{"id":2117040,"date":"2026-08-27T15:25:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-27T12:25:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2117040"},"modified":"2026-08-27T15:25:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-27T12:25:29","slug":"kalshi-teams-up-with-the-weather-co-on-markets-that-are-nearly-impossible-to-insider-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2117040","title":{"rendered":"Kalshi Teams Up With the Weather Co. on Markets That Are Nearly Impossible to Insider Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"

[analyse_image type=”featured” src=”https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/app\/uploads\/2021\/10\/bbfd2208d859d6de8417931c44b4d333.jpg”]<\/p>\n

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Kalshi and The Weather Company have teamed up on prediction markets centered on something humans have very little control over and that are a lot harder to insider trade on.<\/p>\n

The two companies announced a new strategic partnership Thursday in which Kalshi will use The Weather Company\u2019s data to verify outcomes for some of its weather-related markets. Meanwhile, The Weather Company will incorporate Kalshi\u2019s real-time probability data across of The Weather Channel app and weather.com.<\/p>\n

It turns out weather markets are already big business on Kalshi. Trading volume across the platform\u2019s climate and weather category has grown 500% year over year and is on pace to reach $1.1 billion in annualized volume, according to a press release.<\/p>\n

\u201cWeather is one of the fastest-growing and most crucial categories at Kalshi because it affects everyone \u2013 from individuals and businesses to governments,\u201d said Will Brackett, head of partnerships at Kalshi, in a statement.<\/p>\n

Kalshi is also pitching these markets as a way for businesses to hedge against weather-related risks, pointing to examples ranging from \u201cice cream shops managing unseasonably cool summers to logistics firms managing precipitation impact.\u201d<\/p>\n

The partnership appears to have been in the works for a while.<\/p>\n

Weather.com has already been incorporating Kalshi markets into some of its stories. A recent article about July tying for the hottest month on record, for example, included Kalshi probability data for the market \u201cWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?\u201d<\/p>\n

Those stories also include a disclosure explaining the arrangement: \u201cWe provide certain data Kalshi uses to resolve markets, and Kalshi provides market data featured in content like this article.\u201d<\/p>\n

The disclosure also says The Weather Company could earn a fee if readers use its links to open a Kalshi account and trade on the platform.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, markets like \u201cHighest temperature in New York City today?\u201d include notes stating that starting Aug. 14, the market would be settled using data from The Weather Company, replacing the National Weather Service as its previous source.<\/p>\n

The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday that the two companies are also exploring new weather markets tied to specific sporting events, including local ski conditions and the weather on marathon race days.<\/p>\n

\u201cBecause so much of the global economy hinges on atmospheric conditions, grounding these new categories in proven meteorological science allows both consumers and businesses to improve risk management around real-world weather in ways that simply weren\u2019t possible before,\u201d said The Weather Company\u2019s Vice President of Meteorology James Belanger in an emailed statement.<\/p>\n

The Weather Company partnership also stands out because weather markets are far less vulnerable to one of the biggest concerns hanging over prediction markets\u2014insider trading.<\/p>\n

Kalshi and its rival Polymarket have rules restricting insider trading; however, U.S. lawmakers have introduced a bill\u00a0that would ban trades on these platforms tied to outcomes that can be manipulated, following high-profile cases of users making large profits on suspiciously timed trades tied to\u00a0global\u00a0conflicts.<\/p>\n

More recently, new markets on\u00a0drug trials\u00a0and\u00a0flight cancellations\u00a0have drawn scrutiny over insider trading concerns and fears they could encourage people to interfere with the clinical trials or intentionally try to get flights cancelled.<\/p>\n

Kalshi did not immediately respond to a request for comment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

\n

Kalshi and The Weather Company have teamed up on prediction markets centered on something humans have very little control over and that are a lot harder to insider trade on.<\/p>\n

The two companies announced a new strategic partnership Thursday in which Kalshi will use The Weather Company\u2019s data to verify outcomes for some of its weather-related markets. Meanwhile, The Weather Company will incorporate Kalshi\u2019s real-time probability data across of The Weather Channel app and weather.com.<\/p>\n

It turns out weather markets are already big business on Kalshi. Trading volume across the platform\u2019s climate and weather category has grown 500% year over year and is on pace to reach $1.1 billion in annualized volume, according to a press release.<\/p>\n

\u201cWeather is one of the fastest-growing and most crucial categories at Kalshi because it affects everyone \u2013 from individuals and businesses to governments,\u201d said Will Brackett, head of partnerships at Kalshi, in a statement.<\/p>\n

Kalshi is also pitching these markets as a way for businesses to hedge against weather-related risks, pointing to examples ranging from \u201cice cream shops managing unseasonably cool summers to logistics firms managing precipitation impact.\u201d<\/p>\n

The partnership appears to have been in the works for a while.<\/p>\n

Weather.com has already been incorporating Kalshi markets into some of its stories. A recent article about July tying for the hottest month on record, for example, included Kalshi probability data for the market \u201cWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?\u201d<\/p>\n

Those stories also include a disclosure explaining the arrangement: \u201cWe provide certain data Kalshi uses to resolve markets, and Kalshi provides market data featured in content like this article.\u201d<\/p>\n

The disclosure also says The Weather Company could earn a fee if readers use its links to open a Kalshi account and trade on the platform.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, markets like \u201cHighest temperature in New York City today?\u201d include notes stating that starting Aug. 14, the market would be settled using data from The Weather Company, replacing the National Weather Service as its previous source.<\/p>\n

The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday that the two companies are also exploring new weather markets tied to specific sporting events, including local ski conditions and the weather on marathon race days.<\/p>\n

\u201cBecause so much of the global economy hinges on atmospheric conditions, grounding these new categories in proven meteorological science allows both consumers and businesses to improve risk management around real-world weather in ways that simply weren\u2019t possible before,\u201d said The Weather Company\u2019s Vice President of Meteorology James Belanger in an emailed statement.<\/p>\n

The Weather Company partnership also stands out because weather markets are far less vulnerable to one of the biggest concerns hanging over prediction markets\u2014insider trading.<\/p>\n

Kalshi and its rival Polymarket have rules restricting insider trading; however, U.S. lawmakers have introduced a bill\u00a0that would ban trades on these platforms tied to outcomes that can be manipulated, following high-profile cases of users making large profits on suspiciously timed trades tied to\u00a0global\u00a0conflicts.<\/p>\n

More recently, new markets on\u00a0drug trials\u00a0and\u00a0flight cancellations\u00a0have drawn scrutiny over insider trading concerns and fears they could encourage people to interfere with the clinical trials or intentionally try to get flights cancelled.<\/p>\n

Kalshi did not immediately respond to a request for comment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[analyse_image type=”featured” src=”https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/app\/uploads\/2021\/10\/bbfd2208d859d6de8417931c44b4d333.jpg”] Kalshi and The Weather Company have teamed up on prediction markets centered on something humans have very little control over and that are a lot harder to insider trade on. The two companies announced a new strategic partnership Thursday in which Kalshi will use The Weather Company\u2019s data to verify outcomes for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[226,53],"class_list":["post-2117040","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","tag-crawlmanager","tag-gizmodo-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2117040","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2117040"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2117040\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2117040"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2117040"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2117040"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}