{"id":2123228,"date":"2026-09-01T15:23:08","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T12:23:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2123228"},"modified":"2026-09-01T15:23:08","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T12:23:08","slug":"daca-e-ca-ue-sa-se-duca-pe-pustii-de-unde-poate-incepe-cine-va-spune-vorbele","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2123228","title":{"rendered":"Dac\u0103 e ca UE s\u0103 se duc\u0103 pe pustii, de unde poate \u00eencepe? Cine va spune vorbele?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-8\/8ca7fd62-901a-4bc0-8d31-780010b51565\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-1pk9a69\">\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Opinii<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/daca-e-ca-ue-sa-se-duca-pe-pustii-de-unde-poate-2553445.html\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Dac\u0103 e ca UE s\u0103 se duc\u0103 pe pustii, de unde poate \u00eencepe? Cine va spune vorbele?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-x63bga\"><\/p>\n<p>Vorbele grele s-au aruncat mai demult, numai c\u0103, a\u0219a cum le e obiceiul, liderii din ce \u00een ce mai conservatori \u0219i frico\u0219i ai UE s-au mul\u021bumit s\u0103 zic\u0103 cum c\u0103-s doar prostii n\u0103scute din imagina\u021bia bolnav\u0103 a inamicilor Europei Unite.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-8\/8ca7fd62-901a-4bc0-8d31-780010b51565\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D700%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: Shutterstock<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Numai c\u0103, din p\u0103cate, nu-i deloc a\u0219a \u0219i, pe zi ce trece, semnalele de criz\u0103 se acumuleaz\u0103 \u0219i s-ar putea s\u0103 ne explodeze tuturor \u00een fa\u021b\u0103, odat\u0103 cu structura institu\u021bional\u0103 actual\u0103 a Europei sub care at\u00e2t de mul\u021bi se \u00eengr\u0103m\u0103desc s\u0103 \u00eendese cutiu\u021be cu Semtex.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>S\u0103 vedem despre ce-ar putea fi vorba \u0219i c\u00e2t de repede.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen opinia mea, foarte multe se vor decide \u00een acest sens dup\u0103 ce vom vedea cum va evolua \u00een imediat situa\u021bia politic\u0103 din Germania unde, conform unui sondaj na\u021bional Polibaromneter, AfD, Alian\u021ba pentru Germania, patidul prezentat ca exponent al unei linii pur \u0219i dure de extrem\u0103-dreapta este creditat cu 27% din voturi, \u00eenaintea celor din CDU\/CSU care ajung doar la 22%. \u00cen regiunea Saxa-Anhalt, un de sunt prev\u0103zute alegeri regionale pe 6 septembrie, AfD \u00eenregistreaz\u0103 \u00een sondaje o cifr\u0103 aproape neverosimil de mare, 41%, fa\u021b\u0103 de 24% pentru CDU, cifre consemnate de un sondaj Reuters. \u0218i doresc s\u0103 v\u0103 reamintesc faptul c\u0103 AfD a ob\u021binut \u00een alegerile legislative din 23 februarie 2025, AfD a ob\u021binute 20,8% din voturi, pe locul II pe plan na\u021bional dup\u0103 CDU\/CSU.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A\u0219a c\u0103 mi se pare absolut normal s\u0103 fim foarte aten\u021bi la mesajele politice lansate acum de liderii AfD: nu mai departe de luna august 2026, Alice Weidel, copre\u0219edinta AfD, a anun\u021bat \u00eentr-un interviu pe ZDF (23 august) lucruri grave, deschiz\u0103toare de perspective care, pentru ceea ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 UE \u00een acest moment, echivaleaz\u0103 cu promisiunea asumat\u0103 a producerii unui cataclism.