{"id":2229542,"date":"2026-10-29T21:20:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T18:20:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2229542"},"modified":"2026-10-29T21:20:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T18:20:25","slug":"cine-ar-putea-opri-o-noua-yalta-riscurile-pentru-romania-si-europa-de-est-explicate-de-un-politolog","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2229542","title":{"rendered":"Cine ar putea opri o \u201enou\u0103 Yalta\u201d? Riscurile pentru Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i Europa de Est, explicate de un politolog"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-f\/f78bdd15-c976-47ee-b831-d0d2fa752b93\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-1pk9a69\">\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Securitate \u015fi ap\u0103rare<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/cine-ar-putea-opri-o-noua-yalta-riscurile-2566436.html\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Cine ar putea opri o \u201enou\u0103 Yalta\u201d? Riscurile pentru Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i Europa de Est, explicate de un politolog<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-x63bga\"><\/p>\n<p>Profesorul Radu Albu Com\u0103nescu avertizeaz\u0103 asupra riscului ca marile puteri s\u0103 ajung\u0103 la \u00een\u021belegeri care s\u0103 schimbe echilibrul geopolitic al Europei, f\u0103r\u0103 ca statele din regiune s\u0103 aib\u0103 un cuv\u00e2nt decisiv de spus. \u00centr-un interviu pentru \u201eAdev\u0103rul\u201d, analistul explic\u0103 ce ar putea \u00eensemna o astfel de evolu\u021bie pentru Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i de ce pericolul real ar putea fi mai subtil dec\u00e2t o nou\u0103 \u00eemp\u0103r\u021bire a lumii.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-f\/f78bdd15-c976-47ee-b831-d0d2fa752b93\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Est-europenii se tem c\u0103 soarta lor ar putea fi decis\u0103 de marile puteri <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: AI \/ Gemini<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Adev\u0103rul:<br \/>\nCasa Alb\u0103 ar avea mari a\u0219tept\u0103ri de la <\/b><b>o<br \/>\n<\/b><b>trilateral\u0103<\/b><b><br \/>\nTrump, Putin, Xi Jinping, <\/b><b>care<br \/>\nar putea, dac\u0103 nu s\u0103 aduc\u0103 pacea, s\u0103 o apropie<\/b><b>.<br \/>\nCe instrumente concrete are la dispozi\u021bie SUA pentru a constr\u00e2nge<br \/>\nsau motiva <\/b><b>Rusia<br \/>\n\u0219i Ucraina <\/b><b>s\u0103<br \/>\nsemneze un acord de pace?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Radu<br \/>\nAlbu Com\u0103nescu: <\/b>Statele<br \/>\nUnite dispun, \u00een continuare, de cea mai larg\u0103 gam\u0103 de instrumente<br \/>\nde influen\u021b\u0103 asupra conflictului din Ucraina. \u00cen raport cu Rusia,<br \/>\nWashingtonul poate recurge la sanc\u021biuni financiare, restric\u021bii<br \/>\ncomerciale, limitarea accesului la tehnologie \u0219i la pie\u021bele<br \/>\ninterna\u021bionale, dar \u0219i la stimulente selective, precum relaxarea<br \/>\nunor m\u0103suri economice sau facilitarea unor acorduri comerciale<br \/>\npunctuale. \u00cen raport cu Ucraina, influen\u021ba american\u0103 deriv\u0103 din<br \/>\najutorul militar, schimbul de informa\u021bii, sprijinul financiar \u0219i<br \/>\ngaran\u021biile de securitate, p\u00e2rghii care fac din SUA actorul extern<br \/>\ncu cea mai mare capacitate de a accelera sau de a bloca un proces de<br \/>\npace.<br \/>\nDar,<br \/>\ntotu\u0219i, instrumentele nu trebuie confundate cu rezultatul pentru c\u0103<br \/>\no pace durabil\u0103 presupune existen\u021ba unei formule acceptabile pentru<br \/>\nambele tabere, iar aici dificult\u0103\u021bile sunt considerabile. Rusia<br \/>\nurm\u0103re\u0219te recunoa\u0219terea unor c\u00e2\u0219tiguri teritoriale \u0219i o<br \/>\nredesenare c\u00e2t mai extins\u0103 a arhitecturii de securitate europene,<br \/>\n\u00een timp ce Ucraina insist\u0103 asupra suveranit\u0103\u021bii sale \u0219i asupra<br \/>\nunor garan\u021bii credibile de securitate pe viitor&#8230; Nicio combina\u021bie<br \/>\nde presiuni \u0219i recompense nu poate elimina complet aceast\u0103<br \/>\ncontradic\u021bie.