{"id":1939641,"date":"2026-05-16T19:11:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-16T16:11:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1939641"},"modified":"2026-05-16T19:11:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T16:11:25","slug":"zile-decisive-pe-scena-politica-varianta-unui-premier-tehnocrat-castiga-teren-dar-majoritatea-ramane-incerta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1939641","title":{"rendered":"Zile decisive pe scena politic\u0103: varianta unui premier tehnocrat c\u00e2\u0219tig\u0103 teren, dar majoritatea r\u0103m\u00e2ne incert\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/221d0c92-3d2b-434d-8285-1ce4ce5a44b1\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-t0js42\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-cmrgmk\">\n<li class=\"svelte-cmrgmk\"><a href=\"\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-cmrgmk\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-cmrgmk\"><a href=\"\/politica\" class=\"svelte-cmrgmk\">Politic\u0103<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-cmrgmk\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/zile-decisive-pe-scena-politica-varianta-unui-2530127.html\" class=\"svelte-cmrgmk\">Zile decisive pe scena politic\u0103: varianta unui premier tehnocrat c\u00e2\u0219tig\u0103 teren, dar majoritatea r\u0103m\u00e2ne incert\u0103<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-t0js42\"><\/p>\n<p>La aproape dou\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni dup\u0103 demiterea Guvernului Bolojan prin mo\u021biune de cenzur\u0103, negocierile pentru formarea unei noi majorit\u0103\u021bi au intrat \u00een linie dreapt\u0103.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/nicusor-dan-cheama-luni-la-consultari-toate-2529719.html\">Pre\u0219edintele Nicu\u0219or Dan a convocat luni partidele la consult\u0103ri<\/a>\u00a0pentru desemnarea unui nou premier.\u00a0\u00cen timp ce scenariul unui premier tehnocrat c\u00e2\u0219tig\u0103 teren, politologul George Jigl\u0103u, profesor la Universitatea Babe\u0219-Bolyai, avertizeaz\u0103, \u00eentr-o analiz\u0103 pentru \u201eAdev\u0103rul\u201d,\u00a0c\u0103 adev\u0103rata problem\u0103 nu este numele viitorului prim-ministru, ci existen\u021ba unei majorit\u0103\u021bi parlamentare capabile s\u0103 sus\u021bin\u0103 un guvern \u00eentr-un context politic \u0219i economic tot mai fragil.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-jd4qiv\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/221d0c92-3d2b-434d-8285-1ce4ce5a44b1\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption\">Nicu\u0219or Dan \u0219i Sorin Grindeanu, la Palatul Cotroceni. FOTO: Inquam Photos<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Primul semnal politic important venit de la Nicu\u0219or Dan dup\u0103 c\u0103derea Guvernului a fost\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/nicusor-dan-nu-vrea-sa-auda-de-anticipate-criza-2529198.html\">excluderea scenariului alegerilor anticipate<\/a>. Mesajul transmis de la Cotroceni indic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 pre\u0219edintele \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 for\u021beze partidele s\u0103 g\u0103seasc\u0103 rapid\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/dilema-primarilor-liberali-dupa-motiunea-de-2529967.html\">o majoritate parlamentar\u0103 func\u021bional\u0103<\/a>, f\u0103r\u0103 a \u00eempinge \u021bara \u00eentr-o nou\u0103 campanie electoral\u0103. Analistul politic George Jigl\u0103u explic\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 aceast\u0103 pozi\u021bionare trebuie privit\u0103 mai degrab\u0103 ca un instrument de negociere dec\u00e2t ca o garan\u021bie absolut\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eNicu\u0219or Dan a exclus scenariul alegerilor anticipate, \u00eens\u0103 nu cred c\u0103 aceast\u0103 pozi\u021bionare \u00eei sl\u0103be\u0219te puterea de negociere. Mai degrab\u0103, a transformat-o \u00eentr-o premis\u0103 a negocierilor \u0219i \u00eentr-o form\u0103 de presiune asupra partidelor pentru a g\u0103si rapid o solu\u021bie. \u00cen realitate, mesajul este adresat \u00een special partidelor din fosta coali\u021bie, care sunt \u00eempinse s\u0103 repare, \u00eentr-o formul\u0103 sau alta, situa\u021bia creat\u0103. Fie toate \u00eempreun\u0103, fie \u00een combina\u021bii diferite, dar tot \u00een interiorul