{"id":2120998,"date":"2026-08-31T13:49:58","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T10:49:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2120998"},"modified":"2026-08-31T13:49:58","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T10:49:58","slug":"putin-intr-o-situatie-de-totul-sau-nimic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2120998","title":{"rendered":"Putin, \u00eentr-o situa\u021bie de \u201etotul sau nimic\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/26262b95-178b-4c9f-8b8f-186f32bd943a\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-1pk9a69\">\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Opinii<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/putin-intr-o-situatie-de-totul-sau-nimic-2553160.html\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Putin, \u00eentr-o situa\u021bie de \u201etotul sau nimic\u201d<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-x63bga\"><\/p>\n<p>Exist\u0103 trei motive de \u00eengrijorare. \u00cenainte de venirea iernii, Vladimir Putin ar putea at\u00e2t s\u0103 deschid\u0103 un al doilea front \u00een Ucraina, c\u00e2t \u0219i s\u0103 provoace Occidentul la grani\u021bele Uniunii.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/26262b95-178b-4c9f-8b8f-186f32bd943a\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Vladimir Putin trebuie s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze succese c\u00e2t mai repede <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: EPA EFE<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Primul motiv este c\u0103 pre\u0219edintele rus se afl\u0103 cu spatele la zid. Atacurile ucrainene asupra rafin\u0103riilor de petrol \u0219i a depozitelor marilor lan\u021buri de distribu\u021bie golesc rafturile magazinelor \u0219i las\u0103 benzin\u0103riile f\u0103r\u0103 combustibil. Rusia trebuie acum s\u0103 r\u0103scumpere la pre\u021buri ridicate, dup\u0103 rafinare, \u021bi\u021beiul pe care \u00eel vinde la pre\u021buri mici pentru a ocoli sanc\u021biunile occidentale. Nu mai poate men\u021bine \u00een func\u021biune fabricile de armament dec\u00e2t \u00een detrimentul celorlalte industrii \u0219i al \u00eentregii sale economii. Rusia se afund\u0103 \u00eentr-o criz\u0103 de care \u00eencep s\u0103 sufere chiar \u0219i cele mai mari ora\u0219e ale sale \u0219i la care numai sf\u00e2r\u0219itul acestui r\u0103zboi ar putea pune cap\u0103t.<\/p>\n<p>Acest lucru este acum at\u00e2t de evident, \u00eenc\u00e2t bancherii \u0219i economi\u0219tii ajung s\u0103 o spun\u0103 public, iar represiunea se extinde. Dac\u0103 ieri se limita la oponen\u021bii declara\u021bi, ast\u0103zi love\u0219te cadrele micului partid liberal Iabloko \u0219i chiar ale\u0219ii \u0219i militan\u021bii regionali ai Partidului Comunist, de\u0219i acesta este complet subjugat Kremlinului.<\/p>\n<p>Sub amenin\u021barea erod\u0103rii \u0219i mai mari a credibilit\u0103\u021bii sale, Vladimir Putin trebuie, a\u0219adar, s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze succese c\u00e2t mai repede. Trebuie s\u0103 o fac\u0103 rapid, iar al doilea motiv de \u00eengrijorare este c\u0103 ar putea s\u0103-\u0219i joace cartea decisiv\u0103, fiind \u00eempins \u00een aceast\u0103 direc\u021bie de cei mai intransigen\u021bi dintre sus\u021bin\u0103torii s\u0103i, care repet\u0103 \u00een cor c\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 bombardamente \u0219i mai masive, nu va exista o victorie rus\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Un vicepre\u0219edinte al Dumei a propus s\u0103 se anun\u021be c\u0103 ora\u0219ele ucrainene vor fi zdrobite sub un val continuu de bombe, pentru a-i determina pe locuitori s\u0103 fug\u0103 \u0219i a crea astfel haos \u00een \u00eentreaga \u021bar\u0103. Se pare c\u0103 ideea este \u00een aer, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 zonele reziden\u021biale sunt lovite din ce \u00een ce mai sistematic, c\u0103 autorit\u0103\u021bile ruse nu-\u0219i ascund inten\u021bia de a-i priva pe ucraineni de \u00eenc\u0103lzire \u0219i de electricitate \u0219i c\u0103 Vladimir Putin \u00eensu\u0219i a declarat c\u0103 Ucraina a \u201e<i>deschis cutia lui Pandora<\/i>\u201d prin atacarea rafin\u0103riilor ruse\u0219ti.<\/p>\n<p>Astfel, Rusia ar putea \u00eencerca \u00een cur\u00e2nd s\u0103-i alunge pe civilii ucraineni pe drumuri, s\u0103 deschid\u0103 un al doilea front \u00een nordul \u021b\u0103rii \u0219i, \u00een paralel, s\u0103 provoace Occidentul prin incursiuni \u00eentr-una dintre \u021b\u0103rile baltice sau \u00een Moldova.<\/p>\n<p>Este un scenariu pe care serviciile secrete occidentale \u00eel v\u0103d contur\u00e2ndu-se, iar al treilea motiv de \u00eengrijorare c\u0103 acesta s-ar putea materializa este faptul c\u0103 Vladimir Putin ar putea crede c\u0103 ar ie\u0219i \u00eenving\u0103tor din aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie. Ucraina nu va putea lupta cu u\u0219urin\u021b\u0103 pe dou\u0103 fronturi \u0219i cu at\u00e2t mai pu\u021bin dac\u0103 popula\u021bia sa r\u0103t\u0103ce\u0219te pe drumuri. Este extrem de improbabil ca Donald Trump s\u0103 vrea s\u0103 ri\u0219te o confruntare cu Rusia, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care nu \u0219tie \u00eenc\u0103 nici cum s\u0103 ias\u0103 din fiasco-ul iranian, nici cum s\u0103 evite pierderea Congresului peste dou\u0103 luni.