{"id":2136380,"date":"2026-09-09T18:23:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T15:23:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2136380"},"modified":"2026-09-09T18:23:50","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T15:23:50","slug":"dupa-sapte-ani-de-seceta-marocul-se-confrunta-cu-inundatii-ce-rol-are-el-nino-in-schimbarea-vremii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2136380","title":{"rendered":"Dup\u0103 \u0219apte ani de secet\u0103, Marocul se confrunt\u0103 cu inunda\u021bii. Ce rol are El Ni\u00f1o \u00een schimbarea vremii"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-c\/cb46c098-b7e1-4e62-8ff4-ad48a88c5ac0\/index.gif?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-1pk9a69\">\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">\u0218tiri Externe<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">\u00cen lume<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\/dupa-sapte-ani-de-seceta-marocul-se-confrunta-cu-2555220.html\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Dup\u0103 \u0219apte ani de secet\u0103, Marocul se confrunt\u0103 cu inunda\u021bii. Ce rol are El Ni\u00f1o \u00een schimbarea vremii <\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-x63bga\"><\/p>\n<p>Marocul a trecut printr-o perioad\u0103 de secet\u0103 prelungit\u0103 \u00een cea mai mare parte a ultimului deceniu. \u00centre 2019 \u0219i 2024, \u021bara a \u00eenregistrat \u0219ase ani consecutivi cu precipita\u021bii sub medie, cea mai lung\u0103 astfel de perioad\u0103 consemnat\u0103 vreodat\u0103. Anul hidrologic 2023-2024 a fost cel mai secetos din ultimele peste \u0219ase decenii, cu un total na\u021bional de doar 106,4 mm.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-a\/acc0fbff-9a10-4380-a42d-87cdd981e18f\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26c%3D0%252C0%252C1%252C0.576%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Inunda\u021bii \u00een Africa de Nord <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: X<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u00a0Disponibilitatea resurselor de ap\u0103 regenerabil\u0103 pe cap de locuitor \u00een Maroc a sc\u0103zut la aproximativ 620 de metri cubi pe an, amplific\u00e2nd stresul hidric, \u00een timp ce trei decenii de exploatare excesiv\u0103 au redus semnificativ nivelul apei din mai multe acvifere. Nimic din toamna anului 2025 nu sugera c\u0103 aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie urma s\u0103 se schimbe. Apoi a venit iarna anilor 2025\u20132026.<\/p>\n<p>Ploaia a revenit brusc \u0219i la o scar\u0103 pe care Marocul nu o mai v\u0103zuse de o genera\u021bie. \u0218apte ani de secet\u0103 s-au \u00eencheiat \u00eentr-o singur\u0103 iarn\u0103. Lacurile de acumulare, puternic epuizate, au \u00eenceput s\u0103 se umple rapid. R\u00e2urile care secaser\u0103 au \u00eenceput din nou s\u0103 curg\u0103, scrie <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/from-drought-to-floods-in-north-africa-what-could-the-super-el-nino-do-next-290697\" rel=\"nofollow\">The Conversation.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Imaginile video surprind apele rev\u0103rsate care str\u0103bat Mun\u021bii Atlas din Maroc, dup\u0103 ce ploile abundente au provocat cre\u0219terea brusc\u0103 a nivelului apei, afect\u00e2nd infrastructura:<\/p>\n<div class=\"raw-block\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"315\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/oaVjyBbC2Ws\" frameborder allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen class=\"responsive\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>\u00cen prezent, un fenomen El Ni\u00f1o de o intensitate record se dezvolt\u0103 \u00een Oceanul Pacific. Ar putea acesta s\u0103 arunce din nou nord-vestul Africii \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 de secet\u0103? R\u0103spunsul se afl\u0103 la mii de kilometri distan\u021b\u0103, deasupra Atlanticului de Nord.<\/p>\n<h2>Ce s-a schimbat<\/h2>\n<p>Cea mai mare parte a precipita\u021biilor din Maroc cade iarna, fiind adus\u0103 de furtunile din Atlantic. Num\u0103rul acestora care ajung \u00een \u021bar\u0103 depinde, \u00een parte, de Oscila\u021bia Atlanticului de Nord \u2013 diferen\u021ba de presiune dintre Azore \u0219i Islanda care determin\u0103 viteza \u0219i pozi\u021bia curentului de jet, acel curent de mare altitudine ce func\u021bioneaz\u0103 ca o autostrad\u0103 pentru sistemele meteorologice.<\/p>\n<p>Atunci c\u00e2nd aceast\u0103 diferen\u021b\u0103 de presiune este mare, curentul jet tinde s\u0103 circule cu vitez\u0103 mai mare \u0219i mai la nord, purt\u00e2nd furtuni spre nordul Europei. C\u00e2nd aceasta scade, curentul jet se poate deplasa spre sud. \u00cen esen\u021b\u0103, exact acest lucru s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat \u00een cursul iernii 2025\u20132026.