{"id":2043644,"date":"2026-07-14T18:00:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T15:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2043644"},"modified":"2026-07-14T18:00:29","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T15:00:29","slug":"kalshi-odds-in-chatgpt-is-the-peanut-butter-and-chocolate-of-things-you-dont-need","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2043644","title":{"rendered":"Kalshi Odds in ChatGPT Is the Peanut Butter and Chocolate of Things You Don\u2019t Need"},"content":{"rendered":"

[analyse_image type=”featured” src=”https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/12\/meta-og-1200×675.jpg”]<\/p>\n

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Online search has become a nightmare, littered with AI-generated misinformation, spammy sites that brute-force their way to the top of results, and tons of sponsored results. It\u2019s been enough to lead people to start using ChatGPT as their de facto search engine, which can only mean one thing: time to enshittify that, too (you know, more than it already is). According to the New York Times, OpenAI struck a deal with prediction market Kalshi to show the current odds for World Cup games right in ChatGPT\u2019s responses.<\/p>\n

The agreement between Kalshi and OpenAI has not been announced publicly, the Times notes. Results that include Kalshi data note the source, but offer no disclosure if the data is part of a paid advertisement or sponsorship. According to OpenAI\u2019s own documentation about advertisements in ChatGPT: \u201cAds can appear below the end of a response. Ads are clearly labeled as sponsored and visually separated from ChatGPT\u2019s response.\u201d So presumably, whatever the arrangement between the companies, OpenAI is not considering it to be Kalshi simply paying for placement.<\/p>\n

On a help page specific to ChatGPT Search, the company offered a slight bit of additional clarity: \u201cFor queries related to the 2026 World Cup, ChatGPT may show predictive information sourced from Kalshi to provide timely context about upcoming matches. If and when this information appears, it will always be clearly labeled with \u2018Source: Kalshi.’\u201d<\/p>\n

\"ChatGPT
\u00a9 Screengrab via ChatGPT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

OpenAI claims the data is for \u201cinformational purposes only,\u201d and notes that \u201cYou cannot place bets through ChatGPT,\u201d per the company\u2019s usage policies.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s a handy bit of distance that the company places between itself and Kalshi, but it\u2019s worth noting that there is little informational purpose for Kalshi data other than betting. It is a reflection of what people are betting their money on and is meant to be used by other people to bet their own money. It may provide a snapshot of public and \u201cexpert\u201d or insider sentiment, but even that is in what is effectively a gambling context.<\/p>\n

Whatever OpenAI and Kalshi would like to call their arrangement, it\u2019s another in a line of deals that Kalshi has entered into in recent months to make sure their data is everywhere. Late last year, the company that says it wants to \u201ctrade on anything\u201d entered into deals to provide market information to CNN and CNBC, which have since integrated that information into their platforms.<\/p>\n

Given the widespread normalization of prediction markets, it\u2019s no wonder more people are jumping in all the time. And look, you\u2019re welcome to do whatever you want with your money, just know that the odds are not in your favor. A recent study that analyzed bettors on Kalshi competitor Polymarket found that since 2022, about 70% of accounts have a net loss across their activity, and 77% of all winnings have been funneled to the top 1% of users on the platform.<\/p>\n

Gizmodo reached out to both OpenAI and Kalshi for additional information about the apparent partnership, but did not receive a response at the time of publication.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

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Online search has become a nightmare, littered with AI-generated misinformation, spammy sites that brute-force their way to the top of results, and tons of sponsored results. It\u2019s been enough to lead people to start using ChatGPT as their de facto search engine, which can only mean one thing: time to enshittify that, too (you know, more than it already is). According to the New York Times, OpenAI struck a deal with prediction market Kalshi to show the current odds for World Cup games right in ChatGPT\u2019s responses.<\/p>\n

The agreement between Kalshi and OpenAI has not been announced publicly, the Times notes. Results that include Kalshi data note the source, but offer no disclosure if the data is part of a paid advertisement or sponsorship. According to OpenAI\u2019s own documentation about advertisements in ChatGPT: \u201cAds can appear below the end of a response. Ads are clearly labeled as sponsored and visually separated from ChatGPT\u2019s response.\u201d So presumably, whatever the arrangement between the companies, OpenAI is not considering it to be Kalshi simply paying for placement.<\/p>\n

On a help page specific to ChatGPT Search, the company offered a slight bit of additional clarity: \u201cFor queries related to the 2026 World Cup, ChatGPT may show predictive information sourced from Kalshi to provide timely context about upcoming matches. If and when this information appears, it will always be clearly labeled with \u2018Source: Kalshi.’\u201d<\/p>\n

\"ChatGPT
\u00a9 Screengrab via ChatGPT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

OpenAI claims the data is for \u201cinformational purposes only,\u201d and notes that \u201cYou cannot place bets through ChatGPT,\u201d per the company\u2019s usage policies.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s a handy bit of distance that the company places between itself and Kalshi, but it\u2019s worth noting that there is little informational purpose for Kalshi data other than betting. It is a reflection of what people are betting their money on and is meant to be used by other people to bet their own money. It may provide a snapshot of public and \u201cexpert\u201d or insider sentiment, but even that is in what is effectively a gambling context.<\/p>\n

Whatever OpenAI and Kalshi would like to call their arrangement, it\u2019s another in a line of deals that Kalshi has entered into in recent months to make sure their data is everywhere. Late last year, the company that says it wants to \u201ctrade on anything\u201d entered into deals to provide market information to CNN and CNBC, which have since integrated that information into their platforms.<\/p>\n

Given the widespread normalization of prediction markets, it\u2019s no wonder more people are jumping in all the time. And look, you\u2019re welcome to do whatever you want with your money, just know that the odds are not in your favor. A recent study that analyzed bettors on Kalshi competitor Polymarket found that since 2022, about 70% of accounts have a net loss across their activity, and 77% of all winnings have been funneled to the top 1% of users on the platform.<\/p>\n

Gizmodo reached out to both OpenAI and Kalshi for additional information about the apparent partnership, but did not receive a response at the time of publication.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[analyse_image type=”featured” src=”https:\/\/gizmodo.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/12\/meta-og-1200×675.jpg”] Online search has become a nightmare, littered with AI-generated misinformation, spammy sites that brute-force their way to the top of results, and tons of sponsored results. It\u2019s been enough to lead people to start using ChatGPT as their de facto search engine, which can only mean one thing: time to enshittify that, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[226,53],"class_list":["post-2043644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","tag-crawlmanager","tag-gizmodo-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2043644","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2043644"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2043644\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2043644"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2043644"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2043644"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}