<br \/>\nMai<br \/>\nmult, dac\u0103 discu\u021biile trilaterale vor avea loc, ele vor reflecta<br \/>\nprobabil \u0219i alte preocup\u0103ri strategice: competi\u021bia<br \/>\namericano-chinez\u0103, controlul armamentelor nucleare, stabilitatea<br \/>\nOrientului Mijlociu dup\u0103 evenimentele din prim\u0103var\u0103, \u015fi pie\u021bele<br \/>\nenergetice. Declara\u021biile recente ale pre\u0219edintelui Trump sugereaz\u0103<br \/>\nc\u0103 un eventual summit ar putea avea o component\u0103 important\u0103 legat\u0103<br \/>\nde armele nucleare \u0219i de rela\u021bia dintre marile puteri, nu exclusiv<br \/>\nde Ucraina.<\/p>\n<h2>Limitele unei p\u0103ci impuse prin presiune diplomatic\u0103<\/h2>\n<p><b>Care<br \/>\n<\/b><b>ar<br \/>\nfi p\u00e2n\u0103 la urm\u0103<\/b><b>\u00a0limitele unei p\u0103ci impuse prin presiune diplomatic\u0103 sau<br \/>\neconomic\u0103?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nDac\u0103<br \/>\nprivim prin filtru istoric, presiunea diplomatic\u0103 \u0219i economic\u0103 pot<br \/>\nproduce armisti\u021bii, \u00eencet\u0103ri ale focului sau acorduri temporare,<br \/>\ndar nu genereaz\u0103 o reconciliere real\u0103; o pace perceput\u0103 de una<br \/>\ndintre p\u0103r\u021bi ca impus\u0103 din exterior risc\u0103 s\u0103 fie privit\u0103 drept<br \/>\no simpl\u0103 pauz\u0103 \u00eentre dou\u0103 episoade de confruntare: violen\u021ba pe<br \/>\ntermen scurt se reduce f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 rezolve cauzele profunde ale<br \/>\nconflictului.<br \/>\nExist\u0103,<br \/>\nde asemenea, o limit\u0103 de legitimitate: cu c\u00e2t actorii direct<br \/>\nimplica\u021bi au impresia c\u0103 marile puteri decid \u00een locul lor, cu at\u00e2t<br \/>\ncre\u0219te probabilitatea contest\u0103rii rezultatului. Tocmai<br \/>\nde aceea Kievul (\u015fi Uniunea European\u0103, care se simte periferizat\u0103)<br \/>\na reac\u021bionat critic la perspectiva unei discu\u021bii despre Ucraina<br \/>\nf\u0103r\u0103 participarea Ucrainei, iar pre\u0219edintele Zelenski a insistat<br \/>\nc\u0103 orice negociere privind viitorul \u021b\u0103rii sale trebuie s\u0103 includ\u0103<br \/>\nreprezentan\u021bi ucraineni.<br \/>\n\u00cen<br \/>\nplus, presiunea economic\u0103 func\u021bioneaz\u0103 cel mai bine atunci c\u00e2nd<br \/>\nexist\u0103 deja dorin\u021ba politic\u0103 a compromisului, or dac\u0103 aceasta<br \/>\nlipse\u0219te, sanc\u021biunile sau stimulentele financiare pot modifica<br \/>\nritmul conflictului, dar nu \u0219i logica sa fundamental\u0103. O pace<br \/>\nstabil\u0103 are nevoie de ceva ce nici sanc\u021biunile \u0219i nici ajutoarele<br \/>\nnu pot cump\u0103ra: \u00eencredere minim\u0103 \u00eentre adversari \u0219i o percep\u021bie<br \/>\ncomun\u0103 c\u0103 r\u0103zboiul nu e o alternativ\u0103 preferabil\u0103.<\/p>\n<h2>De ce o nou\u0103 Yalta e pu\u021bin probabil\u0103<\/h2>\n<p><b>Vorbind<br \/>\ndespre axa Putin-Xi-Trump, la ce fel de compromisuri s-ar putea<br \/>\najunge \u00eentr-un format trilateral? Exist\u0103 riscul unor \u201esfere de<br \/>\ninfluen\u021b\u0103\u201d <\/b><b>sau<br \/>\nchiar a unei noi Yalte<\/b><b>?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nDa,<br \/>\nacest risc exist\u0103 \u00een termeni reali (chiar dac\u0103 nu \u00eentr-un format<br \/>\nYalta) \u0219i tocmai de aceea simpla idee a unui summit \u00een trei<br \/>\nprovoac\u0103 nelini\u0219te \u00een multe capitale europene. Istoria rela\u021biilor<br \/>\ninterna\u021bionale abund\u0103 \u00een exemple \u00een care puteri cu mare greutate<br \/>\n\u015fi dispun\u00e2nd de mijloace ample au \u00eencercat s\u0103 stabilizeze<br \/>\nsistemul prin delimitarea unor zone de interes reciproc. Ideea de<br \/>\nsummit Trump-Putin-Xi a alimentat tocmai aceast\u0103 preocupare,<br \/>\ndeoarece Ucraina nu ar participa direct la discu\u021bii \u015fi este evident<br \/>\n\u00een ce sfer\u0103 ar fi plasat\u0103: una care ar aduce Rusia \u00een vecin\u0103tatea<br \/>\nimediat\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei.<br \/>\n\u00cen<br \/>\npractic\u0103, nu cred c\u0103 ne afl\u0103m \u00een fa\u021ba unui nou \u201eYalta\u201d<br \/>\nclasic pentru c\u0103 lumea actual\u0103 este mult mai fragmentat\u0103 dec\u00e2t<br \/>\ncea din 1945.<\/p>\n<h2>Cine ar putea sta \u00een calea marilor puteri<\/h2>\n<p><b>\u0218i cine ar fi statele sau alian\u021bele care s-ar putea opune sau cine ar putea m\u0103car s\u0103 limiteze riscul la care v-a\u021bi referit?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Chiar dac\u0103 Washingtonul, Moscova \u0219i Beijingul ar<br \/>\najunge la anumite \u00een\u021belegeri informale, implementarea lor ar<br \/>\ndepinde de numero\u0219i actori intermediari: Uniunea European\u0103, statele<br \/>\nNATO, Ucraina \u00eens\u0103\u015fi, o Turcie ambivalent\u0103, o Indie mai prezent\u0103<br \/>\ninterna\u0163ional dec\u00e2t \u00een 1945 (c\u00e2nd \u00eenc\u0103 nu exista ca stat&#8230;) \u0219i<br \/>\nal\u021bii. Capacitatea celor trei lideri de a redesena singuri ordinea<br \/>\ninterna\u021bional\u0103 e mult mai redus\u0103 dec\u00e2t sugereaz\u0103 comentariile<br \/>\nalarmiste.<br \/>\nDar<br \/>\nexist\u0103 un risc mai subtil \u0219i mai realist: nu o \u00eemp\u0103r\u021bire formal\u0103<br \/>\na lumii, ci apari\u021bia unor \u00een\u021belegeri tacite privind priorit\u0103\u021bile<br \/>\nstrategice. De pild\u0103, Washingtonul ar putea fi tentat s\u0103 acorde<br \/>\nprioritate competi\u021biei cu China.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-4\/4ec02003-81c1-4638-9cb8-bb24dce24545\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Radu Albu Com\u0103nescu este cadru didactic \u0219i cercet\u0103tor la UBB Cluj <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: Arhiv\u0103 personal\u0103<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/silicon-valley-preia-puterea-rusia-exploateaza-2565361.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-78g0vl\">Silicon Valley preia puterea, Rusia exploateaz\u0103 haosul. Nou\u0103 tactic\u0103 a Kremlinului, dezv\u0103luit\u0103 de rom\u00e2nul care pred\u0103 diploma\u021bie la Oxford<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p> Beijingul ar urm\u0103ri stabilitatea<br \/>\neconomic\u0103 \u0219i accesul la pie\u021be (cu o prioritate pe pia\u0163a cea mai<br \/>\ndependent\u0103 de comer\u0163ul chinez, cea european\u0103), iar Moscova ar<br \/>\n\u00eencerca s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 recunoa\u0219terea implicit\u0103 a unor zone de<br \/>\ninfluen\u021b\u0103 \u00een vecin\u0103tatea sa. \u00centr-un asemenea scenariu, Europa<br \/>\n\u0219i Ucraina ar trebui s\u0103 fie extrem de atente, deoarece lec\u021bia<br \/>\nclasic\u0103 a geopoliticii r\u0103m\u00e2ne valabil\u0103: atunci c\u00e2nd marile<br \/>\nputeri se \u00eent\u00e2lnesc, cei absen\u021bi de la mas\u0103 risc\u0103 s\u0103 descopere<br \/>\nc\u0103 se afl\u0103 pe meniu.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><b>Ar putea fi\u00a0<\/b><b>summitul<br \/>\nG20 cadrul potrivit pentru un acord bilateral <\/b><b>sau<br \/>\n<\/b><b>multilateral<br \/>\nde o asemenea amploare sau risc\u0103 s\u0103 fie blocat de interesele<br \/>\ndivergente ale statelor membre?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nG20<br \/>\neste, prin natura lui, un forum de consultare \u00eentre marile economii<br \/>\nale lumii, nu un mecanism clasic de negociere \u0219i garantare a p\u0103cii.