{"id":2009147,"date":"2026-06-24T18:56:30","date_gmt":"2026-06-24T15:56:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2009147"},"modified":"2026-06-24T18:56:30","modified_gmt":"2026-06-24T15:56:30","slug":"the-bounce-who-won-the-nba-draft-plus-the-new-blazers-coachs-contract-yikes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=2009147","title":{"rendered":"The Bounce: Who won the NBA Draft? Plus: The new Blazers coach\u2019s contract, yikes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"Article_ContentContainer__jBNW3 article-content-container bodytext1\">\n<p><b data-stringify-type=\"bold\">The Bounce Newslette<\/b><strong>r<\/strong>\u00a0<span class=\"c-emoji c-emoji__medium c-emoji--inline\" data-qa=\"emoji\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/apple-medium\/1f3c0@2x.png\" alt=\":basketball:\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" aria-label=\"basketball emoji\" data-stringify-type=\"emoji\" data-stringify-emoji=\":basketball:\"><\/span>\u00a0| This is <em>The Athletic\u2019s<\/em> daily NBA newsletter.\u00a0<a class=\"c-link c-link--underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/newsletters\/the-bounce\/?source=pulsenewsletter&amp;campaign=9178780&amp;userId=10748855\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/theathletic.com\/newsletters\/the-bounce\/?source=pulsenewsletter&amp;campaign=9178780&amp;userId=10748855\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">Sign up here<\/a>\u00a0to receive The Bounce directly in your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>With the second round of the NBA Draft tonight, this is the perfect time to remind you that three-time MVP Nikola Joki\u0107 was drafted\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=1fQc0hirB-o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">with the 41st pick during a Taco Bell commercial<\/a>\u00a0back in 2014.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid1\" data-position=\"mid1\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr>\n<h3><strong>NBA Draft<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Toast \u2019em or roast \u2019em! Round 1 reactions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Round 1 of the 2026 NBA Draft went off without a hitch last night, and 30 dreams came true. The Wizards took AJ Dybantsa with the top pick, as most of us expected. The Jazz followed that up with Darryn Peterson at No. 2. The Grizzlies brought in Cameron Boozer with the third pick, and the Bulls took Caleb Wilson with the fourth. After that, we weren\u2019t sure what would happen.<\/p>\n<p>Sam Vecenie and John Hollinger\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7382887\/2026\/06\/23\/nba-draft-grades-analysis-2026-vecenie-hollinger\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">graded every pick<\/a>\u00a0from last night. And I\u2019ll leave it to Sam for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7388304\/2026\/06\/24\/nba-draft-2026-winners-losers-dybantsa-peterson-boozer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the winners and losers of the night<\/a>. For Bounce purposes, let\u2019s instead go with a game of \u201cToast \u2018em or roast \u2018em\u201d for our breakdown of the big picks:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Toast \u2018em: Spurs take Jayden Quaintance and Tarris Reed Jr. \ud83e\udd42<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>San Antonio really struggled in the non-Victor Wembanyama minutes this past postseason. Luke Kornet is fine in the regular season, but the Spurs couldn\u2019t score or stop anybody when he was in a playoff game. Quaintance, at pick No. 20, addresses the defensive portion of that, although he needs another knee operation. So they also traded back into the first round to get Tarris Reed Jr. with the 26th pick to be a backup big man. He can really score around the rim.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Roast \u2018em: Bulls take Dailyn Swain with the 15th pick \ud83e\uddef<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Love the Bulls taking Wilson at No. 4. That was the right call, and he could end up as a star in this league. However, following that up with Swain at 15 was a head-scratcher. He can create and he can get into the paint. That matters. His shot is not convincing, and they could have taken a guard like Christian Anderson to help with that in the backcourt. Speaking of \u2026<\/p>\n<p><strong>Toast \u2018em: Hornets take Hannes Steinbach and Christian Anderson \ud83e\udd42<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Brilliant first round for Charlotte. Steinbach has incredible hands, is great in the pick-and-roll and might be the best rebounder in the draft. Charlotte needed more presence inside. Anderson is probably the best shooter in the draft. He\u2019ll be big off the bench behind LaMelo Ball.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid2\" data-position=\"mid2\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Roast \u2018em: Memphis trading down to get Karim L\u00f3pez \ud83e\uddef<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies still got an incredible player at 3 with Boozer going to them. So why follow that up by trading down from 16 to 17 to 21 just to grab a project like Karim L\u00f3pez, who plays the same position as Boozer? L\u00f3pez might be good, but he doesn\u2019t fit what they did the previous hour.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Toast \u2018em: Bucks ending up with Brayden Burries and Nate Ament \ud83e\udd42<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee went with a safe pick in Burries at 10 to bring in a high-quality guard who can do a little bit of everything. He\u2019s going to contribute right away. Then with the 13th pick, which they got in the Giannis trade, the Bucks took a big swing with Ament. He\u2019s definitely a risk, but they have to trust Taylor Jenkins and their future development with Ament. Good gamble.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Value picks I loved<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Darius Acuff Jr.