{"id":2120996,"date":"2026-08-31T13:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T10:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2120996"},"modified":"2026-08-31T13:45:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T10:45:00","slug":"romania-a-devenit-o-problema","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2120996","title":{"rendered":"Rom\u00e2nia a devenit o problem\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-e\/e339d201-e592-4869-b11d-5b1967c7ecd2\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-1pk9a69\">\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Opinii<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/romania-a-devenit-o-problema-2553180.html\" class=\"svelte-1pk9a69\">Rom\u00e2nia a devenit o problem\u0103<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-x63bga\"><\/p>\n<p>La 31 august<br \/>\n2026 expir\u0103 cel mai important test de capacitate administrativ\u0103 pe<br \/>\ncare statul rom\u00e2n l-a primit dup\u0103 aderarea la Uniunea European\u0103.<br \/>\nIar rezultatul spune ceva grav.  Spune c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia risc\u0103 s\u0103 intre<br \/>\n\u00een cea mai periculoas\u0103 criz\u0103 dintre toate. Criza unui stat care<br \/>\ndispune \u00eenc\u0103 de resurse, alian\u021be \u0219i oportunit\u0103\u021bi, dar nu mai<br \/>\nare suficient\u0103 capacitate pentru a le transforma \u00een putere.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-1xbw4f3\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-e\/e339d201-e592-4869-b11d-5b1967c7ecd2\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption svelte-1xbw4f3\"><span class=\"captionText svelte-1xbw4f3\">Statul rom\u00e2n nu reu\u0219e\u0219te s\u0103 \u00eendeplineasc\u0103 la timp ceea ce propriile guverne au negociat \u0219i semnat <span class=\"source svelte-1xbw4f3\">Foto: Inquam<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>31 august 2026<\/b><br \/>\neste ultima zi \u00een care statele membre ale Uniunii Europene mai pot<br \/>\n\u00eendeplini jaloanele \u0219i \u021bintele asumate prin Mecanismul de<br \/>\nRedresare \u0219i Rezilien\u021b\u0103. Cererile finale de plat\u0103 pot fi depuse<br \/>\np\u00e2n\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul lunii septembrie, iar Comisia European\u0103 va<br \/>\nface apoi evaluarea. Dar ceea ce nu a fost realizat p\u00e2n\u0103 la 31<br \/>\naugust nu mai poate fi reparat ulterior pentru a primi banii<br \/>\naferen\u021bi.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nRom\u00e2nia a pornit<br \/>\n\u00een 2021 cu un PNRR de aproximativ 29,2<br \/>\nmiliarde de euro.<br \/>\nDup\u0103 mai multe modific\u0103ri, costul planului revizuit a cobor\u00e2t la<br \/>\naproximativ 20,1 miliarde, dintre care circa 6,54 miliarde reprezint\u0103<br \/>\n\u00eemprumuturi. Ar fi incorect s\u0103 spunem c\u0103 diferen\u021ba de nou\u0103<br \/>\nmiliarde reprezint\u0103 pur \u0219i simplu \u201ebani pierdu\u021bi\u201d. O parte<br \/>\nimportant\u0103 provine din reducerea componentei de \u00eemprumut \u0219i din<br \/>\nrestructurarea planului. Dar aceast\u0103 precizare contabil\u0103 nu face<br \/>\nsitua\u021bia mai confortabil\u0103. La mijlocul lunii august, MIPE indica<br \/>\naproximativ 12,97 miliarde de euro deja \u00eencasa\u021bi \u0219i 99<br \/>\nde jaloane \u0219i \u021binte \u00eent\u00e2rziate,<br \/>\ncu<br \/>\ndiferite grade de risc.<\/p>\n<p>\nExist\u0103 deja \u0219i<br \/>\npierderi propriu-zise. \u00cen cazul cererii de plat\u0103 num\u0103rul 3,<br \/>\npenaliz\u0103rile definitive pentru reforme<br \/>\nratate<br \/>\n\u2013 \u00eentre altele guvernan\u021ba<br \/>\nunor companii de stat, transporturile, AMEPIP \u0219i pensiile speciale<br \/>\n\u2013 ajung la aproximativ 458,7<br \/>\nmilioane de euro.