{"id":1969685,"date":"2026-06-03T08:00:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T05:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1969685"},"modified":"2026-06-03T08:00:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T05:00:12","slug":"how-knicks-spurs-nba-finals-put-sportsbooks-into-a-lose-lose-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1969685","title":{"rendered":"How Knicks-Spurs NBA Finals put sportsbooks into a lose-lose scenario"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u201cWe know what\u2019s coming. We know they\u2019re going to bet the Knicks as \u2018dogs in each game and to win the whole thing,\u201d DraftKings sportsbook director Johnny Avello told The Athletic<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Avello, a Poughkeepsie, N.Y., native who moved to Las Vegas in the late 1970s soon after they won their last championship, is among the throngs of New York Knicks fans excited for the NBA Finals against the San Antonio Spurs. The series starts Wednesday, and it\u2019s a dream matchup for the NBA and a nightmare for sportsbooks.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt could be one of the most heavily-bet Finals ever,\u201d Avello said.<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

The Finals will feature the stark contrast of the Knicks, representing the top television market with A-list celebrities courtside, against the Spurs, understated yet led by a 7-foot-4, 22-year-old superstar in Victor Wembanyama. The common ground is their underdog paths that have converged to create a lose-lose scenario for the house.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe did not want those two teams to meet because there\u2019s no good outcome for us at this point,\u201d Avello said.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

The Spurs and Knicks represented the two most significant liabilities to almost every sportsbook\u2019s bottom line, given each team had long-shot title odds throughout most of the regular season. Plus, the Knicks fan base that took over road arenas and celebrated playoff wins in the streets of Manhattan also bet with their hearts.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Knicks are always a popular team for customers, and their run to the Finals has only magnified that, a FanDuel trader said via email. \u201cNew York is our most-bet team to win the championship.\u201d<\/p>\n

The advantage with any sportsbook\u2019s liability is the house still keeps all the money wagered on the 29 eliminated teams. However, a book can still finish with an overall net negative if Spurs or Knicks long-shot tickets hit or a ridiculously high volume of decent-sized postseason wagers cash.<\/p>\n

\u201cKnicks are unsurprisingly very heavily bet in New York, more so than any other state, both per game and in the futures,\u201d Caesars Sportsbook lead basketball oddsmaker David Lieberman said. \u201cThey are a liability, second to the Spurs but catching up quickly.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

The Spurs entered the year as long shots at +6500, but gradually shed that label, outperforming their regular-season metrics and silencing doubters throughout the postseason. The Knicks were among the preseason favorites in the Eastern Conference, but entered the playoffs at +2200 before going on this dominant run.<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n

Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

New York has destroyed everyone in its path over the past month, sweeping the Philadelphia 76ers and Cleveland Cavaliers. The Knicks are riding an 11-game win streak (10-1 against the spread), defeating opponents by a 23.8 points per game margin that ranks as the largest over any 11-game stretch in NBA regular-season or postseason history.<\/p>\n

So, should experts place more weight on a larger sample size of the entire season or this current version that has shot 53.3 percent from the field and 41.3 percent from deep \u2013 good for an absurd net rating of +24.5?<\/p>\n

\u201cThis offense has been a juggernaut. I am not bending to the market,\u201d Circa Sports NBA oddsmaker and lifelong Knicks fan Justin Tricarico told The Athletic. \u201c(Running their offense through Karl-Anthony Towns) gave me the confidence to book a certain way. The offense just completely opened up.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

a.showcase-link-container {
\n display: flex;
\n gap: 20px;
\n flex-direction: column;
\n align-items: center;
\n padding: 20px 0px;
\n border-top: 1px solid rgba(150, 150, 147, 0.4);
\n border-bottom: 1px solid rgba(150, 150, 147, 0.4);
\n text-decoration: none;
\n color: #121212;
\n cursor: pointer;<\/p>\n