<br \/>\nTocmai<br \/>\nde aceea, dac\u0103 s-ar ajunge la un acord privind Ucraina, e mai<br \/>\nprobabil ca acesta s\u0103 fi fost preg\u0103tit anterior prin negocieri<br \/>\nrestr\u00e2nse \u0219i doar anun\u021bat sau consacrat politic \u00een marja unui<br \/>\nsummit G20, iar discu\u021biile recente privind o posibil\u0103 \u00eent\u00e2lnire<br \/>\n\u00eentre Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin \u0219i Xi Jinping par s\u0103 indice o<br \/>\nasemenea logic\u0103. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, G20 ofer\u0103 un avantaj important:<br \/>\nlegitimitatea interna\u021bional\u0103: un acord prezentat \u00eentr-un cadru<br \/>\ncare include at\u00e2t state occidentale, c\u00e2t \u0219i puteri emergente ar<br \/>\nbeneficia de o validare politic\u0103 mai larg\u0103 dec\u00e2t una exclusiv<br \/>\nbilateral\u0103.<br \/>\nProblema,<br \/>\npentru cine vrea s\u0103 foloseasc\u0103 G20 ca scen\u0103, este c\u0103 acesta nu<br \/>\nfunc\u021bioneaz\u0103 pe baza unei discipline strategice comune; interesele<br \/>\nChinei, ale Europei, ale Indiei, ale SUA \u0219i ale Rusiei difer\u0103<br \/>\nconsiderabil, motiv pentru care summitul ar putea servi mai mult<br \/>\ndrept scen\u0103 pentru un acord, nu loc unde acesta e efectiv<br \/>\nconstruit.<\/p>\n<h2>Linia ro\u0219ie a Kievului: Ce concesii sunt acceptabile f\u0103r\u0103 o capitulare intern\u0103<\/h2>\n<p><b>Ce concesii ar fi acceptabile pentru Kiev \u0219i ce condi\u021bii minime ar pune Putin<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u015etim<br \/>\nc\u0103, din perspectiva conducerii ucrainene, linia ro\u0219ie fundamental\u0103<br \/>\ne legat\u0103 de supravie\u021buirea statului \u00eentr-un format teritorial<br \/>\nviabil \u015fi sustenabil. O pace poate presupune compromisuri<br \/>\nteritoriale de facto, dar foarte greu o recunoa\u0219tere formal\u0103 \u0219i<br \/>\ndefinitiv\u0103 a pierderilor teritoriale, drept care trebuie s\u0103<br \/>\ndiferen\u0163iem \u00eentre formula \u201enu putem recupera acum aceste<br \/>\nteritorii\u201d \u0219i formula \u201erenun\u021b\u0103m pentru totdeauna la<br \/>\nele\u201d.<br \/>\nRealist,<br \/>\nKievul ar putea accepta o \u00eenghe\u021bare a liniilor de contact<br \/>\nexistente, o perioad\u0103 lung\u0103 de armisti\u021biu \u0219i chiar am\u00e2narea unor<br \/>\nrevendic\u0103ri teritoriale; dar ar solicita garan\u021bii de securitate,<br \/>\nacces constant la armament occidental, integrare economic\u0103 european\u0103<br \/>\n\u0219i men\u021binerea principiului c\u0103 anex\u0103rile realizate prin for\u021b\u0103 nu<br \/>\nsunt recunoscute juridic.<br \/>\nDin<br \/>\npunct de vedere politic intern, ceea ce ar transforma un compromis<br \/>\n\u00eentr-o capitulare nu este at\u00e2t pierderea teritoriului, c\u00e2t<br \/>\nimpresia c\u0103 Ucraina a fost abandonat\u0103 inclusiv de conducerea<br \/>\nproprie \u0219i c\u0103 e lipsit\u0103 de orice perspectiv\u0103 strategic\u0103&#8230; Dac\u0103<br \/>\nacordul poate fi prezentat ca o etap\u0103 de consolidare \u0219i<br \/>\nreconstruc\u021bie statal\u0103, atunci ar putea fi acceptat, dar dac\u0103 e<br \/>\nperceput ca o simpl\u0103 cedare impus\u0103 din exterior, stabilitatea sa<br \/>\npolitic\u0103 va fi fragil\u0103.\n<\/p>\n<p><b>Ce<br \/>\ncondi\u021bii minime ar urm\u0103ri Vladimir Putin pentru a decreta o<br \/>\n\u201evictorie\u201d \u00een fa\u021ba propriului public \u0219i ce l-ar face s\u0103<br \/>\nrespecte termenii pe termen lung?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nPentru<br \/>\nKremlin, orice acord trebuie s\u0103 poat\u0103 fi prezentat opiniei publice<br \/>\nruse drept confirmarea faptului c\u0103 Rusia \u0219i-a impus voin\u021ba<br \/>\nstrategic\u0103, \u015fi atunci e probabil ca Moscova s\u0103 urm\u0103reasc\u0103 cel<br \/>\npu\u021bin trei obiective: men\u021binerea controlului asupra unei p\u0103r\u021bi<br \/>\nsemnificative a teritoriilor ocupate, limitarea integr\u0103rii militare<br \/>\noccidentale a Ucrainei (inclusiv a accesului la armament occidental)<br \/>\n\u0219i recunoa\u0219terea Rusiei drept interlocutor indispensabil \u00een<br \/>\nproblemele de securitate european\u0103.