<br \/>\nSeparat, \u00een aceste ultime zile ale lunii august, aproximativ 770 de<br \/>\nmilioane de euro aferente reformei salariz\u0103rii publice sunt, la ora<br \/>\nredact\u0103rii acestui text, practic pierdute, dup\u0103 ce negocierile<br \/>\npolitice nu au produs legea cerut\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la termen. Financial Times<br \/>\nscrie chiar azi, 31 august, c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 piard\u0103 aceast\u0103<br \/>\nsum\u0103. Nota final\u0103 va fi \u00eens\u0103 cunoscut\u0103 numai dup\u0103 evaluarea<br \/>\nComisiei.  Dar aceasta este partea mai pu\u021bin important\u0103 a pove\u0219tii.<\/p>\n<p><b>Banii i-am<br \/>\npierdut. Urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 pierdem \u0219i capacitatea statului de a mai<br \/>\ngestiona actualele \u0219i viitoarele probleme<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nPNRR a fost<br \/>\ngre\u0219it prezentat \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, aproape de la \u00eenceput, ca un soi de<br \/>\nsac european cu bani: autostr\u0103zi, spitale, \u0219coli, digitalizare,<br \/>\neventual piste de biciclete \u0219i panouri fotovoltaice. \u00cen realitate,<br \/>\nmecanismul european are o filozofie mult mai dur\u0103. Banii<br \/>\nnu au fost niciodat\u0103 o recompens\u0103 pentru apartenen\u021ba la Uniune.<br \/>\nMecanismul a fost creat pentru redresarea dup\u0103 \u0219ocul pandemiei \u0219i,<br \/>\nmai ales, pentru a face economiile \u0219i statele europene mai<br \/>\nreziliente, mai competitive \u0219i mai capabile s\u0103 absoarb\u0103 viitoarele<br \/>\n\u0219ocuri economice, energetice, tehnologice sau geopolitice.<\/p>\n<p>\nEuropa oferea<br \/>\ncapital pentru ca Rom\u00e2nia s\u0103-\u0219i modernizeze statul.<\/p>\n<p>\nDe aceea PNRR<br \/>\ncon\u021bine reformarea administra\u021biei, guvernan\u021ba \u00eentreprinderilor<br \/>\npublice, fiscalitatea, pensiile, salarizarea bugetar\u0103, educa\u021bia,<br \/>\ndigitalizarea, achizi\u021biile publice, energia sau infrastructura. Nu<br \/>\n\u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103tor Comisia European\u0103 constata \u00een raportul s\u0103u de \u021bar\u0103<br \/>\ndin 2026 c\u0103 \u00eent\u00e2rzierile repetate \u00een implementarea marilor<br \/>\nprograme europene, inclusiv PNRR, sunt \u201eun<br \/>\nsimptom clar\u201d al insuficientei agilit\u0103\u021bi \u0219i eficien\u021be a<br \/>\nadministra\u021biei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti \u00een planificarea, organizarea \u0219i<br \/>\nexecutarea proiectelor complexe.<\/p>\n<p><b>Aceasta este<br \/>\nadev\u0103rata \u0219tire. <\/b>Rom\u00e2nia<br \/>\nnu pierde bani pentru c\u0103 Bruxelles-ul ar fi ostil. \u00cei pierde pentru<br \/>\nc\u0103 statul rom\u00e2n nu reu\u0219e\u0219te s\u0103 \u00eendeplineasc\u0103 la timp ceea ce<br \/>\npropriile guverne au negociat \u0219i semnat.<\/p>\n<p>\nIar diferen\u021ba<br \/>\neste uria\u0219\u0103. Un stat s\u0103rac poate invoca lipsa resurselor. Un stat<br \/>\nizolat poate invoca lipsa accesului la capital.<br \/>\nRom\u00e2nia nu poate invoca nici una, nici alta.<br \/>\nAre acces la pia\u021ba unic\u0103, fonduri europene, NATO, investi\u021bii<br \/>\noccidentale, instrumente de coeziune, PNRR \u0219i, mai nou, p\u00e2n\u0103 la<br \/>\n16,7 miliarde de euro \u00een \u00eemprumuturi avantajoase pentru ap\u0103rare<br \/>\nprin SAFE. Problema<br \/>\nRom\u00e2niei \u00eencepe s\u0103 fie alta: capacitatea institu\u021bional\u0103 de a<br \/>\ntransforma accesul la bani \u00een dezvoltare.