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Prima promisiune\/angajament politic: ie\u0219irea \u021b\u0103rii din Zona Euro. \u00cen programul partidului AfD, Euro, acum liantul fundamental al construc\u021biei \u0219i prosperit\u0103\u021bii europene, este prezentat drept \u201dFehlkostruktion\u201d (construc\u021bie defect\u0103), o moned\u0103 \u201einstabil\u0103\u201d,\u00a0\u00a0\u0219i cere se cere \u00een mod expres \u00eencetarea experimentului reprezentat de moneda unic\u0103. \u00cen program se mai spune \u0219i c\u0103, \u00een eventualitatea \u00een care \u00een Budestag nu se va ajunge la o asemenea decizie, atunci se va organiza un referendum pe tema men\u021binerii Germaniei \u00een Zona Euro. Asta s-a spus \u00een programul politic al partidului \u00een 2022, asta se repet\u0103 \u00een programul electoral din 2025 unde se precizeaz\u0103 din nou nevoia renun\u021b\u0103rii la Euro \u0219i re\u00eentoarcerea la o moned\u0103 na\u021bional\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen paralel, exist\u0103 \u0219i temerea c\u0103 a AfD dore\u0219te s\u0103 renun\u021be la Acordul Schengen pentru a putea \u00eent\u0103ri controlul la frontiere. Pozi\u021bia partidului este \u00eens\u0103 nuan\u021bat\u0103, asta fiindc\u0103 nu se g\u0103se\u0219te niciun fel de afirma\u021bie \u00een acest sens \u00een documentele de pozi\u021bie ale partidului, senza\u021bia mea fiind c\u0103, profit\u00e2nd de tensiunile extreme provocate de evenimentele de la Ceuta, AfD mizeaz\u0103 acum pe o modificare a legisla\u021biei Schengen care, spre exemplu, s\u0103 extind\u0103 perioada \u00een care Statele Membre s\u0103 poat\u0103 \u00eenchide frontierele precum \u0219i noi reglement\u0103ri, mult, mult mai dure, care s\u0103 permit\u0103 re\u00eentoarcerea imediat\u0103 din zona de frontier\u0103 a imigran\u021bilor\u00a0\u00a0ilegali, f\u0103r\u0103 posibilitatea de a cere azil politic. De altfel, pe 31 iulie 2026, Alice Weidel a spus c\u0103, dac\u0103 se va dovedi necesar, \u201es\u0103 fie suspendat Spa\u021biul Schengen\u201d (Schengen-Raum aussetzen) deci nu (\u00eenc\u0103?) o sus\u021binere foarte clar\u0103 a ie\u0219irii \u021b\u0103rii din Schengen.<\/p>\n<p>Dar renun\u021barea la Euro ar produce un \u0219oc economic \u0219i monetar cu consecin\u021be extrem de destabilizante deoarece vorbim despre \u021bara care determin\u0103 politicile industriale \u0219i de securitate din Europa \u0219i, \u00een acest context , imagina\u021bi-v\u0103 c\u0103 revenirea la moneda na\u021bional\u0103 \u00een Germania ar \u00eensemna, foarte, foarte rapid, conversia a c\u00e2t mai multe\u00a0\u00a0contracte economice, valorii depozitelor bancare, a salariilor \u0219i nivelului datoriei \u00een func\u021bie de noile reguli care ar putea s\u0103 fie stabilite de Berlin.<\/p>\n<p>Nimeni nu-\u0219i poate \u00eenchipui c\u0103 nu va exista o perioad\u0103 de gra\u021bie, dar mi\u0219c\u0103rile de retragere a unor mari investitori ar fi previzibile pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce analizele de risc ar ar\u0103ta procentul de pierdere de competitivitate a unei produc\u021bii industriale\u00a0\u00a0evaluat\u0103 \u00een noua moned\u0103 na\u021bional\u0103 extrem de puternic\u0103 care deci ar fi mai scump\u0103, mai pu\u021bin competitiv\u0103, situa\u021bie care s-ar putea compensa prin faptul c\u0103 cel pu\u021bin o parte din importuri ar deveni mai ieftine (energie, materii prime, produse alimentare, etc).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>E vorba doar despre bani?<\/p>\n<p>Cu siguran\u021b\u0103 c\u0103 nu. Este foarte posibil ca o decizie privind ie\u0219ire Germaniei din zona Euro s\u0103 aib\u0103 \u0219i valoarea de simbol al sf\u00e2r\u0219itului construc\u021biei UE de acum care are \u00een centrul s\u0103u motorul franco-german. Se anticipeaz\u0103 deja scenariile care vorbesc despre o implozie a sistemului, dispari\u021bia sistemului de garan\u021bii sus\u021binut de puterea economic\u0103 german\u0103 urm\u00e2nd s\u0103 lase f\u0103r\u0103 \u201escutul de sprijin\u201d economii \u021b\u0103rilor cele mai \u00eendatorate din sudul continentului ) Spania, Italia, Grecia) \u0219i reducerea UE la o simpl\u0103 zon\u0103 de liber-schimb \u00een care \u021b\u0103rile ar reveni treptate, nu se \u0219tie cu ce costuri, la monedele lor na\u021bionale sau invent\u00e2nd unele noi.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Posibil? Greu de imaginat?