<br \/>\n\u00cen<br \/>\nrealitate, victoria pe care o caut\u0103 Kremlinul e poate mai degrab\u0103<br \/>\nuna simbolic\u0103, pentru c\u0103 e\u015fecul militar este monstruos de umilitor<br \/>\npentru un stat cu preten\u0163ii nu doar de superputere (\u015fi SUA au<br \/>\npierdut destule r\u0103zboaie&#8230;), ci de reconfigurator prin presiune al<br \/>\nsistemului de securitate \u00een Europa. Nara\u0163iunea rus\u0103 vrea s\u0103<br \/>\ndemonstreze c\u0103 presiunea occidental\u0103 nu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 \u00eei schimbe<br \/>\ncomportamentul strategic \u0219i c\u0103 statutul s\u0103u de mare putere trebuie<br \/>\nacceptat. Cea ce ne duce la \u00eentrebarea dificil\u0103 privind respectarea<br \/>\nacordului: istoria rela\u021biilor ruso-occidentale sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103<br \/>\nMoscova respect\u0103 \u00een\u021belegerile atunci c\u00e2nd costurile \u00eenc\u0103lc\u0103rii<br \/>\nlor sunt mai mari dec\u00e2t beneficiile. Cu alte cuvinte, nu formulele<br \/>\ndiplomatice garanteaz\u0103 stabilitatea, ci raportul net de for\u021be. Dac\u0103<br \/>\nRusia va considera c\u0103 o reluare a ostilit\u0103\u021bilor este avantajoas\u0103<br \/>\n\u0219i pu\u021bin costisitoare, niciun text nu va fi suficient. Dac\u0103 \u00eens\u0103<br \/>\npre\u021bul revenirii la conflict devine prohibitiv, acordul are \u0219anse<br \/>\ns\u0103 dureze.<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-interne\/evenimente\/o-romanca-scrie-creierul-robotilor-la-nasa-poate-2564324.html\"> Rom\u00e2nia <\/a>are extrem de multe de \u00eenv\u0103\u0163at din<br \/>\nasta.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/alegerile-din-serbia-sub-semnul-protestelor-miza-2566275.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-78g0vl\">Alegerile din Serbia, sub semnul protestelor. Miza aparte pentru Rom\u00e2nia, explicat\u0103 de un analistul politic decorat de Fran\u021ba<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Ce pot face est-europenii<\/h2>\n<p><b>Europa<br \/>\nde Est tremur\u0103 la g\u00e2ndul c\u0103 marile puteri ar putea fi tentate s\u0103<br \/>\nia decizii peste capul europenilor. <\/b><b>Care<br \/>\neste rolul Uniunii Europene \u0219i al NATO dac\u0103 marile decizii s-<\/b><b>ar<br \/>\nlua<\/b><b><br \/>\n\u00een formate restr\u00e2nse <\/b><b>gen<br \/>\n<\/b><b>SUA<br \/>\n&#8211; China &#8211; Rusia?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nE<br \/>\nuna dintre marile anxiet\u0103\u021bi strategice europene ale momentului.<br \/>\nEuropenii au investit enorm \u00een sprijinirea Ucrainei, dar exist\u0103<br \/>\nteama c\u0103 deciziile finale ar putea fi discutate \u00eentr-un format din<br \/>\ncare Europa este absent\u0103 sau \u00een care, cu extreme pro-ruse la<br \/>\nputere, abandoneaz\u0103 s\u0103-\u015fi reclame pozi\u0163iile.<br \/>\nTotu\u0219i,<br \/>\nchiar dac\u0103 Washingtonul, Moscova \u0219i Beijingul discut\u0103 \u00eentre ele,<br \/>\nimplementarea practic\u0103 a oric\u0103rui acord depinde semnificativ de<br \/>\nUniunea European\u0103 \u0219i <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/nato-isi-schimba-strategia-si-promite-sa-2563814.html\">NATO.<\/a> Reconstruc\u021bia Ucrainei, sanc\u021biunile<br \/>\neconomice, comer\u021bul, asisten\u021ba financiar\u0103, securitatea<br \/>\nfrontierelor \u0219i prezen\u021ba militar\u0103 pe flancul estic r\u0103m\u00e2n \u00een<br \/>\nmare m\u0103sur\u0103 instrumente europene \u0219i euro-atlantice, at\u00e2t timp c\u00e2t<br \/>\nBruxelles-ul \u015fi capitalele asociate \u00een\u0163eleg \u015fi vor s\u0103 le<br \/>\nfoloseasc\u0103.