{"id":1929310,"date":"2026-05-11T07:05:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T04:05:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1929310"},"modified":"2026-05-11T07:05:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T04:05:08","slug":"economistul-radu-georgescu-miercuri-13-mai-vom-afla-daca-economia-se-prabuseste","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1929310","title":{"rendered":"Economistul Radu Georgescu: Miercuri, 13 mai, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/radu-georgescu.pnghttps:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/radu-georgescu.png&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article id=\"template-id-109\" class=\"post-109 tdb_templates type-tdb_templates status-publish post\">\n<div id=\"tdi_3\" class=\"tdc-zone\">\n<div class=\"tdc_zone tdi_4  wpb_row td-pb-row\">\n<div id=\"tdi_5\" class=\"tdc-row\">\n<div class=\"vc_row tdi_6  wpb_row td-pb-row\">\n<div class=\"vc_column tdi_8  wpb_column vc_column_container tdc-column td-pb-span8\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_breadcrumbs tdi_9 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 tdb-breadcrumbs \" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_9\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span><a title=\"Vede\u021bi toate articolele \u00een ECONOMIE\" class=\"tdb-entry-crumb\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/economie\/\">ECONOMIE<\/a><\/span><span class=\"tdb-bred-no-url-last\">Economistul Radu Georgescu: Miercuri, 13 mai, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_categories tdi_10 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 \" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_10\">\n<div class=\"tdb-category td-fix-index\"><a class=\"tdb-entry-category\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/economie\/\">ECONOMIE<\/a><a class=\"tdb-entry-category\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/stiri\/\">\u0218TIRI<\/a><a class=\"tdb-entry-category\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/stirile-zilei\/\">STIRILE ZILEI<\/a><a class=\"tdb-entry-category\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/trending\/\">TRENDING<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_title tdi_11 tdb-single-title td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_11\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Economistul Radu Georgescu: Miercuri, 13 mai, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te<\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"vc_row_inner tdi_13  vc_row vc_inner wpb_row td-pb-row\">\n<div class=\"vc_column_inner tdi_15  wpb_column vc_column_container tdc-inner-column td-pb-span12\">\n<div class=\"vc_column-inner\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_author tdi_16 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 tdb-post-meta\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_16\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-author-name-wrap\"><a class=\"tdb-author-name\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana Ivan<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_date tdi_17 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 tdb-post-meta\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_17\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-11T10:05:08+03:00\">11\/05\/2026<\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_featured_image tdi_18 tdb-content-horiz-left td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_18\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"696\" height=\"345\" class=\"entry-thumb\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/radu-georgescu-696x345.png\" alt title=\"radu georgescu\"><figcaption class=\"tdb-caption-text\">Surs\u0103 &#8211; Radu Georgescu<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_content tdi_19 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 td-post-content tagdiv-type\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_19\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_horizontal_sharing\" data-heateor-sss-href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/economist-radu-georgescu-pib-trimestrul-1-2026-romania-se-prabuseste\/\">\n<div class=\"heateor_sss_sharing_title\">D\u0103 mai departe, nu \u021bine doar pentru tine<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Economistul <a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/tag\/radu-georgescu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Radu Georgescu<\/a> a spus care vor fi cele dou\u0103 cazuri de evolu\u021bie politic\u0103 \u00een Rom\u00e2nia \u00een func\u021bie de PIB-ul ajustat din trimestrul 1 din anul 2026.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Radu Georgescu:<\/strong><em>Lec\u021bia zilnic\u0103 de economie<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Eu am zero interes pentru politic\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Nu simpatizez niciun partid.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Nu m\u0103 uit la nicio emisiune politic\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Dar probabil pot s\u0103 estimez evolu\u021bia politic\u0103 mai bine dec\u00e2t majoritatea anali\u0219tilor politici de la TV \u0219i de pe re\u021belele sociale.<\/em><br \/><em>S\u0103 \u00eencepem.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Miercuri, 13 mai, ora 9, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>De asemenea, vom afla care va fi noul Guvern.