{"id":2241774,"date":"2026-11-06T14:45:37","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T11:45:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2241774"},"modified":"2026-11-06T14:45:37","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T11:45:37","slug":"kazakhstans-growth-to-pick-up-in-2027-despite-geopolitical-tensions-imf-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2241774","title":{"rendered":"Kazakhstan\u2019s growth to pick up in 2027 despite geopolitical tensions, IMF says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/97\/79\/63\/1200x675_cmsv2_e055097d-bda1-540a-bed6-197156b622ec-9977963.jpg&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2939905-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1\" data-nid=\"2939905\" data-cid=\"9983118\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939905-label-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/98\/31\/18\/189x106_cmsv2_bd375176-8427-5020-aac3-6c6633f7f551-9983118.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Meghan, Duchess of Sussex, attends the unveiling of the Lost Screen Memorial in Geneva, Switzerland, on 17 May 2026.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    USA<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Meghan Markle&#8217;s father reportedly arrested in Florida over child porn\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2939780-pos2-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1\" data-nid=\"2939780\" data-cid=\"9983011\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939780-label-pos2-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" 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src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/98\/30\/48\/189x106_cmsv2_0de32655-5459-527a-8436-17a474b846f5-9983048.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Singapore Airlines has just unveiled its updated long-haul cabins, which include the largest double bed in commercial aviation in first class\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Travel News<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    What to expect onboard Singapore Airlines\u2019 new long-haul cabins\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2939727-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2939727\" data-cid=\"9982073\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939727-label-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/98\/20\/73\/189x106_cmsv2_d5c70b0c-1520-5b7e-b867-a491933a024d-9982073.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Panel discussion at AIREX exhibition, Baku, Azerbaijan, 4-5 November 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Azerbaijan<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Baku real estate expo showcases Azerbaijan\u2019s tech-driven urban future\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"helper-site-row o-article-newsy\">\n<div class=\"helper-site-container o-article-newsy__container\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__main\">\n<header class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__header\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumbs\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs\">\n<div id=\"adb-article-breadcrumb\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs__list\">\n<p>                          News<\/p>\n<p>                          World<\/p>\n<p>                          Kazakhstan<\/p><\/div>\n<\/nav>\n<h1 class=\"c-article-redesign-title\">\n                            Kazakhstan\u2019s growth to pick up in 2027 despite geopolitical tensions, IMF says<\/h1>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-video u-position-relative \">\n<div class=\"js-superdiv u-aspect-ratio-16x9 u-position-relative \" data-controller=\"video-player\" data-sponsored=\"Partner content\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"js-poster-img c-article-media__img\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/97\/79\/63\/1536x864_cmsv2_e055097d-bda1-540a-bed6-197156b622ec-9977963.jpg\" width=\"1536\" height=\"864\" loading=\"eager\" alt=\"stock market\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-caption u-position-absolute\"><i id=\"article-caption-content\" class=\"c-article-caption__content\"><span class=\"c-article-caption__text\"><br \/>\n              stock market<br \/>\n                    <span class=\"u-color-white\">&#8211;\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__copyright\">Copyright\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__credit\">AP Photo<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-copyright c-article-image-copyright--novideo\">\n      Copyright\u00a0AP Photo\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__body u-article-content\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__contributors-publication-date\">\n<div class=\"c-article-contributors\">\n  By&amp;nbspGaliya Khassenkhanova\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-publication-date\" data-timestamp=\"1793976337\">\n         Published on<br \/>\n            <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T15:45:37+01:00\">6 November 2026 &#8211; 15:45 GMT+1<\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-share-comment u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-share-comment__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-share-comment-share\"><span 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src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"threads\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Threads<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"threads\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"whatsapp\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Whatsapp<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"whatsapp\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"c-article-summary\">\n        The IMF expects Kazakhstan\u2019s economy to grow by 4.9% in 2027, up from 4.4% this year. Kazakhstan is forecast to grow faster than any other oil exporter in the IMF\u2019s Middle East and Central Asia group in 2026.