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nIar de aici<br \/>\n\u00eencepe leg\u0103tura cu securitatea na\u021bional\u0103 fiindcaeconomia care stagneaz\u0103 nu poate produce securitate. Nici acum, nici<br \/>\nm\u00e2ine.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nComisia European\u0103<br \/>\nestimeaz\u0103 pentru Rom\u00e2nia o cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 de numai <b>0,1%<br \/>\n\u00een 2026<\/b>,<br \/>\ndup\u0103 0,7% \u00een 2025. Deficitul bugetar ar urma s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een<br \/>\njurul a 6,2% din PIB, iar datoria public\u0103 s\u0103 urce spre 63,3% din<br \/>\nPIB \u00een 2027. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, Comisia spune explicit c\u0103<br \/>\ninvesti\u021biile finan\u021bate din fonduri europene sunt unul dintre<br \/>\npu\u021binele motoare care contribuie pozitiv la cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 \u00een<br \/>\naceast\u0103 perioad\u0103. A<br \/>\npierde bani \u00eentr-o economie stagnant\u0103, cu deficit mare \u0219i datorie<br \/>\n\u00een cre\u0219tere, este un dezastru.<br \/>\nPentru c\u0103 fiecare euro nerambursabil care nu mai intr\u0103 trebuie fie<br \/>\nabandonat ca investi\u021bie, fie \u00eenlocuit cu bani din buget, fie<br \/>\n\u00eemprumutat. Iar Rom\u00e2nia se \u00eemprumut\u0103 deja scump.<\/p>\n<p>\nMoody\u2019s<br \/>\nestimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 necesarul brut de finan\u021bare al statului rom\u00e2n este<br \/>\n\u00een medie de aproximativ 12%<br \/>\ndin PIB \u00een perioada 2026\u20132028<br \/>\n\u0219i c\u0103 povara dob\u00e2nzilor ar putea ajunge la 3,3% din PIB \u00een 2028.<br \/>\nAgen\u021bia subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u00eemprumuturile preferen\u021biale din PNRR \u0219i<br \/>\nSAFE tempereaz\u0103 aceast\u0103 presiune, dar nu o elimin\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nIar aici<br \/>\nagen\u021biile de rating transmit, de fapt, acela\u0219i mesaj \u00een trei<br \/>\ndialecte diferite.<br \/>\nFitch men\u021bine Rom\u00e2nia la BBB-,<br \/>\nMoody\u2019s la Baa3,<br \/>\nS&amp;P la BBB-.<br \/>\nToate trei men\u021bin perspectiv\u0103 negativ\u0103. Cu alte cuvinte, Rom\u00e2nia<br \/>\nse afl\u0103 pe ultima treapt\u0103 a categoriei recomandate investi\u021biilor,<br \/>\n\u00eenaintea zonei speculative. Fitch vorbe\u0219te despre deficite fiscale<br \/>\n\u0219i externe mari, datorie \u00een cre\u0219tere, infla\u021bie ridicat\u0103 \u0219i<br \/>\npolitic\u0103 intern\u0103 tot mai fragmentat\u0103. S&amp;P avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103<br \/>\nratarea intr\u0103rilor de fonduri europene sl\u0103be\u0219te cre\u0219terea \u0219i<br \/>\ncomplic\u0103 ajustarea fiscal\u0103, amplific\u00e2nd vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bile<br \/>\nbalan\u021bei de pl\u0103\u021bi. Moody\u2019s leag\u0103 explicit perspectiva<br \/>\nratingului de capacitatea Rom\u00e2niei de a p\u0103stra consensul politic<br \/>\npentru consolidare \u0219i reforme. Cu<br \/>\nalte cuvinte, PNRR nu este doar investi\u021bie.<br \/>\nEste<br \/>\n\u0219i garan\u021bie.<\/p>\n<p>\nEste capital<br \/>\nextern care reduce presiunea asupra bugetului. Este o ancor\u0103 pentru<br \/>\ninvestitori. Este dovada c\u0103 statul poate respecta ni\u0219te<br \/>\nangajamente. Este unul dintre motivele pentru care apartenen\u021ba la<br \/>\nUniunea European\u0103 continu\u0103 s\u0103 apar\u0103 \u00een rapoartele agen\u021biilor de<br \/>\nrating printre principalele atuuri ale Rom\u00e2niei. C\u00e2nd<br \/>\ncompromi\u021bi aceast\u0103 ancor\u0103, nu pierzi doar bani europeni. Cre\u0219te<br \/>\ncostul de finan\u021bare al \u00eentregului stat.