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>La acea or\u0103 se va publica PIB-ul Rom\u00e2niei pe trimestrul 1 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>De\u0219i toat\u0103 lumea din Rom\u00e2nia vorbe\u0219te sau a auzit de PIB, nu cred c\u0103 sunt 10 persoane \u00een Rom\u00e2nia care s\u0103 \u00een\u021beleag\u0103 cu adev\u0103rat ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 PIB-ul.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Sunt aproximativ 10 no\u021biuni diferite despre PIB.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00ce\u021bi explic mai jos:<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB nominal: valoarea generat\u0103 de economie \u00eentr-o anumit\u0103 perioad\u0103 (an, trimestru);<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB real: PIB-ul nominal este ajustat cu infla\u021bia, deoarece o parte a PIB-ului nominal este crescut\u0103 de infla\u021bie;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB serie brut\u0103: este PIB-ul real, dar publicat pe fiecare trimestru;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB serie ajustat\u0103: INS face ajust\u0103ri \u00een func\u021bie de sezonalitate: num\u0103r de zile lucr\u0103toare, s\u0103rb\u0103tori etc.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Conven\u021bia economic\u0103 este c\u0103 recesiunea\/cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 se calculeaz\u0103 \u00een func\u021bie de PIB-ul ajustat al trimestrelor consecutive.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Pentru economie, cel mai bun trimestru este trimestrul 4 din an.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00cen acest trimestru avem: Black Friday, Mo\u0219 Nicolae, Cr\u0103ciunul, Revelionul.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Cel mai slab trimestru este trimestrul 1 din an.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Oamenii cump\u0103r\u0103 mai pu\u021bin dup\u0103 dezm\u0103\u021bul financiar din noiembrie \u0219i decembrie.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Deci, evident, PIB-ul nominal din trim. 1 este mai mic dec\u00e2t cel din trim. 4.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Aici apare magia statisticii \u0219i a INS-ului.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00cen fiecare trimestru, INS ajusteaz\u0103 PIB-ul dup\u0103 sezonalitate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Pe rom\u00e2ne\u0219te, INS-ul spune ce PIB vrea.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Dup\u0103 cum am explicat de mai multe ori, toate datele la INS sunt trimise de companii \u00een documente Word.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Adic\u0103 \u00eentr-un format care nu are nicio leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu statistica \u0219i care nu permite verificarea datelor consolidate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Acum sunt 2 situa\u021bii total diferite pentru Rom\u00e2nia.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3><em><strong>Cazul 1<\/strong><\/em><\/h3>\n<p><em>Dac\u0103 PIB-ul ajustat din trim. 1 2026 va sc\u0103dea fa\u021b\u0103 de PIB-ul ajustat din trim. 4 2025, \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 actualul Guvern este de 3 trimestre \u0219i toate trimestrele sunt \u00een sc\u0103dere economic\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Actuala formul\u0103 din Guvern va avea zero \u0219anse s\u0103 mai continue.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ar \u00eensemna c\u0103 nici m\u0103car institu\u021biile de sub Guvern (INS) nu mai vor aceast\u0103 formul\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Evident c\u0103 toate emisiunile vor avea Breaking News cu pr\u0103bu\u0219irea economiei.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3><em><strong>Cazul 2<\/strong><\/em><\/h3>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Dac\u0103, din contr\u0103, PIB-ul ajustat din trimestrul 1 2026 va cre\u0219te fa\u021b\u0103 de PIB-ul ajustat din trim. 4 2025, actualul Guvern prime\u0219te o bil\u0103 alb\u0103 de la INS.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ar \u00eensemna c\u0103 institu\u021biile de sub Guvern (INS etc.) mai vor aceast\u0103 formul\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Evident c\u0103 la emisiuni, \u00een func\u021bie de apartenen\u021b\u0103, se va schimba Breaking News-ul.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Concluzii<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Po\u021bi s\u0103 te ui\u021bi la datele economice \u0219i vei \u0219ti care vor fi \u0219tirile politice din viitor.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_tags tdi_20 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_20\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<ul class=\"tdb-tags\">\n<li><span>SUBIECTE FIERBIN\u021aI<\/span><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/tag\/radu-georgescu\/\">radu georgescu<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap td_block_9 tdi_21 td_with_ajax_pagination td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 td-column-2 td_block_padding td_block_bot_line\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_21\">\n<div class=\"td-block-title-wrap\">\n<h4 class=\"block-title td-block-title\"><span class=\"td-pulldown-size\">CITE\u0218TE MAI MULT<\/span><\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"tdi_21\" class=\"td_block_inner\">\n<div class=\"td-block-row\">\n<div 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href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/postul-de-televiziune-digi24-acuzat-face-liste-negre-invitati-preferentiali-iulian-fota-radu-carp-chemat-invitati-platiti\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Postul de televiziune Digi24 e acuzat c\u0103 