<\/p>\n<p>Presiunea a sc\u0103zut \u00een zona Insulelor Azore \u0219i a crescut \u00een apropierea Islandei, iar curentul jet a reac\u021bionat deviind ad\u00e2nc spre latitudinile subtropicale. Nucleul s\u0103u cu cea mai mare vitez\u0103 s-a deplasat spre coasta Marocului, \u00een loc s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 mai la nord, \u00eenspre Insulele Britanice. Aceast\u0103 combina\u021bie este un tipar meteorologic distinctiv pentru nord-vestul Africii: un gradient de presiune sl\u0103bit, <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/europa\/mediterana-incarcata-de-vara-caniculara-2553036.html\">un curent jet deplasat spre sud \u0219i furtuni atlantice<\/a> care au ajuns \u00een mod repetat \u00een Maroc.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\/fenomenul-meteorologic-el-nino-de-incalzire-a-2274036.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-78g0vl\">Fenomenul meteorologic  El Ni\u00f1o, de \u00eenc\u0103lzire a planetei, a revenit \u00een for\u021b\u0103<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Acest fenomen a redirec\u021bionat traiectoria furtunilor spre Maroc. O furtun\u0103 dup\u0103 alta a sosit dinspre Atlantic, aduc\u00e2nd aer umed \u0219i precipita\u021bii suplimentare peste un sol deja saturat de ap\u0103. Mun\u021bii Rif \u0219i Atlas au for\u021bat ascensiunea acestui aer umed, gener\u00e2nd ploi \u0219i mai abundente, \u00een special \u00een bazinul r\u00e2ului Sebou, situat \u00een nord-estul \u021b\u0103rii.<\/p>\n<h2>Ce ar putea \u00eensemna un \u201esuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d?<\/h2>\n<p>Regiunea tropical\u0103 a Oceanului Pacific trece printr-o schimbare major\u0103, evolu\u00e2nd spre un fenomen \u201esuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d. Administra\u021bia Na\u021bional\u0103 Oceanic\u0103 \u0219i Atmosferic\u0103 a SUA (NOAA) estimeaz\u0103 \u00een prezent la peste 90% probabilitatea producerii unui fenomen El Ni\u00f1o foarte puternic \u00een aceast\u0103 iarn\u0103, majoritatea modelelor indic\u00e2nd un eveniment de o intensitate excep\u021bional\u0103. Acest lucru ridic\u0103 imediat c\u00e2teva \u00eentreb\u0103ri importante pentru Maroc.<\/p>\n<p>\u00censeamn\u0103 un \u201esuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\/el-nino-se-intensifica-si-provoaca-deja-dezastre-2549593.html\">o nou\u0103 iarn\u0103 bogat\u0103 \u00een precipita\u021bii<\/a>? Sau ar putea reveni seceta?Deocamdat\u0103 nu putem spune cu certitudine. Motivul este c\u0103 El Ni\u00f1o reprezint\u0103 doar o parte a tabloului general. Oceanul Pacific poate influen\u021ba probabilit\u0103\u021bile, \u00eens\u0103, \u00een cazul Marocului, Oceanul Atlantic de Nord ar putea fi factorul decisiv care determin\u0103 traiectoria furtunilor.<\/p>\n<p>Iernile marcate de un fenomen El Ni\u00f1o puternic tind s\u0103 \u00eemping\u0103 Oscila\u021bia Atlanticului de Nord spre faza sa negativ\u0103 spre sf\u00e2r\u0219itul sezonului, ceea ce poate deplasa furtunile atlantice mai spre sud. De asemenea, un \u00eenceput de iarn\u0103 mai ploios \u00een Peninsula Iberic\u0103 a fost asociat cu fenomenul El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p>Dac\u0103 aceste condi\u021bii se \u00eentrunesc \u00een aceast\u0103 iarn\u0103, gradientul de presiune dintre Azore \u0219i Islanda s-ar putea sl\u0103bi din nou. Curentul jet s-ar putea deplasa spre sud, permi\u021b\u00e2nd unui num\u0103r mai mare de furtuni atlantice s\u0103 ajung\u0103 \u00een Maroc \u0219i \u00een alte zone din nord-vestul Africii. Cu alte cuvinte, un fenomen El Ni\u00f1o puternic ar putea spori \u0219ansele unei noi ierni bogate \u00een precipita\u021bii. Exist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 \u0219i o nuan\u021b\u0103 important\u0103.<\/p>\n<h2>Efecte \u00een Atlanticul de Nord<\/h2>\n<p>Este posibil ca Atlanticul s\u0103 nu urmeze tiparul Pacificului. El Ni\u00f1o nu controleaz\u0103 Atlanticul de Nord precum un \u00eentrerup\u0103tor. Semnalul din Pacific ajunge \u00een Europa indirect \u0219i inconstant, concur\u00e2nd totodat\u0103 cu puternica variabilitate intern\u0103 proprie Atlanticului de Nord.<\/p>\n<p>Acest lucru explic\u0103 de ce, \u00een pofida deceniilor de cercetare, a fost dificil s\u0103 se identifice o amprent\u0103 simpl\u0103 \u0219i fiabil\u0103 a fenomenului El Ni\u00f1o asupra regiunii mediteraneene. Analiza privind iarna 2025\u20132026 ilustreaz\u0103 foarte bine aceast\u0103 incertitudine. \u00cen ciuda schimb\u0103rii radicale a circula\u021biei atmosferice care a readus ploile \u00een Maroc, Pacificul \u0219i Oscila\u021bia Atlanticului de Nord nu au prezentat, practic, nicio leg\u0103tur\u0103 \u00eentre ele. Acest fapt indic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 iarna ploioas\u0103 a fost determinat\u0103 \u00een primul r\u00e2nd de fenomenele din Atlanticul de Nord, \u0219i nu de un semnal clar provenit din zona tropical\u0103 a Pacificului.