<\/p>\n<p>\nProblema<br \/>\nclasei politice nu mai este de mult\u0103 vreme doar diploma.  Competen\u021ba<br \/>\na devenit infrastructura critic\u0103.  Ar<br \/>\nfi prea simplist s\u0103 spunem c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia este condus\u0103 de oameni<br \/>\n\u201eneeduca\u021bi\u201d. Mul\u021bi politicieni au diplome, masterate,<br \/>\ndoctorate, cursuri \u0219i titluri, dar<br \/>\nnu \u0219i<br \/>\ncompeten\u021be<br \/>\nfunc\u021bionale de guvernare.<br \/>\nCapacitatea<br \/>\nde a \u00een\u021belege consecin\u021bele unei politici peste trei sau cinci ani.<br \/>\nCapacitatea de a diferen\u021bia interesul unui partid de interesul<br \/>\nstatului. Capacitatea de a negocia, de a prioritiza, de a citi un<br \/>\nbuget, de a \u00een\u021belege o institu\u021bie, de a accepta date care<br \/>\ncontrazic propria nara\u021biune \u0219i, mai ales, de a lua o decizie<br \/>\n\u00eenainte ca termenul s\u0103 expire. Patru<br \/>\nsau cinci ani \u00een care aceea\u0219i reform\u0103 este \u00eempins\u0103 de la un<br \/>\nguvern la altul nu mai reprezint\u0103 o problem\u0103 tehnic\u0103. Este un<br \/>\nindicator de capacitate strategic\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nAcela\u0219i lucru<br \/>\neste valabil pentru numirile politice \u00een companii publice, pentru<br \/>\nreformele ratate \u00een transporturi sau energie, pentru legisla\u021bia<br \/>\nschimbat\u0103 repetat, pentru folosirea excesiv\u0103 a ordonan\u021belor de<br \/>\nurgen\u021b\u0103, pentru achizi\u021bii \u00eent\u00e2rziate \u0219i investi\u021bii prost<br \/>\npreg\u0103tite. Raportul Comisiei din 2026 vorbe\u0219te despre sl\u0103biciuni<br \/>\ninstitu\u021bionale, impredictibilitate legislativ\u0103, capacitate<br \/>\nadministrativ\u0103 insuficient\u0103 \u0219i probleme persistente \u00een guvernan\u021ba<br \/>\ncompaniilor de stat \u0219i achizi\u021biile publice.  Asta<br \/>\n\u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia nu are numai un deficit bugetar. Are<br \/>\n\u0219i un deficit<br \/>\nde competen\u021b\u0103 public\u0103.<br \/>\n\u0218i,<br \/>\ndintre cele dou\u0103, al doilea este mai periculos.<br \/>\nDeficitul<br \/>\nbugetar poate fi redus prin taxe \u0219i cheltuieli. Deficitul<br \/>\nde competen\u021b\u0103 produce urm\u0103torul deficit bugetar.<\/p>\n<p><b>Educa\u021bia<br \/>\nproast\u0103 este o vulnerabilitate strategic\u0103<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nAici intr\u0103 \u00een<br \/>\nscen\u0103 cel mai ignorat dosar de securitate na\u021bional\u0103 al Rom\u00e2niei:<br \/>\n\u0219coala.<br \/>\nDatele sunt brutale. Potrivit raportului Comisiei Europene privind<br \/>\neduca\u021bia, 48,6%<br \/>\ndintre elevii rom\u00e2ni de 15 ani nu ating nivelul minim de competen\u021b\u0103<br \/>\nla matematic\u0103, 41,7% la citire \u0219i 44% la \u0219tiin\u021be.<br \/>\nMai grav, 74% dintre elevii rom\u00e2ni de 14 ani testa\u021bi \u00een studiul<br \/>\nICILS nu de\u021bineau competen\u021bele informatice \u0219i de informare<br \/>\nconsiderate esen\u021biale. Rom\u00e2nia<br \/>\navea \u00een 2024, \u0219i \u00eenc\u0103 mai are,<br \/>\ncea mai mare rat\u0103 de p\u0103r\u0103sire timpurie a educa\u021biei din Uniunea<br \/>\nEuropean\u0103 \u2013 16,8% \u2013 iar numai 23,2% dintre tinerii de 25\u201334 de<br \/>\nani aveau studii superioare, fa\u021b\u0103 de o medie european\u0103 de 44,1%.