<br \/>\n    <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-content js-article-content\">\n<p>Kazakhstan\u2019s economic growth is expected to accelerate to 4.9% in 2027, up from a projected 4.4% this year, according to the International Monetary Fund\u2019s (IMF) latest World Economic Outlook, released in October.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The 2026 forecast marks a slowdown from the 6.5% growth recorded in 2025. Nevertheless, Kazakhstan is projected to post the strongest economic growth among oil-exporting countries in the IMF\u2019s Middle East and Central Asia group this year. The region\u2019s economy is projected to contract by 0.3% in 2026 before growing by 6.3% in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has hit Middle Eastern oil exporters hardest. The IMF expects Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait and Qatar to suffer double-digit contractions this year, followed by double-digit growth in 2027 as production and exports return to normal.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the report says commodity prices, remittances and ongoing reforms will continue to support growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia.<\/p>\n<p>Uzbekistan\u2019s economy is forecast to grow by 7.8% in 2026, before slowing to 6.5% in 2027. Kyrgyzstan is projected to record growth of 9% this year and 7% next year, while Tajikistan\u2019s economy is expected to expand by 7.3% and 6.8%, respectively. Turkmenistan is forecast to see growth of 2.4% in 2026, edging up to 2.5% in 2027.<\/p>\n<h2>Geopolitical tensions disrupt oil markets<\/h2>\n<p>The IMF identifies geopolitics and technology as two major forces shaping the global economic outlook, with the US-Iran conflict posing a significant challenge to energy markets.<\/p>\n<p>The closure of the Strait of Hormuz in March disrupted the transportation of around 20% of the world&#8217;s oil supply, equivalent to approximately 20 million barrels a day.<\/p>\n<p>The disruption prompted oil producers outside the Persian Gulf, namely Brazil, Kazakhstan, the United States and Venezuela, to increase output to compensate for the shortfall. Some Gulf producers redirected supplies through alternative routes, while the International Energy Agency (IEA) and China released emergency reserves.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF&#8217;s baseline scenario assumes that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen in March 2027, with a broader return to pre-war conditions expected by October of that year.<\/p>\n<p>Russia&#8217;s war in Ukraine has also added to disruptions in global oil supplies. Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, both onshore and at sea, have affected shipments of Kazakh crude transported through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC).<\/p>\n<h2>AI investment offers opportunities amid global uncertainty<\/h2>\n<p>Despite the negative impact of geopolitical shocks on the global economy, investment in artificial intelligence (AI) and related technologies has provided some support to economic activity.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF points to the growing demand for advanced technology hardware, including semiconductors, as a potential opportunity for commodity-exporting economies such as Kazakhstan. These countries are positioned earlier in the global supply chain, supplying raw materials needed for the production of advanced technology components, much of which takes place in economies such as South Korea and Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p>However, the fund cautions that the sustainability of the AI-driven investment boom remains uncertain. Demand for technology could prove more persistent than expected, but energy constraints and safety concerns could limit the industry&#8217;s ability to expand.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, the IMF describes the global economy as resilient but increasingly uneven in its ability to withstand external shocks.<\/p>\n<p>The World Economic Outlook projects global economic growth to slow from 3.5% in 2025 to 3.1% in 2026, before recovering to 3.4% in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>Among major economies, US GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.3% in both 2026 and 2027. Growth in the eurozone is expected to slow to 1.1% this year and pick up to 1.2% next year. Growth in China is forecast to slow to 4.5% in 2026 and 4% in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>Global inflation is also expected to come under renewed pressure from war-related supply disruptions. After declining to 4.1% in 2025, headline inflation is forecast to rise to 4.7% in 2026 before returning to 4.1% in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>World trade growth is projected to slow from 5% in 2025 to 4.6% in 2026, before edging up to 4.7% in 2027. The IMF links the slowdown to the effects of tariffs, adjustments to global supply chains and the growing importance of technology-related trade.