aceluia\u0219i grup politic. \u00cen plus, excluderea clar\u0103 a AUR reprezint\u0103 o alt\u0103 premis\u0103 important\u0103 a discu\u021biei \u0219i restr\u00e2nge op\u021biunile \u00eenc\u0103 de la \u00eenceput\u201d,<\/i> a explicat George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<p>Analistul avertizeaz\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 excluderea anticipatelor depinde direct de capacitatea partidelor de a construi o majoritate \u00een Parlament. \u00cen lipsa unui acord politic, scenariul ar putea reveni inevitabil pe mas\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eDin perspectiva pre\u0219edintelui, dac\u0103 partidele nu se \u00een\u021beleg \u0219i desemn\u0103rile pentru func\u021bia de prim-ministru nu reu\u0219esc s\u0103 produc\u0103 o majoritate func\u021bional\u0103, atunci scenariul anticipatelor nu mai \u021bine doar de voin\u021ba lui. Devine mai degrab\u0103 consecin\u021ba blocajului politic. De aceea interpretez aceast\u0103 excludere a anticipatelor ca pe o inten\u021bie politic\u0103 \u0219i un punct de pornire \u00een negocieri, nu ca pe o garan\u021bie absolut\u0103 c\u0103 ele nu se vor \u00eent\u00e2mpla. Dac\u0103 lucrurile se complic\u0103 \u00een Parlament \u0219i nu se formeaz\u0103 majorit\u0103\u021bi stabile, spa\u021biul de manevr\u0103 al pre\u0219edintelui se \u00eengusteaz\u0103 considerabil\u201d<\/i>, a precizat George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<p>Politologul admite c\u0103 exist\u0103 interpret\u0103ri constitu\u021bionale care ar putea am\u00e2na declan\u0219area alegerilor anticipate, dar consider\u0103 c\u0103 o asemenea solu\u021bie nu poate func\u021biona la nesf\u00e2r\u0219it.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eExist\u0103 \u0219i interpretarea constitu\u021bional\u0103 potrivit c\u0103reia pre\u0219edintele nu ar fi obligat s\u0103 declan\u0219eze anticipate. Dar, realist vorbind, m\u0103 \u00eendoiesc c\u0103 o asemenea situa\u021bie ar putea fi evitat\u0103 la nesf\u00e2r\u0219it. Rom\u00e2nia nu s-a mai aflat p\u00e2n\u0103 acum \u00een scenariul \u00een care dou\u0103 propuneri succesive de premier \u0219i guvernele aferente s\u0103 fie respinse sistematic, f\u0103r\u0103 ie\u0219ire din blocaj. Nu po\u021bi avea la infinit premieri desemna\u021bi care nu reu\u0219esc s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 votul Parlamentului \u0219i un interimat perpetuu\u201d<\/i>, a subliniat George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<h2>Varianta tehnocrat\u0103 c\u00e2\u0219tig\u0103 teren<\/h2>\n<p>\u00cen lipsa unui partid dispus s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i asume direct func\u021bia de premier, scenariul unui cabinet tehnocrat sau al unui premier independent \u00eencepe s\u0103 fie privit tot mai serios. \u00cen spa\u021biul public au fost deja vehiculate nume precum\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/serban-matei-si-radu-burnete-printre-numele-luate-2529194.html\">Radu Burnete, consilier al pre\u0219edintelui Nicu\u0219or Dan, Anca Dragu, guvernatoarea B\u0103ncii Na\u021bionalei a Republicii Moldova, sau \u0218erban Matei<\/a>,  actual director al Direc\u021biei de Rela\u021bii Interna\u021bionale din cadrul B\u0103ncii Na\u021bionale a Rom\u00e2niei.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack='{\"event\":\"utm_click\",\"data\":{\"event_category\":\"article_related\"}}' href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/ilie-bolojan-dezvaluie-care-sunt-orasele-sale-de-2530072.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-1t8qpgs\">Ilie Bolojan dezv\u0103luie care sunt ora\u0219ele sale de suflet: \u201eTe impregnezi de acest spirit\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eVarianta unui premier tehnocrat este cu siguran\u021b\u0103 o op\u021biune real\u0103. De fapt, \u00een acest moment, aproape toate scenariile r\u0103m\u00e2n deschise, cu excep\u021bia unui guvern cu AUR, pe care pre\u0219edintele l-a exclus explicit. Varianta tehnic\u0103 rezolv\u0103 doar par\u021bial problema, pentru c\u0103 mut\u0103 presiunea de pe persoana premierului, nu \u0219i de pe majoritatea parlamentar\u0103 care trebuie s\u0103 \u00eel sus\u021bin\u0103. De aceea conteaz\u0103 foarte mult cine este acel tehnocrat \u0219i ce agend\u0103 propune. S-au vehiculat nume precum Radu Burnete sau Anca Dragu, iar am\u00e2ndoi par destul