<br \/>\nAcestea<br \/>\nnu sunt statistici ale Ministerului Educa\u021biei. Sunt<br \/>\nindicatori ai viitorului PIB, ai productivit\u0103\u021bii, ai capacit\u0103\u021bii<br \/>\nadministrative, ai inov\u0103rii \u0219i, \u00een cele din urm\u0103, ai calit\u0103\u021bii<br \/>\nviitoarei clase politice.<\/p>\n<p>\nComisia<br \/>\nEuropean\u0103 spune direct c\u0103 sistemul rom\u00e2nesc de educa\u021bie cu<br \/>\nrezultate slabe afecteaz\u0103 competitivitatea.<br \/>\n\u00cen raportul economic din 2026, Rom\u00e2nia apare ultima \u00een UE \u00een<br \/>\nEuropean Innovation Scoreboard 2025, la numai 37,7% din media<br \/>\neuropean\u0103, iar cheltuielile pentru cercetare-dezvoltare se situeaz\u0103<br \/>\nla aproximativ 0,5% din PIB, fa\u021b\u0103 de 2,2% media UE.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nNu po\u021bi construi<br \/>\no economie a inteligen\u021bei artificiale cu jum\u0103tate dintre<br \/>\nadolescen\u021bi sub nivelul minim la matematic\u0103. Nu po\u021bi construi o<br \/>\nadministra\u021bie digital\u0103 performant\u0103 \u00eentr-o societate \u00een care<br \/>\ndeficitul de competen\u021be digitale r\u0103m\u00e2ne enorm. Nu po\u021bi construi<br \/>\nindustrie de ap\u0103rare sofisticat\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 ingineri, cercet\u0103tori,<br \/>\ntehnicieni \u0219i manageri. \u0218i nu po\u021bi construi o democra\u021bie<br \/>\nrezilient\u0103 dac\u0103 o parte foarte mare a popula\u021biei \u00eent\u00e2mpin\u0103<br \/>\ndificult\u0103\u021bi \u00een a interpreta informa\u021bia complex\u0103. Iar<br \/>\nadversarul \u0219tie acest lucru. Rusia nu trebuie s\u0103 inventeze toate<br \/>\nfracturile unei societ\u0103\u021bi pentru a o destabiliza. Este suficient s\u0103<br \/>\nle g\u0103seasc\u0103. \u0218i s\u0103 le amplifice.<\/p>\n<p>\nRaportul EEAS<br \/>\nprivind amenin\u021b\u0103rile de manipulare informa\u021bional\u0103 publicat \u00een<br \/>\nmartie 2026 identific\u0103 explicit Rom\u00e2nia printre statele ale c\u0103ror<br \/>\nprocese electorale au fost vizate<br \/>\nde opera\u021biuni ruse\u0219ti de manipulare informa\u021bional\u0103 \u0219i<br \/>\ninterferen\u021b\u0103.<br \/>\nModelul<br \/>\ndescris este important: mai \u00eent\u00e2i se erodeaz\u0103 \u00eencrederea \u00een<br \/>\nlideri \u0219i institu\u021bii; apoi sunt exploatate conflictele \u0219i<br \/>\nfrustr\u0103rile interne; \u00een final este contestat\u0103 legitimitatea<br \/>\nprocesului politic \u00eensu\u0219i. Scopul nu este neap\u0103rat s\u0103 convingi<br \/>\n\u00eentreaga societate de o anumit\u0103 poveste. Este suficient s\u0103<br \/>\nad\u00e2nce\u0219ti diviziunile p\u00e2n\u0103 c\u00e2nd cet\u0103\u021benii nu mai au \u00eencredere<br \/>\nunii \u00een ceilal\u021bi \u0219i nici \u00een institu\u021biile care ar trebui s\u0103<br \/>\narbitreze realitatea.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nNATO define\u0219te<br \/>\nexact \u00een ace\u0219ti termeni amenin\u021b\u0103rile hibride: propagand\u0103,<br \/>\nmanipulare, atacuri cibernetice, presiuni economice \u0219i influen\u021b\u0103<br \/>\npolitic\u0103 folosite pentru a destabiliza societ\u0103\u021bile \u0219i a submina<br \/>\nsecuritatea cet\u0103\u021benilor.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAceast\u0103 leg\u0103tur\u0103<br \/>\n\u00eentre educa\u021bie \u0219i securitate informa\u021bional\u0103 trebuie tratat\u0103 cu<br \/>\nprecizie. Un om f\u0103r\u0103 facultate nu este automat manipulabil, iar un<br \/>\ndoctor \u00een \u0219tiin\u021be poate crede absurdit\u0103\u021bi. Dar cercetarea arat\u0103<br \/>\nc\u0103 alfabetizarea media \u0219i digital\u0103 poate cre\u0219te capacitatea<br \/>\noamenilor de a diferen\u021bia informa\u021bia credibil\u0103 de falsuri, iar<br \/>\nOECD include explicit educa\u021bia civic\u0103, media \u0219i digital\u0103 printre<br \/>\ninstrumentele fundamentale pentru rezilien\u021ba societ\u0103\u021bilor la<br \/>\ndezinformare.