<\/strong>\u00a0(Arkansas) was easily a top-five and maybe even top-four pick on my board. The Kings, in desperate need of a star and a future, landed him at No. 7.<\/li>\n<li>Dusty May and the Mavericks grabbing Michigan big man\u00a0<strong>Morez Johnson<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>Jr.<\/strong>\u00a0at 9. Putting him next to Cooper Flagg on defense will be awesome.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Labaron Philon Jr.<\/strong>\u00a0(Alabama) going to Philadelphia at 22 was a great selection. The Spurs proved you can\u2019t have too many guards and Philon allows them to pace Tyrese Maxey\u2019s minutes more.<\/li>\n<li>The Lakers trading up one spot to 24 to grab\u00a0<strong>Cameron Carr<\/strong>\u00a0from Baylor was big. He can really shoot the ball, and he jumps out of the gym.<\/li>\n<li>The Suns traded into the first round, at 30, to grab\u00a0<strong>Koa Peat\u00a0<\/strong>(Arizona). Peat was someone people thought could be a late lottery pick, so him falling all the way to 30 is surprising. He needs to learn how to shoot, but he could thrive in Jordan Ott\u2019s frantic system.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Picks that were gambles<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Nets landing\u00a0<strong>Mikel Brown Jr.<\/strong>\u00a0(Louisville) at No. 6 with Acuff and Kingston Flemings on the board is definitely a risk. He\u2019ll have plenty of time to grow in Brooklyn, though.<\/li>\n<li>The Thunder grabbed\u00a0<strong>Aday Mara<\/strong>\u00a0(Michigan) at 12, which could be an overreaction to Wemby torturing you in a playoff series a month ago.<\/li>\n<li>The Raptors took\u00a0<strong>Allen Graves\u00a0<\/strong>(Santa Clara), an analytics darling, at 19, despite having needs for a big man or a point guard. Graves is neither.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr>\n<h3><strong>The Last 24<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0\u00a0<strong>Never again.\u00a0<\/strong>Adam Silver has put his foot down with tanking.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7388423\/2026\/06\/23\/adam-silver-anti-tanking-rules-draft-lottery\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>\u201cWe\u2019ll never go back to where we were.\u201d<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"top-league-content-root\"><\/div>\n<p>    {&#8220;endpoint&#8221;:&#8221;https:\/\/api-prd-nyt.theathletic.com\/graphql&#8221;}<\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83d\udd25 What\u2019s next?\u00a0<\/strong>The Heat have finally landed Giannis in a trade. John Hollinger tells us\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7385520\/2026\/06\/23\/giannis-antetokounmpo-miami-heat-trade-whats-next\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>what comes next for Miami<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83c\udfb7 The right choice.\u00a0<\/strong>The Jazz selecting Peterson was what they needed.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7388492\/2026\/06\/23\/darryn-peterson-2026-nba-draft-utah-jazz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>He helps their present\u00a0<\/strong><strong><em>and\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><strong>their future<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83d\udd0a \u201c<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theathletic.lnk.to\/nbadaily\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><strong>NBA Daily<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u201d\u00a0<\/strong>Watch and listen to a recap of last night\u2019s games.<\/p>\n<p><em>Stream the NBA on Fubo (<\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fubo.tv\/welcome\/leagues\/191276?irad=356361&amp;irmp=5579095&amp;sharedid=PtnrUS_TA_Email_Newsletters\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">try it for free!<\/a>)<\/em><em>\u00a0and catch out-of-market games on\u00a0<\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/nba.smart.link\/dsv2tqsw4?partnerRef=TheAthletic&amp;cp_2=Article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">League Pass<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3><strong>Second Round<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Will tonight produce any good players?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>One of the things I\u2019ve always quibbled with when it comes to trade analysis is how valuable the second-round pick is. A team will acquire four second-round picks in a trade for a player and be lauded for their savvy. At the same time, I look at that trade and wonder how many of those second-round picks will yield a single contributor; it can be super valuable for your bottomline if you nail the pick, but it often feels like news-release window dressing to me.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid3\" data-position=\"mid3\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>There are plenty of basketball people smarter than me who feel there is tremendous value in acquiring so many picks in the Mark Tatum round. I think it\u2019s mostly because they can be used as sweeteners for a trade, but in terms of acquiring actual players within those selections, I remain pessimistic about it. Is that a blindspot for me? Is it an overestimation for those believers?<\/p>\n<p>As we get into the second round of the draft tonight, I thought it would be good to know what to expect for the gems discovered in this round.<\/p>\n<p>Since the 2000 NBA Draft, we\u2019ve had 111 total players appear in 400 or more games. That feels like a good baseline to consider a second-round player a success. Four-hundred games would theoretically get you through five NBA seasons, and the average NBA career is in the 4.5-to-five years range. For a second-round player, you\u2019re more likely to stretch that into six, seven or eight years of NBA service. And that has to be considered a successful pick.<\/p>\n<p id=\"article-pickem\">\n<p>The reason I chose 2000 for this sample size is because it gives plenty of players the opportunity to flesh out those careers after having their names called on draft night.