de apropia\u021bi de direc\u021bia de reform\u0103 \u0219i austeritate asociat\u0103 cu Ilie Bolojan. Poate c\u0103 exist\u0103 diferen\u021be de ton sau de accent, dar nu cred c\u0103 ar exista diferen\u021be majore de fond \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te disciplina bugetar\u0103 \u0219i raportarea la sectorul public\u201d<\/i>, a explicat George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<h2>PSD \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 evite costurile politice<\/h2>\n<p>Potrivit analistului,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/biroul-permanent-national-al-psd-se-reuneste-2529252.html\">situa\u021bia cea mai complicat\u0103 este \u00een interiorul PSD<\/a>, partid care a contribuit la c\u0103derea Guvernului, dar care nu \u00ee\u0219i permite nici s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 complet \u00een afara puterii.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201ePSD poate s\u0103 refuze o astfel de variant\u0103 de premier, dar problema este c\u0103 partidul se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o pozi\u021bie extrem de vulnerabil\u0103. Miza lor principal\u0103 a fost \u00eenl\u0103turarea lui Bolojan \u0219i a guvernului asociat lui, \u00eens\u0103 de aici \u00eenainte nu mai au foarte multe op\u021biuni strategice. Pot refuza o dat\u0103 o propunere de premier, dar dac\u0103 se ajunge iar la blocaj \u0219i la perspectiva anticipatelor, costurile pentru PSD ar putea fi foarte mari\u201d,<\/i> a explicat George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<p>Profesorul de \u0219tiin\u021be politice consider\u0103 c\u0103 social-democra\u021bii \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 p\u0103streze accesul la guvernare \u0219i la resurse administrative, evit\u00e2nd \u00eens\u0103 asumarea public\u0103 a m\u0103surilor de austeritate care ar urma s\u0103 fie adoptate.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201e\u00cen schimb, PNL \u0219i gruparea asociat\u0103 lui Bolojan par s\u0103 aib\u0103 mai pu\u021bine constr\u00e2ngeri \u00een acest moment. Au adoptat o pozi\u021bionare destul de pasiv-agresiv\u0103: \u00abnoi v-am l\u0103sat spa\u021biu, descurca\u021bi-v\u0103\u00bb. PSD \u00eens\u0103 nu prea are luxul opozi\u021biei. \u00cen opinia mea, partidul este acum cu m\u00e2inile legate \u0219i depinde foarte mult de combina\u021bia dintre voin\u021ba pre\u0219edintelui, pozi\u021bionarea PNL \u0219i capacitatea unui eventual tehnocrat de a construi o majoritate\u201d,<\/i> a spus George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack='{\"event\":\"utm_click\",\"data\":{\"event_category\":\"article_related\"}}' href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/aur-ataca-guvernul-in-scandalul-oana-2530081.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-1t8qpgs\">AUR atac\u0103 Guvernul \u00een scandalul Oana Gheorghiu\u2013Schwarz Digits: \u201eCe firm\u0103 rom\u00e2neasc\u0103 a primit acela\u0219i tratament?\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Marea problem\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne formarea unei majorit\u0103\u021bi parlamentare<\/h2>\n<p>Dincolo de numele vehiculate pentru func\u021bia de premier, adev\u0103rata problem\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne construirea unei majorit\u0103\u021bi stabile \u00een Parlament. George Jigl\u0103u avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 fragilitatea intern\u0103 din marile partide poate transforma orice viitor executiv \u00eentr-un guvern vulnerabil \u00eenc\u0103 din prima zi.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eDincolo de nume, problema esen\u021bial\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne majoritatea parlamentar\u0103. Pe asta a insistat \u0219i pre\u0219edintele: nu persoana premierului este decisiv\u0103, ci majoritatea care \u00eel sus\u021bine. Totu\u0219i, acel premier trebuie s\u0103 aib\u0103 suficient\u0103 autoritate \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 poat\u0103 controla partidele care \u00eel sus\u021bin \u0219i s\u0103 men\u021bin\u0103 disciplina parlamentar\u0103. Iar aici apar semne de \u00eentrebare, pentru c\u0103, \u00een afar\u0103 de USR \u0219i UDMR, nici \u00een PSD, nici \u00een PNL nu pare s\u0103 existe o disciplin\u0103 intern\u0103 complet stabil\u0103\u201d,<\/i> a declarat George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen opinia sa, chiar dac\u0103 un nou Guvern va trece de votul Parlamentului, riscul unei majorit\u0103\u021bi fragile \u0219i instabile va continua s\u0103 planeze asupra \u00eentregii construc\u021bii politice.