\n<\/p>\n<p><b>\u00cen acest<br \/>\nsens, cei 74% dintre adolescen\u021bii rom\u00e2ni cu rezultate slabe la<br \/>\ncompeten\u021be informatice \u0219i de informare nu reprezint\u0103 numai<br \/>\nproblema Ministerului Educa\u021biei. Reprezint\u0103 o suprafa\u021b\u0103 de atac.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Tancurile se<br \/>\ncump\u0103r\u0103 cu bani produ\u0219i de economie. <\/b>\u00cen<br \/>\nRom\u00e2nia \u00eenc\u0103 trat\u0103m securitatea aproape exclusiv militar:<br \/>\navioane, tancuri, rachete, baze, efective.Sunt<br \/>\nindispensabile.Dar<br \/>\nsunt partea vizibil\u0103 a securit\u0103\u021bii, nu funda\u021bia ei.<br \/>\n\u00cen spatele fiec\u0103rui sistem de ap\u0103rare exist\u0103 o economie care \u00eel<br \/>\npl\u0103te\u0219te, universit\u0103\u021bi care produc speciali\u0219ti, infrastructur\u0103<br \/>\ncare transport\u0103 resurse, companii capabile s\u0103 produc\u0103 \u0219i s\u0103<br \/>\nrepare echipamente, administra\u021bii care fac achizi\u021bii, servicii de<br \/>\ninforma\u021bii care recruteaz\u0103 oameni competen\u021bi \u0219i cet\u0103\u021beni care<br \/>\nconsider\u0103 statul suficient de legitim pentru a-l ap\u0103ra.<br \/>\nO economie slab\u0103 poate cump\u0103ra securitate o vreme, \u00eemprumut\u00e2ndu-se.<br \/>\nNu o poate produce la infinit. Comisia<br \/>\nestimeaz\u0103 deja cre\u0219terea cheltuielilor de ap\u0103rare ale Rom\u00e2niei \u0219i<br \/>\naccesul la p\u00e2n\u0103 la 16,7 miliarde de euro prin SAFE. Dar SAFE<br \/>\n\u00eenseamn\u0103 \u00eemprumuturi. Vor trebui rambursate de economia rom\u00e2neasc\u0103<br \/>\nde m\u00e2ine. Iar dac\u0103 economia de m\u00e2ine este mai pu\u021bin productiv\u0103<br \/>\ndeoarece \u0219coala de ast\u0103zi produce prea pu\u021bine competen\u021be, dac\u0103<br \/>\nstatul colecteaz\u0103 prost taxele, dac\u0103 infrastructura \u00eent\u00e2rzie \u0219i<br \/>\ndac\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile cresc, atunci securitatea devine progresiv mai<br \/>\nscump\u0103. De<br \/>\naceea PNRR, educa\u021bia, ratingul suveran \u0219i securitatea na\u021bional\u0103<br \/>\nsunt de fapt acela\u0219i dosar. Ele descriu capacitatea unei societ\u0103\u021bi<br \/>\nde a transforma resursele \u00een putere.<\/p>\n<p><b>Rom\u00e2nia nu va<br \/>\nie\u0219i m\u00e2ine din Europa. Poate \u00eens\u0103 aluneca spre periferia ei<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nExist\u0103 aici \u0219i<br \/>\no ultim\u0103 iluzie periculoas\u0103. Apartenen\u021ba la Uniunea European\u0103 \u0219i<br \/>\nNATO este tratat\u0103 uneori la Bucure\u0219ti ca o caracteristic\u0103<br \/>\ngeografic\u0103 permanent\u0103. Suntem \u201e\u00een Europa\u201d, deci viitorul<br \/>\neuropean ar fi garantat indiferent de calitatea politicilor noastre.<br \/>\nNu este. Rom\u00e2nia nu va fi dat\u0103 afar\u0103 din Uniunea European\u0103 pentru<br \/>\nc\u0103 pierde bani din PNRR. Nu despre asta este vorba. Exist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 o<br \/>\nform\u0103 mult mai subtil\u0103 de ie\u0219ire din Europa: periferizarea.