\n<\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"footerShare svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"_hydratable\" data-props=\"%7B%22showLive%22%3Atrue%7D\" data-context=\"%7B%22parentBlockColumnCount%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A0%2C%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%2C%22parentBlockBackgroundColor%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%7D\" data-component=\"ShareButton\">\n<div class=\"shareButtons svelte-itwbrr\">\n<div class=\"liveSessions metaFont svelte-1maxmbf\"><span class=\"value svelte-1maxmbf\">1<\/span> live <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"whatsappChannel metaFont svelte-fbt7l7\" href=\"https:\/\/whatsapp.com\/channel\/0029VaD2OGk9mrGhd0APdy1O\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;whatsapp_channel_follow_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{}}\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"copy svelte-fbt7l7\"><strong class=\"svelte-fbt7l7\">Adev\u0103rul, direct pe WhatsApp<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"svelte-fbt7l7\">Urm\u0103re\u0219te canalul nostru \u0219i r\u0103m\u00e2i la curent cu \u0219tirile.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"channelButton svelte-fbt7l7\"><span>Urm\u0103re\u0219te canalul<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-wrap related-footer svelte-78g0vl\"><span class=\"related-label svelte-78g0vl\">Cite\u0219te \u0219i<\/span><a class=\"related svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/europa\/bulgaria-prinsa-intre-rusia-si-occident-miza-2566412.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumb svelte-78g0vl\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-6\/66d785ee-9d70-47fc-be73-c8d756bbc872\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Dwebp%26w%3D120%26h%3D80%26r%3Dcover%26a%3D0\" alt loading=\"lazy\" width=\"80\" height=\"54\"><span class=\"title svelte-78g0vl\">Bulgaria, prins\u0103 \u00eentre Rusia \u0219i Occident. Miza alegerilor preziden\u021biale de ast\u0103zi, explicat\u0103 de un jurnalist de la Sofia<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-1l3vwp1\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-1l3vwp1\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-1l3vwp1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/rusia\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre rusia\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">rusia<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/sua\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre sua\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">sua<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/ucraina\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre ucraina\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">ucraina<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/donald%20trump\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre donald trump\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">donald trump<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/vladimir%20putin\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre vladimir putin\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">vladimir putin<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/nato\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre nato\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">nato<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/interviu\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre interviu\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">interviu<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-x63bga\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\" title=\"Securitate \u0219i ap\u0103rare\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-x63bga\">Securitate \u015fi ap\u0103rare<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/cine-ar-putea-opri-o-noua-yalta-riscurile-2566436.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-f\/f78bdd15-c976-47ee-b831-d0d2fa752b93\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home Securitate \u015fi ap\u0103rare Cine ar putea opri o \u201enou\u0103 Yalta\u201d? 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