.showcase-link {
\n font-family: nyt-franklin;
\n font-size: 14px;
\n font-style: normal;
\n font-weight: 700;
\n line-height: 13.8px;
\n letter-spacing: 1.1px;
\n text-transform: uppercase;
\n }<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-image {
\n border-radius: 8px;
\n object-fit: cover;
\n width: 200px;
\n height: 150px;
\n margin: 0px;
\n @media (max-width: 600px) {
\n width: 120px;
\n height: 120px;
\n }
\n }<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-inner-content {
\n display: flex;
\n flex-direction: row;
\n gap: 16px;
\n width: 100%;
\n }<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-text-content {
\n display: flex;
\n flex-direction: column;
\n gap: 20px;
\n justify-content: center;
\n @media (max-width: 600px) {
\n gap: 8px;
\n }
\n }<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-title {
\n font-family: nyt-cheltenham;
\n font-size: 24px;
\n font-style: normal;
\n font-weight: 500;
\n line-height: 120%; \/* 24px *\/
\n letter-spacing: 0.01px;
\n text-overflow: ellipsis;
\n overflow: hidden;
\n display: -webkit-box;
\n -webkit-box-orient: vertical;
\n -webkit-line-clamp: 3;
\n @media (max-width: 600px) {
\n font-size: 16px;
\n }
\n }<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-excerpt {
\n font-family: nyt-imperial;
\n font-size: 16px;
\n font-style: normal;
\n font-weight: 400;
\n line-height: 139%; \/* 19.46px *\/
\n color: #323232;
\n text-overflow: ellipsis;
\n overflow: hidden;
\n display: -webkit-box;
\n -webkit-box-orient: vertical;
\n -webkit-line-clamp: 4;
\n @media (max-width: 600px) {
\n font-size: 12px;
\n line-height: 121%;
\n }
\n }
\n}<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-inputs {
\n .showcase-link-input {
\n width: 100%;
\n font-size: 1rem;
\n background-color: white;
\n margin-bottom: 12px;
\n }<\/p>\n

.showcase-link-indent {
\n margin-left: 25px;
\n }<\/p>\n

option {
\n width: 100%;
\n }
\n}<\/p>\n

@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) {
\n .native-mobile a.showcase-link-container {
\n background-color: #121212;
\n color: #f0f0ee;
\n .showcase-link-excerpt {
\n color: #c4c4c0;
\n }
\n }
\n}<\/p>\n

\/\/ Remove all onclicks on imgs for apps to prevent image zoom on click
\n document.querySelectorAll(‘.showcase-link-image’).forEach((img) => img.removeAttribute(‘onclick’));<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

What You Should Read Next<\/div>\n
\n \"How<\/p>\n
\n
\n How the Knicks built an NBA Finals team: Patience, restraint and Jalen Brunson\n <\/div>\n
\n The Knicks \u2014 a team that tripped over itself for most of this century \u2014 are going to the finals for the first time since 1999. What changed?\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

Similarly, San Antonio\u2019s power rating has also increased. Obviously eliminating the defending-champion Oklahoma City Thunder improves perception, but the Spurs were only 3.5-point road underdogs in Game 7 \u2013 compared to spreads of 7.5 in Games 1 and 2.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Spurs are the team that we\u2019re in trouble with. I kick myself about it. I have had regrets about it all year,\u201d Tricarico said, speaking to his team\u2019s repeated reluctance to lower San Antonio\u2019s odds enough to deter bettors. \u201cI just didn\u2019t see the Wemby thing ascending this year.\u201d<\/p>\n

If San Antonio wins at its preseason odds of +6500, it would be a record. The current mark is the Warriors at +3500 in 2014-15.<\/p>\n

Spurs skeptics will point to OKC\u2019s injuries, forcing the Thunder to play without All-Star Jalen Williams and key reserve Ajay Mitchell nearly the entire Western Conference finals. Or maybe this is simply more about the Knicks peaking at the right time.<\/p>\n

\u201cAt the risk of exposing my fanhood, which has carried me through five separate decades as a season ticket holder, the Knicks\u2019 play over this 11-game winning streak has catapulted them to the top of my power ratings,\u201d veteran professional bettor Paul Bovi said via direct message. \u201cThey are clearly playing their best basketball of the season and should dispatch either opponent in six games.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Knicks are 4.5-point road underdogs in Game 1 on Wednesday and +160 on the series price; San Antonio is a -200 favorite.
\n
\n<\/span>
\nThat\u2019s a far cry from New York\u2019s last Finals trip in 1999, when Tim Duncan, David Robinson and San Antonio were -900 favorites and won the title in five games over Allan Houston, Latrell Sprewell and the Patrick Ewing-less Knicks. Even jaded Knicks fans concede this rematch is more balanced \u2013 and the orange and blue have much more than a puncher\u2019s chance.<\/p>\n

But the underdog status hasn\u2019t deterred bettors from piling onto Knicks fever. At FanDuel, 65 percent of the handle is currently on the Knicks to win the series.<\/p>\n

As sportsbooks brace for the storm, Knicks fans pray for reign.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cWe know what\u2019s coming. We know they\u2019re going to bet the Knicks as \u2018dogs in each game and to win the whole thing,\u201d DraftKings sportsbook director Johnny Avello told The Athletic. Avello, a Poughkeepsie, N.Y., native who moved to Las Vegas in the late 1970s soon after they won their last championship, is among the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[226,241],"class_list":["post-1969685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-crawlmanager","tag-nytimes-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1969685","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1969685"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1969685\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1969685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1969685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1969685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}