<br \/>\nPo\u021bi<br \/>\nr\u0103m\u00e2ne membru al Uniunii \u0219i s\u0103 te \u00eendep\u0103rtezi economic de<br \/>\nnucleul ei. Po\u021bi r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00een pia\u021ba unic\u0103, dar cu infrastructur\u0103<br \/>\nmai slab\u0103. Po\u021bi r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00een NATO, dar cu o baz\u0103 fiscal\u0103<br \/>\ninsuficient\u0103 pentru ambi\u021biile tale de ap\u0103rare. Po\u021bi avea<br \/>\nlibertate de circula\u021bie, dar s\u0103-\u021bi pierzi oamenii cei mai bine<br \/>\npreg\u0103ti\u021bi. Po\u021bi avea acces la fonduri, dar s\u0103 nu fii capabil s\u0103<br \/>\nle absorbi. Po\u021bi avea institu\u021bii democratice, dar s\u0103 pierzi<br \/>\n\u00eencrederea cet\u0103\u021benilor \u00een ele. \u0218i po\u021bi avea alegeri libere \u00een<br \/>\ninteriorul unui spa\u021biu informa\u021bional pe care adversarul \u00eel<br \/>\nmanipuleaz\u0103 mai repede dec\u00e2t reu\u0219e\u0219te statul s\u0103-l \u00een\u021beleag\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nAcesta este<br \/>\nscenariul \u00een care politicianismul devine problem\u0103 geopolitic\u0103.<br \/>\nPentru c\u0103 fiecare reform\u0103 blocat\u0103 pentru protejarea unei<br \/>\nclientele, fiecare numire politic\u0103 \u00eentr-o companie public\u0103,<br \/>\nfiecare an pierdut \u00een educa\u021bie \u0219i fiecare milion european<br \/>\nabandonat produc exact materia prim\u0103 din care propaganda rus\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i<br \/>\nconstruie\u0219te mesajul: \u201eEuropa nu v-a ajutat\u201d, \u201edemocra\u021bia nu<br \/>\nfunc\u021bioneaz\u0103\u201d, \u201einstitu\u021biile sunt corupte\u201d, \u201eOccidentul v\u0103<br \/>\nexploateaz\u0103\u201d. Cea<br \/>\nmai eficient\u0103 propagand\u0103 ostil\u0103 este cea care nu trebuie s\u0103<br \/>\ninventeze realitatea. Trebuie doar s\u0103 o selecteze.<\/p>\n<p><b>PNRR a fost<br \/>\ntestul<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\nDe aceea<br \/>\nbilan\u021bul PNRR nu ar trebui f\u0103cut numai de Ministerul Investi\u021biilor<br \/>\n\u0219i Proiectelor Europene. Ar trebui f\u0103cut \u00een CSAT.Pentru<br \/>\nc\u0103 rezultatul ne spune c\u00e2t de repede se poate mi\u0219ca statul rom\u00e2n<br \/>\natunci c\u00e2nd are bani, obiective, termene, asisten\u021b\u0103 european\u0103 \u0219i<br \/>\no amenin\u021bare strategic\u0103 evident\u0103 la frontier\u0103. Iar rezultatul \u00eel<br \/>\n\u0219tim. Rom\u00e2nia nu este lipsit\u0103 de avantaje. Dimpotriv\u0103.<br \/>\nApartenen\u021ba la UE \u0219i NATO, pozi\u021bia geografic\u0103, accesul la capital<br \/>\noccidental, baza industrial\u0103, resursele energetice, dimensiunea<br \/>\npie\u021bei \u0219i diaspora \u00eei ofer\u0103 un poten\u021bial strategic pe care<br \/>\npu\u021bine state din regiune \u00eel au. <b>D<\/b>ar<br \/>\npoten\u021bialul nu este putere. Puterea apare atunci c\u00e2nd institu\u021biile<br \/>\npot transforma poten\u021bialul \u00een rezultate.<\/p>\n<p>\nRom\u00e2nia are<br \/>\nast\u0103zi nevoie de reconstruc\u021bia competen\u021bei statului: administra\u021bie<br \/>\nprofesional\u0103, educa\u021bie orientat\u0103 spre competen\u021be reale,<br \/>\ndisciplin\u0103 fiscal\u0103, cercetare, infrastructur\u0103, selec\u021bie<br \/>\nmeritocratic\u0103 \u0219i rezilien\u021b\u0103 informa\u021bional\u0103, nu de \u00eenc\u0103 un<br \/>\nPowerPoint.<\/p>\n<p>\nAltfel vom<br \/>\ncontinua s\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103m securitate cu \u00eemprumuturi, s\u0103 finan\u021b\u0103m<br \/>\ndezvoltarea din excep\u021bii, s\u0103 explic\u0103m e\u0219ecurile prin conspira\u021bii<br \/>\n\u0219i s\u0103 pierdem exact capitalul european care ar trebui s\u0103 ne ajute<br \/>\ns\u0103 ie\u0219im din aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie. Iar adversarii Rom\u00e2niei nu<br \/>\ntrebuie s\u0103 fac\u0103 foarte mult. <b>Pentru<br \/>\nMoscova, o Rom\u00e2nie cucerit\u0103 ar fi extrem de costisitoare. O Rom\u00e2nie<br \/>\neuropean\u0103 FORMAL,  slab\u0103 economic, frustrat\u0103 social, polarizat\u0103<br \/>\npolitic, ne\u00eencrez\u0103toare \u00een institu\u021bii \u0219i incapabil\u0103 s\u0103<br \/>\ntransforme miliardele europene \u00een modernizare este mult mai ieftin\u0103.