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>                                  Go to accessibility shortcuts<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-article-share-comment u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-share-comment__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-share-comment-share\"><span class=\"c-article-share-comment__label\">Share<\/span><\/span><span class=\"c-article-share-comment__label\">Comments<\/span><span class=\"c-article-share-comment__label c-article-share-comment__label--always\">Add Euronews on Google<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-you-might-also-like\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-article-you-might-also-like\">\n<h2 class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__title\">\n        Read more<br \/>\n      <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__item\">\n<h3>\n<p>                  Nvidia CEO sees Kazakhstan as potential AI hub for Europe<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__item\">\n<h3>\n<p>                  Kazakhstan&#8217;s Tokayev calls for faster construction of nuclear power plants<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__item\">\n<h3>\n<p>                  Discovering the birthplace of apples in Kazakhstan\u2019s wild forests<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto\">\n<ul id=\"adb-article-tags\" class=\"c-tags-list\">\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<section class=\"tc-cta\" data-twig-component=\"Cta-default\">\n  Kazakhstan<br \/>\n<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<section class=\"tc-cta\" data-twig-component=\"Cta-default\">\n  IMF<br \/>\n<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<section class=\"tc-cta\" data-twig-component=\"Cta-default\">\n  GDP<br \/>\n<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<section class=\"tc-cta\" data-twig-component=\"Cta-default\">\n  Economy<br \/>\n<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tp-vuukle\">\n<div class=\"c-vuukle-skeleton\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n<div class=\"c-vuukle-skeleton__header\"><span class=\"c-vuukle-skeleton__title\">Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"o-article-newsy__aside\">\n<div class=\"c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-1\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-top-stories\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-top-stories\">\n<h2 class=\"c-top-stories__title\">Top stories<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2939774-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2939774\" data-cid=\"9982386\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939774-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/98\/22\/66\/320x180_cmsv2_9aaa724f-4d8f-5b38-9d6e-c4d04706e1db-9982266.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A Ryanair Boeing 737 MAX 8 is approaching to land in Lisbon at sunrise on Sunday 23 June 2024.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Bomb threats continue to target aircrafts across Europe<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2939845-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2939845\" data-cid=\"9982596\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939845-label-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/98\/25\/96\/320x180_cmsv2_6d647aaa-5b02-593b-b3d4-3ea50f897c25-9982596.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - The TikTok logo is displayed on a mobile phone in front of a computer screen, Oct. 14, 2022, in Boston. (AP Photo\/Michael Dwyer, File)\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    EU tells TikTok to change &#8216;harmful&#8217; feed over &#8216;rabbit hole effect&#8217;<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2939868-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2939868\" data-cid=\"9982826\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939868-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/98\/28\/26\/320x180_cmsv2_c0b767e0-6c1e-5e97-af41-0a4395bfde2b-9982826.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Belgium&apos;s Prime Minister Bart De Wever speaks during a media conference in Brussels, Friday, Dec. 19, 2025.\" height=\"9\" 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with Russia over Eastern Europe&#8217;s head<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-2\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-most-viewed\">\n<h2 class=\"c-most-viewed__title qa-section-title\">Most 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class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2939774-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2939774\" data-cid=\"9982386\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2939774-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" 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on human rights<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"articleBody\" data-key=\"articleBody\">Kazakhstan\u2019s economic growth is expected to accelerate to 4.9% in 2027, up from a projected 4.4% this year, according to the International Monetary Fund\u2019s (IMF) latest World Economic Outlook, released in October.The 2026 forecast