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u201eTocmai de aceea, chiar dac\u0103 se formeaz\u0103 o majoritate \u0219i un guvern trece de votul Parlamentului, exist\u0103 riscul ca sus\u021binerea s\u0103 fie fragil\u0103 \u0219i instabil\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 de la \u00eenceput. Una este ce promit partidele \u00een negocierile cu pre\u0219edintele \u0219i alta este modul \u00een care voteaz\u0103 efectiv \u00een Parlament sau felul \u00een care \u00ee\u0219i negociaz\u0103 interesele interne dup\u0103 aceea. Dincolo de numele vehiculate pentru func\u021bia de premier, adev\u0103rata problem\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne soliditatea majorit\u0103\u021bii politice care ar trebui s\u0103 sus\u021bin\u0103 viitorul guvern\u201d,<\/i> a conchis George Jigl\u0103u.<\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-t0js42\">\n<div class=\"related-wrap related-footer svelte-1t8qpgs\"><span class=\"related-label svelte-1t8qpgs\">Cite\u0219te \u0219i<\/span><a class=\"related svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack='{\"event\":\"utm_click\",\"data\":{\"event_category\":\"article_related\"}}' href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/video\/premierul-interimar-ilie-bolojan-criticat-dupa-ce-2530106.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumb svelte-1t8qpgs\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-a\/acf34eef-ce2f-435c-b694-57cf7a2bde80\/index.png\" alt loading=\"lazy\" width=\"80\" height=\"54\"><span class=\"title svelte-1t8qpgs\">Premierul interimar Ilie Bolojan, criticat dup\u0103 ce a refuzat dialogul cu presa timi\u0219orean\u0103<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"meta svelte-t0js42\">\n<div class=\"authors svelte-t0js42\"><a href=\"\/author\/2121\" rel=\"author\" class=\"svelte-t0js42\">Robert V\u00eerban<\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-12okeyl\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-12okeyl\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-12okeyl\"><a href=\"\/tag\/guvern\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre guvern\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-12okeyl\">guvern<\/a><a href=\"\/tag\/nicu%C8%99or%20dan\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre nicu\u0219or dan\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-12okeyl\">nicu\u0219or dan<\/a><a href=\"\/tag\/ilie%20bolojan\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre ilie bolojan\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-12okeyl\">ilie bolojan<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-t0js42\" href=\"\/politica\" title=\"Politic\u0103\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-t0js42\">Politic\u0103<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/politica\/zile-decisive-pe-scena-politica-varianta-unui-2530127.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/221d0c92-3d2b-434d-8285-1ce4ce5a44b1\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home Politic\u0103 Zile decisive pe scena politic\u0103: varianta unui premier tehnocrat c\u00e2\u0219tig\u0103 teren, dar majoritatea r\u0103m\u00e2ne incert\u0103 La aproape dou\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni dup\u0103 demiterea Guvernului Bolojan prin mo\u021biune de cenzur\u0103, negocierile pentru formarea unei noi majorit\u0103\u021bi au intrat \u00een linie dreapt\u0103.\u00a0Pre\u0219edintele Nicu\u0219or Dan a convocat luni partidele la consult\u0103ri\u00a0pentru desemnarea unui nou premier.\u00a0\u00cen [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[19,226],"class_list":["post-1939641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-adevarul","tag-crawlmanager"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1939641","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1939641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1939641\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1939641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1939641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1939641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}