<\/p>\n<p>A\u0219adar, ar putea nord-vestul Africii s\u0103 revin\u0103 la o stare de secet\u0103? Da, \u00eens\u0103 nu doar din cauza fenomenului El Ni\u00f1o. Dup\u0103 \u0219apte ani de secet\u0103 \u0219i o iarn\u0103 cu precipita\u021bii excep\u021bionale, nord-vestul Africii se confrunt\u0103 acum cu un nou sezon marcat de incertitudine. El Ni\u00f1o poate modifica probabilit\u0103\u021bile, dar nu decide rezultatul final. El Ni\u00f1o poate \u201em\u0103slui\u201d zarurile, \u00eens\u0103 Atlanticul de Nord este cel care le arunc\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"related-wrap related-footer svelte-78g0vl\"><span class=\"related-label svelte-78g0vl\">Cite\u0219te \u0219i<\/span><a class=\"related svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-interne\/meteo\/el-nino-va-aduce-valuri-de-calduri-si-in-2547784.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumb svelte-78g0vl\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-4\/49ebbc57-a1f8-4ba0-8f4f-939b42b7fbab\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Dwebp%26w%3D120%26h%3D80%26r%3Dcover%26a%3D0\" alt loading=\"lazy\" width=\"80\" height=\"54\"><span class=\"title svelte-78g0vl\">El Ni\u00f1o va aduce valuri de c\u0103lduri \u0219i \u00een octombrie, avertizeaz\u0103 exper\u021bii Organiza\u021biei Meteorologice Mondiale<\/span><\/a><a class=\"related svelte-78g0vl\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/europa\/mediterana-incarcata-de-vara-caniculara-2553036.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumb svelte-78g0vl\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/2bfcb767-182d-48f3-a5dd-faec1acdbfca\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Dwebp%26w%3D120%26h%3D80%26r%3Dcover%26a%3D0\" alt loading=\"lazy\" width=\"80\" height=\"54\"><span class=\"title svelte-78g0vl\">Mediterana, \u201e\u00eenc\u0103rcat\u0103\u201d de vara canicular\u0103. Meteorologii avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u00eencepe sezonul viiturilor rapide<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"meta svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"authors svelte-x63bga\"><span class=\"names svelte-x63bga\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/author\/672\" rel=\"author\" class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\u0218tefan Borcea<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"_hydratable\" data-props=\"%7B%22showLive%22%3Atrue%7D\" data-context=\"%7B%22parentBlockColumnCount%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A0%2C%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%2C%22parentBlockBackgroundColor%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%7D\" data-component=\"ShareButton\">\n<div class=\"shareButtons svelte-itwbrr\">\n<div class=\"liveSessions metaFont svelte-1maxmbf\"><span class=\"value svelte-1maxmbf\">1<\/span> live <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-1l3vwp1\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-1l3vwp1\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-1l3vwp1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/inundatii\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre inundatii\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">inundatii<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/seceta\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre seceta\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">seceta<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/maroc\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre maroc\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">maroc<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/el%20nino\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre el nino\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">el nino<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/africa%20de%20nord\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre africa de nord\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">africa de nord<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-x63bga\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\" title=\"\u00cen lume\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\u00cen lume<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\/dupa-sapte-ani-de-seceta-marocul-se-confrunta-cu-2555220.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-c\/cb46c098-b7e1-4e62-8ff4-ad48a88c5ac0\/index.gif?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home \u0218tiri Externe \u00cen lume Dup\u0103 \u0219apte ani de secet\u0103, Marocul se confrunt\u0103 cu inunda\u021bii. Ce rol are El Ni\u00f1o \u00een schimbarea vremii Marocul a trecut printr-o perioad\u0103 de secet\u0103 prelungit\u0103 \u00een cea mai mare parte a ultimului deceniu. \u00centre 2019 \u0219i 2024, \u021bara a \u00eenregistrat \u0219ase ani consecutivi cu precipita\u021bii sub [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[19,226],"class_list":["post-2136380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-adevarul","tag-crawlmanager"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2136380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2136380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2136380\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2136380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2136380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2136380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}