\u00a0<strong>There have obviously been some unbelievable selections:\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Joki\u0107<\/strong><strong>, Draymond Green, Marc Gasol, Carlos Boozer and your most recent champion and Finals MVP, Jalen Brunson,<\/strong>\u00a0were all taken in the second round since 2002. That gives us a good 20-year window of recency when you factor in that the guys drafted since 2020 need more time to accumulate 400 games or more.<\/p>\n<p>So how many players should we expect to be good, NBA contributors from tonight? Let\u2019s look at the data!<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7391135 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/athletic\/uploads\/wp\/2026\/06\/24145508\/2ndRoundChart1.jpg\" alt width=\"600\" height=\"448\"><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, it fluctuates quite a bit, which makes sense considering not all draft classes are created equal. Since 2000, the second round has brought the NBA these accolades:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>39 All-Star selections, 25 All-NBA selections<\/li>\n<li>Four Most Improved Player awards<\/li>\n<li>23 All-Defensive selections<\/li>\n<li>Six Sixth Man awards<\/li>\n<li>Two Defensive Player of the Year awards<\/li>\n<li>Three MVP awards<\/li>\n<li>Two Finals MVP awards<\/li>\n<li>One Rookie of the Year award<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Yes, a lot of those awards are influenced by Joki\u0107, Green and Brunson being second-round guys.\u00a0<strong>On average over those 20 years, we see about 5.5 players end up finding their way to 400-plus games.\u00a0<\/strong>In the entire history of the NBA, the second round of the draft has produced 294 players who have totaled a minimum of 400 career games.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid4\" data-position=\"mid4\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Tonight\u2019s second round is part of a deep draft, and we still need to see how things will shake out. Just be cautiously optimistic that the finagling of second-round picks will yield a producer.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3><strong>Hirings<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>You won\u2019t believe this new contract<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There has been a lot of consternation over the new ownership of the Trail Blazers. It\u2019s probably worth us doing a deeper dive into these potential problems and the perception of Tom Dundon as a \u2026 creatively frugal (to put it nicely?) new owner in the NBA. If you\u2019re a hockey fan, you recently saw him hoist the Stanley Cup with his Carolina Hurricanes winning the championship this month. So he must know what he\u2019s doing, right?<\/p>\n<p>Well, what works in the NHL may not work in the NBA, and he\u2019s not exactly one of those rare billionaires who thinks he might be doing things incorrectly \u2026 if those even exist. Yesterday, the Blazers finally hired a coach, and the contract details of the move were bewildering.<\/p>\n<p>The Blazers nabbed Micah Nori \u2014 one of the most respected assistant coaches in the league \u2014 away from Chris Finch\u2019s Timberwolves staff. It\u2019s a great hire. There should have been a lot of happiness and excitement over the move.\u00a0<strong>Instead, people were focused on Nori\u2019s new contract, which only furthers the idea that Dundon is operating as a cheapskate owner.<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7388780\/2026\/06\/23\/micah-nori-trail-blazers-chris-finch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">From Jason Quick<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 80px\"><em><strong>\u201cNori committed to sign a one-year contract with Portland,\u00a0<\/strong>with team options each of the next two seasons, according to league sources. In a league that values security and the time to build sustainable success, it was a highly unconventional decision \u2014 both by Dundon and the 52-year-old Nori.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s right. It\u2019s potentially just a one-year deal if the Blazers don\u2019t pick up the team option for the 2027-28 season, and they could extend that through the 2028-29 season.\u00a0<strong>If that feels a bit odd to you, that\u2019s because it is.<\/strong>\u00a0New coaches usually sign four or five-year deals. They get security within that structure. So even though we\u2019ve seen enough coaches fired after one season, they still bring in some long-term security financially.<\/p>\n<p>Nori is not doing that here. He\u2019s betting on himself as the Blazers keep flexibility. It\u2019s great that Nori feels confident in taking a deal like this, but power dynamic and trust are big parts of coaching in the NBA. It\u2019s fair to wonder if some Blazers players will look at him as a potential lame duck option on the sidelines and it zaps some authority and influence from him. Players do tend to like him, and he\u2019s a big time offensive-system coach that pushes tempo, a style of play the players mostly like.<\/p>\n<p>Dundon will either look like a genius or further grow suspicions that he\u2019s too frugal for the team\u2019s own good.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bounce Newsletter\u00a0\u00a0| This is The Athletic\u2019s daily NBA newsletter.\u00a0Sign up here\u00a0to receive The Bounce directly in your inbox. With the second round of the NBA Draft tonight, this is the perfect time to remind you that three-time MVP Nikola Joki\u0107 was drafted\u00a0with the 41st pick during a Taco Bell commercial\u00a0back in 2014. Advertisement NBA [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[226,241],"class_list":["post-2009147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-crawlmanager","tag-nytimes-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2009147","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2009147"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2009147\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2009147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2009147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2009147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}