<\/p>\n<p>Donald Trump ar putea s\u0103-i lase m\u00e2n\u0103 liber\u0103 lui Vladimir Putin \u00een Ucraina, consider\u00e2nd c\u0103 incursiunile \u00een \u021b\u0103rile baltice nu ar obliga NATO s\u0103 intervin\u0103 \u0219i sus\u021bin\u00e2nd c\u0103 un atac \u00eempotriva micii Moldove ar fi doar problema europenilor, \u00eentruc\u00e2t aceasta nu este membr\u0103 a Alian\u021bei Atlantice.<\/p>\n<p>Vladimir Putin poate considera c\u0103, dac\u0103 ar ac\u021biona cu \u00eendr\u0103zneal\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 mai a\u0219tepte, ar putea nu numai s\u0103 clatine Ucraina \u00eenainte ca aceasta s\u0103 se doteze cu rachete cu raz\u0103 lung\u0103 de ac\u021biune, ci \u0219i s\u0103 consfin\u021beasc\u0103 ruperea frontului occidental \u0219i s\u0103 demonstreze sl\u0103biciunea militar\u0103 a europenilor.<\/p>\n<p>Din p\u0103cate, acest scenariu nu este absurd, dar \u00eentre acesta \u0219i succesul s\u0103u se afl\u0103 impopularitatea absolut\u0103 a recrut\u0103rii pe care Kremlinul ar trebui s\u0103 o pun\u0103 \u00een aplicare; rezisten\u021ba pe care ucrainenii o vor opune pe termen lung; armele ofensive \u0219i defensive care vor curge din Europa c\u0103tre Ucraina; imposibilitatea ca Donald Trump s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 pasiv la nesf\u00e2r\u0219it \u0219i afirmarea rapid\u0103, \u00een fa\u021ba pericolului, a unui front european, at\u00e2t politic, c\u00e2t \u0219i militar.<\/p>\n<p>Nu exist\u0103 nicio \u00eendoial\u0103 c\u0103, la \u00eent\u00e2lnirea de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103 de la Kremlin, \u0219eful CIA a subliniat aceste cinci puncte, dar \u00eentrebarea este dac\u0103 Vladimir Putin mai are de ales.<\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"meta svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"authors svelte-x63bga\"><span class=\"names svelte-x63bga\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/author\/2089\" rel=\"author\" class=\"svelte-x63bga\">Bernard Guetta<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"_hydratable\" data-props=\"%7B%22showLive%22%3Atrue%7D\" data-context=\"%7B%22parentBlockColumnCount%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A0%2C%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%2C%22parentBlockBackgroundColor%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%7D\" data-component=\"ShareButton\">\n<div class=\"shareButtons svelte-itwbrr\">\n<div class=\"liveSessions metaFont svelte-1maxmbf\"><span class=\"value svelte-1maxmbf\">1<\/span> live <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-1l3vwp1\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-1l3vwp1\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-1l3vwp1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/rusia\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre rusia\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">rusia<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/ucraina\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre ucraina\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">ucraina<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/razboi%20in%20ucraina\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre razboi in ucraina\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">razboi in ucraina<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/donald%20trump\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre donald trump\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">donald trump<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/vladimir%20putin\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre vladimir putin\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">vladimir putin<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/escaladare\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre escaladare\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">escaladare<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-x63bga\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\" title=\"Opinii\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-x63bga\">Opinii<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/putin-intr-o-situatie-de-totul-sau-nimic-2553160.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/26262b95-178b-4c9f-8b8f-186f32bd943a\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home Opinii Putin, \u00eentr-o situa\u021bie de \u201etotul sau nimic\u201d Exist\u0103 trei motive de \u00eengrijorare. \u00cenainte de venirea iernii, Vladimir Putin ar putea at\u00e2t s\u0103 deschid\u0103 un al doilea front \u00een Ucraina, c\u00e2t \u0219i s\u0103 provoace Occidentul la grani\u021bele Uniunii. Vladimir Putin trebuie s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze succese c\u00e2t mai repede Foto: EPA EFE Primul [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[19,226],"class_list":["post-2120998","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-adevarul","tag-crawlmanager"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2120998","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2120998"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2120998\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2120998"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2120998"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2120998"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}