marks a slowdown from the 6.5% growth recorded in 2025. Nevertheless, Kazakhstan is projected to post the strongest economic growth among oil-exporting countries in the IMF\u2019s Middle East and Central Asia group this year. The region\u2019s economy is projected to contract by 0.3% in 2026 before growing by 6.3% in 2027.The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has hit Middle Eastern oil exporters hardest. The IMF expects Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait and Qatar to suffer double-digit contractions this year, followed by double-digit growth in 2027 as production and exports return to normal.Meanwhile, the report says commodity prices, remittances and ongoing reforms will continue to support growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia.Uzbekistan\u2019s economy is forecast to grow by 7.8% in 2026, before slowing to 6.5% in 2027. Kyrgyzstan is projected to record growth of 9% this year and 7% next year, while Tajikistan\u2019s economy is expected to expand by 7.3% and 6.8%, respectively. Turkmenistan is forecast to see growth of 2.4% in 2026, edging up to 2.5% in 2027.Geopolitical tensions disrupt oil marketsThe IMF identifies geopolitics and technology as two major forces shaping the global economic outlook, with the US-Iran conflict posing a significant challenge to energy markets.The closure of the Strait of Hormuz in March disrupted the transportation of around 20% of the world&#8217;s oil supply, equivalent to approximately 20 million barrels a day.The disruption prompted oil producers outside the Persian Gulf, namely Brazil, Kazakhstan, the United States and Venezuela, to increase output to compensate for the shortfall. Some Gulf producers redirected supplies through alternative routes, while the International Energy Agency (IEA) and China released emergency reserves.The IMF&#8217;s baseline scenario assumes that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen in March 2027, with a broader return to pre-war conditions expected by October of that year.Russia&#8217;s war in Ukraine has also added to disruptions in global oil supplies. Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, both onshore and at sea, have affected shipments of Kazakh crude transported through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC).AI investment offers opportunities amid global uncertaintyDespite the negative impact of geopolitical shocks on the global economy, investment in artificial intelligence (AI) and related technologies has provided some support to economic activity.The IMF points to the growing demand for advanced technology hardware, including semiconductors, as a potential opportunity for commodity-exporting economies such as Kazakhstan. These countries are positioned earlier in the global supply chain, supplying raw materials needed for the production of advanced technology components, much of which takes place in economies such as South Korea and Taiwan.However, the fund cautions that the sustainability of the AI-driven investment boom remains uncertain. Demand for technology could prove more persistent than expected, but energy constraints and safety concerns could limit the industry&#8217;s ability to expand.Overall, the IMF describes the global economy as resilient but increasingly uneven in its ability to withstand external shocks.The World Economic Outlook projects global economic growth to slow from 3.5% in 2025 to 3.1% in 2026, before recovering to 3.4% in 2027.Among major economies, US GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.3% in both 2026 and 2027. Growth in the eurozone is expected to slow to 1.1% this year and pick up to 1.2% next year. Growth in China is forecast to slow to 4.5% in 2026 and 4% in 2027.Global inflation is also expected to come under renewed pressure from war-related supply disruptions. After declining to 4.1% in 2025, headline inflation is forecast to rise to 4.7% in 2026 before returning to 4.1% in 2027.World trade growth is projected to slow from 5% in 2025 to 4.6% in 2026, before edging up to 4.7% in 2027. The IMF links the slowdown to the effects of tariffs, adjustments to global supply chains and the growing importance of technology-related trade.<\/div>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2026\/11\/06\/kazakhstans-growth-to-pick-up-in-2027-despite-geopolitical-tensions-imf-says&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/97\/79\/63\/1200x675_cmsv2_e055097d-bda1-540a-bed6-197156b622ec-9977963.jpg&#8221;] USA Meghan Markle&#8217;s father reportedly arrested in Florida over child porn Russia Iran official delivers secret Khamenei message to Putin in Moscow trip Travel News What to expect onboard Singapore Airlines\u2019 new long-haul cabins Azerbaijan Baku real estate expo showcases Azerbaijan\u2019s tech-driven urban future News World Kazakhstan Kazakhstan\u2019s growth to pick up [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[90],"tags":[226,36],"class_list":["post-2241774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-international","tag-crawlmanager","tag-euronews-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2241774","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2241774"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2241774\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2241774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2241774"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2241774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}