<br \/>\n\u0218i aproape la fel de util\u0103.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"meta svelte-x63bga\">\n<div class=\"authors svelte-x63bga\"><span class=\"names svelte-x63bga\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/author\/2116\" rel=\"author\" class=\"svelte-x63bga\">C\u0103t\u0103lin Buciumeanu<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"_hydratable\" data-props=\"%7B%22showLive%22%3Atrue%7D\" data-context=\"%7B%22parentBlockColumnCount%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A0%2C%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%2C%22parentBlockBackgroundColor%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%7D\" data-component=\"ShareButton\">\n<div class=\"shareButtons svelte-itwbrr\">\n<div class=\"liveSessions metaFont svelte-1maxmbf\"><span class=\"value svelte-1maxmbf\">1<\/span> live <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-1l3vwp1\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-1l3vwp1\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-1l3vwp1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/ue\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre ue\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">ue<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/comisia%20europeana\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre comisia europeana\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">comisia europeana<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/pnrr\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre pnrr\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">pnrr<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/reforme\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre reforme\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">reforme<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/tag\/mipe\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre mipe\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-1l3vwp1\">mipe<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-x63bga\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\" title=\"Opinii\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-x63bga\">Opinii<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/romania-a-devenit-o-problema-2553180.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-e\/e339d201-e592-4869-b11d-5b1967c7ecd2\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home Opinii Rom\u00e2nia a devenit o problem\u0103 La 31 august 2026 expir\u0103 cel mai important test de capacitate administrativ\u0103 pe care statul rom\u00e2n l-a primit dup\u0103 aderarea la Uniunea European\u0103. Iar rezultatul spune ceva grav. Spune c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia risc\u0103 s\u0103 intre \u00een cea mai periculoas\u0103 criz\u0103 dintre toate. Criza unui stat care [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[19,226],"class_list":["post-2120996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-adevarul","tag-crawlmanager"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2120996","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2120996"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2120996\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2120996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2120996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2120996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}