{"id":2226584,"date":"2026-10-29T16:30:18","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T13:30:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2226584"},"modified":"2026-10-29T16:30:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T13:30:18","slug":"india-increases-growth-forecast-for-fiscal-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2226584","title":{"rendered":"India increases growth forecast for fiscal year"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Despite the ministry’s rosy overall forecast, fuel costs have risen by around a quarter in the past year, putting severe strain on households.Image: Diptendu Dutta\/NurPhoto\/picture alliance<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
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India’s\u00a0Ministry of Finance expects\u00a0India’s economy to grow at a pace of 7.3% in the current fiscal year based on its latest assessment of current data, it said in its October economic review<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The estimate is a slight increase on the previous forecast of 7.1%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

India’s current fiscal year, known as FY27,\u00a0runs from April 1, 2026 to March 31, 2027.<\/p>\n

The report contrasted these figures with global growth predictions of nearer 3%, saying “India’s growth momentum, by comparison, has held firm.”\u00a0<\/p>\n

The ministry said growth in various key indicators like energy consumption, port traffic, goods and services tax (GST) collections, and car sales had accelerated in the previous quarter.<\/p>\n

Inflation, fueled by El Nino and geopolitics, poses a threat<\/h2>\n

However, the ministry also warned of continued inflationary pressure and pressure on the rupee currency, as well as downside risks from the El Nino weather phonemenon<\/a> that could threaten soil moisture ahead of the winter sowing season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

It said that external factors like oil prices<\/a> and “global uncertainties” \u2014\u00a0seemingly a reference at least in part to the instablity in the Middle East \u2014 continued to pressure the rupee’s value and pose inflationary risks.<\/p>\n

Consumer price inflation (CPI), the wholesale price index (WPI), food cost prices and fuel and power prices were all rising month for month, albeit at very different rates.<\/p>\n

The CPI was up 5.54% year-on-year\u00a0in September, but the WPI had risen more sharply at 11.39%. Food index inflation was up by 8% in rural areas, and a slightly more modest 7.18% in urban centers.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But, as in many other countries, fuel and power costs increases were in an entirely different league, at 25.85% inflation in September 2026 comapred to the same month a year earlier, prior to the outbreak of fighting in the Middle East.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ministry says FX reserves ample, rupee’s decline appears manageable<\/h2>\n

Although it has been a comparatively slow decline, the rupee has been consistently losing value against the US dollar over the past five years, threatening the country’s relative purchasing power internationally. This slide has picked up pace in the last 15 months or so.<\/p>\n

But the ministry pointed to foreign exchange reserves worth some $721 billion and said that India<\/a> was “well-positioned” to weather such risks and sustain its expansionary trajectory..<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

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India’s\u00a0Ministry of Finance expects\u00a0India’s economy to grow at a pace of 7.3% in the current fiscal year based on its latest assessment of current data, it said in its October economic review<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The estimate is a slight increase on the previous forecast of 7.1%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

India’s current fiscal year, known as FY27,\u00a0runs from April 1, 2026 to March 31, 2027.<\/p>\n

The report contrasted these figures with global growth predictions of nearer 3%, saying “India’s growth momentum, by comparison, has held firm.”\u00a0<\/p>\n

The ministry said growth in various key indicators like energy consumption, port traffic, goods and services tax (GST) collections, and car sales had accelerated in the previous quarter.<\/p>\n

Inflation, fueled by El Nino and geopolitics, poses a threat<\/h2>\n

However, the ministry also warned of continued inflationary pressure and pressure on the rupee currency, as well as downside risks from the El Nino weather phonemenon<\/a> that could threaten soil moisture ahead of the winter sowing season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

It said that external factors like oil prices<\/a> and “global uncertainties” \u2014\u00a0seemingly a reference at least in part to the instablity in the Middle East \u2014 continued to pressure the rupee’s value and pose inflationary risks.<\/p>\n

Consumer price inflation (CPI), the wholesale price index (WPI), food cost prices and fuel and power prices were all rising month for month, albeit at very different rates.<\/p>\n

The CPI was up 5.54% year-on-year\u00a0in September, but the WPI had risen more sharply at 11.39%. Food index inflation was up by 8% in rural areas, and a slightly more modest 7.18% in urban centers.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But, as in many other countries, fuel and power costs increases were in an entirely different league, at 25.85% inflation in September 2026 comapred to the same month a year earlier, prior to the outbreak of fighting in the Middle East.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ministry says FX reserves ample, rupee’s decline appears manageable<\/h2>\n

Although it has been a comparatively slow decline, the rupee has been consistently losing value against the US dollar over the past five years, threatening the country’s relative purchasing power internationally. This slide has picked up pace in the last 15 months or so.<\/p>\n

But the ministry pointed to foreign exchange reserves worth some $721 billion and said that India<\/a> was “well-positioned” to weather such risks and sustain its expansionary trajectory..<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

India’s\u00a0Ministry of Finance expects\u00a0India’s economy to grow at a pace of 7.3% in the current fiscal year based on its latest assessment of current data, it said in its October economic review<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The estimate is a slight increase on the previous forecast of 7.1%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

India’s current fiscal year, known as FY27,\u00a0runs from April 1, 2026 to March 31, 2027.<\/p>\n

The report contrasted these figures with global growth predictions of nearer 3%, saying “India’s growth momentum, by comparison, has held firm.”\u00a0<\/p>\n

The ministry said growth in various key indicators like energy consumption, port traffic, goods and services tax (GST) collections, and car sales had accelerated in the previous quarter.<\/p>\n

However, the ministry also warned of continued inflationary pressure and pressure on the rupee currency, as well as downside risks from the El Nino weather phonemenon<\/a> that could threaten soil moisture ahead of the winter sowing season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

It said that external factors like oil prices<\/a> and “global uncertainties” \u2014\u00a0seemingly a reference at least in part to the instablity in the Middle East \u2014 continued to pressure the rupee’s value and pose inflationary risks.<\/p>\n

Consumer price inflation (CPI), the wholesale price index (WPI), food cost prices and fuel and power prices were all rising month for month, albeit at very different rates.<\/p>\n

The CPI was up 5.54% year-on-year\u00a0in September, but the WPI had risen more sharply at 11.39%. Food index inflation was up by 8% in rural areas, and a slightly more modest 7.18% in urban centers.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But, as in many other countries, fuel and power costs increases were in an entirely different league, at 25.85% inflation in September 2026 comapred to the same month a year earlier, prior to the outbreak of fighting in the Middle East.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Although it has been a comparatively slow decline, the rupee has been consistently losing value against the US dollar over the past five years, threatening the country’s relative purchasing power internationally. This slide has picked up pace in the last 15 months or so.<\/p>\n

But the ministry pointed to foreign exchange reserves worth some $721 billion and said that India<\/a> was “well-positioned” to weather such risks and sustain its expansionary trajectory..<\/em><\/p>\n

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[analyse_image type=”featured” src=”https:\/\/static.dw.com\/image\/79799467_6.jpg”] https:\/\/p.dw.com\/p\/5OpMB Prefer DW on Google Despite the ministry’s rosy overall forecast, fuel costs have risen by around a quarter in the past year, putting severe strain on households.Image: Diptendu Dutta\/NurPhoto\/picture alliance India’s\u00a0Ministry of Finance expects\u00a0India’s economy to grow at a pace of 7.3% in the current fiscal year based on its latest […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[226,74],"class_list":["post-2226584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","tag-crawlmanager","tag-dw-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2226584","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2226584"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2226584\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2226584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2226584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2226584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}