord cu Vladimir Putin, care ar putea sacrifica interesele Ucrainei \u00een schimbul accesului Statelor Unite la resursele energetice \u0219i mineralele rare ale Rusiei, un acord comercial important cu China sau chiar o posibil\u0103 schimbare de regim \u00een Cuba.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eInteresele europene \u0219i britanice nu vor conta \u00een calculele sale, la fel cum nu au contat nici \u00een conflictul cu Iranul\u201d<\/i>, avertizeaz\u0103 fostul ambasador.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen opinia sa, Europa \u0219i Marea Britanie trebuie s\u0103 evite at\u00e2t s\u0103 transmit\u0103 impresia c\u0103 se \u00eendep\u0103rteaz\u0103 de Trump, c\u00e2t \u0219i s\u0103 mizeze prematur pe eventualii s\u0103i succesori.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eVedem \u00eenceputul sf\u00e2r\u0219itului erei Trump. Puterea \u00eei scap\u0103 deja printre degete: vulturii dau t\u00e2rcoale. Dar acesta nu este un om care s\u0103 se mul\u021bumeasc\u0103 doar s\u0103 priveasc\u0103 stingerea luminii. Va aprinde ruguri pentru a o \u00eempiedica\u201d,<\/i> este avertismentul formulat de Kim Darroch.<\/p>\n<p>Fostul ambasador recomand\u0103 men\u021binerea unui dialog intens cu pre\u0219edintele american, \u00een special pe temele care intereseaz\u0103 Europa \u0219i Marea Britanie: Iranul, Ucraina, viitorul NATO \u0219i economia global\u0103. <\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/sua\/alegerile-de-la-jumatatea-mandatului-pun-presiune-2567532.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-78g0vl\">Alegerile de la jum\u0103tatea mandatului pun presiune pe Trump. Atmosfer\u0103 sumbr\u0103 la Casa Alb\u0103<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trump trebuie s\u0103 \u00een\u021beleag\u0103 c\u0103 alia\u021bii s\u0103i recunosc faptul c\u0103 el r\u0103m\u00e2ne pre\u0219edintele Statelor Unite \u0219i va lua deciziile p\u00e2n\u0103 la \u00eencheierea mandatului, pe 20 ianuarie 2029.<\/p>\n<h2>Le Monde: Europa nu trebuie s\u0103 spere la o schimbare de politic\u0103 a SUA dup\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea lui Trump<\/h2>\n<p>Un avertisment similar apare \u0219i \u00eentr-un editorial publicat de cotidianul francez Le Monde, care consider\u0103 c\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea republicanilor la alegerile de la jum\u0103tatea mandatului nu va determina o schimbare fundamental\u0103 a politicii externe americane.<\/p>\n<p>Publica\u021bia atrage aten\u021bia c\u0103 Donald Trump mai are doi ani la dispozi\u021bie pentru a-\u0219i impune viziunea asupra rela\u021biilor interna\u021bionale, iar pierderea controlului asupra Congresului ar putea s\u0103-l determine s\u0103 se concentreze \u0219i mai mult asupra politicii externe, unde prerogativele preziden\u021biale sunt extinse.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen privin\u021ba r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina, Le Monde observ\u0103 c\u0103 Trump continu\u0103 s\u0103 se apropie de pozi\u021biile Moscovei, ceea ce ar putea deveni o surs\u0103 de confruntare cu noua majoritate democrat\u0103 din Congres. Nici rela\u021biile cu Europa nu sunt a\u0219teptate s\u0103 se \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021beasc\u0103 fundamental.<\/p>\n<p>Editorialul aminte\u0219te c\u0103 reorientarea strategic\u0103 a Statelor Unite c\u0103tre Asia a \u00eenceput \u00eenc\u0103 din timpul administra\u021biei Barack Obama, iar solicit\u0103rile adresate europenilor de a contribui mai mult la propria ap\u0103rare au fost constante, indiferent de partidul aflat la Casa Alb\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eEuropenii trebuie s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 convin\u0219i c\u0103, de acum \u00eenainte, se pot baza doar pe propriile for\u021be \u0219i c\u0103 unitatea lor este mai important\u0103 ca oric\u00e2nd\u201d, <\/i>este concluzia editorialului\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/en\/opinion\/article\/2026\/11\/05\/europe-can-expect-little-from-trump-s-midterm-defeat_6772577_23.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">Le Monde.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"footerShare 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