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Provoc\u00e2nd \u0219ocuri care s-ar putea amplifica stimulate de retorica politic\u0103 din ce \u00een ce mai aprins\u0103? Cu siguran\u021b\u0103 c\u0103 da.<\/p>\n<p>Deocamdat\u0103, suntem \u00een a\u0219teptare. Dar tot ce von vedea \u00een spa\u021biul politic German va avea efectul unui bulg\u0103re de z\u0103pad\u0103 cu o evolu\u021bie a c\u0103rei rapiditate nu mai depinde deloc de motiva\u021bii politice, oric\u00e2t d tentant ar fi acuza\u021bii le \u00een domeniu, ci de e\u0219ecul unor politici economice, nota de plat\u0103 urm\u00e2nd s\u0103 fie achitat\u0103, conform obiceiului, de cei mai suferinzi.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Dar va ajunge oare AfD s\u0103 preia puterea \u00een Germania?<\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"meta svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"authors svelte-x63bga\"><span class=\"names svelte-x63bga\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/author\/787\" rel=\"author\" class=\"svelte-x63bga\">Cristian Unteanu<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"_hydratable\" data-props=\"%7B%22showLive%22%3Atrue%7D\" data-context=\"%7B%22parentBlockColumnCount%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A0%2C%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%2C%22parentBlockBackgroundColor%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%7D\" data-component=\"ShareButton\">\n<div class=\"shareButtons svelte-itwbrr\">\n<div class=\"liveSessions metaFont svelte-1maxmbf\"><span class=\"value svelte-1maxmbf\">1<\/span> live <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-1l3vwp1\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-1l3vwp1\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-1l3vwp1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/germania\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre germania\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">germania<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/euro\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre euro\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">euro<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/schengen\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre schengen\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">schengen<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/criza%20politica%202026\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre criza politica 2026\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">criza politica 2026<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/afd\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre afd\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">afd<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-x63bga\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\" title=\"Opinii\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-x63bga\">Opinii<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/daca-e-ca-ue-sa-se-duca-pe-pustii-de-unde-poate-2553445.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-8\/8ca7fd62-901a-4bc0-8d31-780010b51565\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home Opinii Dac\u0103 e ca UE s\u0103 se duc\u0103 pe pustii, de unde poate \u00eencepe? Cine va spune vorbele? Vorbele grele s-au aruncat mai demult, numai c\u0103, a\u0219a cum le e obiceiul, liderii din ce \u00een ce mai conservatori \u0219i frico\u0219i ai UE s-au mul\u021bumit s\u0103 zic\u0103 cum c\u0103-s doar prostii n\u0103scute [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[19,226],"class_list":["post-2123228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-adevarul","tag-crawlmanager"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2123228","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2123228"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2123228\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2123228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2123228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2123228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}