face \u201eliste negre\u201c \u0219i are invita\u021bi preferen\u021biali: Dup\u0103 dezv\u0103luirile lui Iulian Fota, Radu Carp a descoperit c\u0103 e chemat la TV pentru a \u021bine locul unor invita\u021bi pl\u0103ti\u021bi care s-au \u00eemboln\u0103vit \u0219i nu au putut ajunge\">Postul de televiziune Digi24 e acuzat c\u0103 face \u201eliste negre\u201c \u0219i are invita\u021bi preferen\u021biali:&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/actualitate\/\" class=\"td-post-category\">ACTUALITATE<\/a><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana Ivan<\/a><span>&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-09T08:31:55+03:00\">09\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-row\">\n<div class=\"td-block-span6\">\n<div class=\"td_module_8 td_module_wrap\">\n<div class=\"item-details\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/turism-bulgaria-promovat-sute-de-milioane-persoane\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Turismul Bulgariei, promovat de o institu\u021bie sportiv\u0103 european\u0103 de top \u00een fa\u021ba a sute de milioane de oameni\">Turismul Bulgariei, promovat de o institu\u021bie sportiv\u0103 european\u0103 de top \u00een fa\u021ba a sute&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/economie\/\" class=\"td-post-category\">ECONOMIE<\/a><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/redactia\/\">Redac\u021bia<\/a><span>&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-10T17:11:14+03:00\">10\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-span6\">\n<div class=\"td_module_8 td_module_wrap\">\n<div class=\"item-details\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/schimbare-istorica-marea-britanie-nigel-farage-castiga-alegerile-locale-reform-uk-spulbera-laburisti-keir-starmer\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"VIDEO | Schimbare istoric\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie: Nigel Farage a c\u00e2\u0219tigat alegerile locale cu Reform UK \u0219i i-a spulberat pe laburi\u0219tii premierului Keir Starmer\">VIDEO | Schimbare istoric\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie: Nigel Farage a c\u00e2\u0219tigat alegerile locale cu&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/category\/actualitate\/\" class=\"td-post-category\">ACTUALITATE<\/a><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana 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o analiz\u0103 la s\u00e2nge a Rom\u00e2niei: Se simte sf\u00e2r\u0219itul unei ere. 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data-td_block_id=\"tdi_21\">\u00cenc\u0103rca\u021bi mai multe<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap td_block_text_with_title tdi_22 tagdiv-type td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_22\">\n<div class=\"td-block-title-wrap\">\n<h4 class=\"block-title td-block-title\"><span class=\"td-pulldown-size\">PARTENERI<\/span><\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_mod_wrap td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"wprss_ajax\" data-id=\"rssfad165e08f\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-rss-retriever\/inc\/imgs\/ajax-loader.gif\" alt=\"Loading RSS Feed\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\"><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"wprss_ajax\" data-id=\"rss657777eea4\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-rss-retriever\/inc\/imgs\/ajax-loader.gif\" alt=\"Loading RSS Feed\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\"><\/div>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_comments tdi_23 tdb-comm-layout2 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_23\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"comments\" id=\"comments\">\n<div id=\"respond\" class=\"comment-respond\">\n<h3 id=\"reply-title\" class=\"comment-reply-title\">L\u0102SA\u021aI UN MESAJ <small><a rel=\"nofollow\" id=\"cancel-comment-reply-link\" href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/economist-radu-georgescu-pib-trimestrul-1-2026-romania-se-prabuseste\/#respond\">Renun\u021ba\u021bi la r\u0103spuns<\/a><\/small><\/h3>\n<div class=\"comment-form-input-wrap td-form-comment\">\n<div class=\"td-warning-comment\">V\u0103 rug\u0103m s\u0103 introduce\u021bi comentariul dvs.!<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"comment-form-input-wrap td-form-author\">\n<div class=\"td-warning-author\">Introduce\u021bi aici numele dvs.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"comment-form-input-wrap td-form-email\">\n<div class=\"td-warning-email-error\">A\u021bi introdus o adres\u0103 de e-mail incorect\u0103!<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-warning-email\">V\u0103 rug\u0103m s\u0103 introduce\u021bi adresa dvs. de e-mail aici<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"vc_column tdi_25  wpb_column vc_column_container tdc-column td-pb-span4 td-is-sticky\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\" data-sticky-enabled-on=\"W3RydWUsdHJ1ZSx0cnVlLHRydWVd\" data-sticky-offset=\"20\" data-sticky-is-width-auto=\"W2ZhbHNlLGZhbHNlLGZhbHNlLGZhbHNlXQ==\">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper td_block_wrap vc_widget_sidebar tdi_27 \">\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap td_block_social_counter td_block_widget tdi_28 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\">\n<div class=\"td-social-list\">\n<div class=\"td_social_type td-pb-margin-side td_social_facebook\">\n<div class=\"td-social-box\"><span class=\"td_social_info td_social_info_counter\">38,500<\/span><span class=\"td_social_info td_social_info_name\">Fani<\/span><span class=\"td_social_button\"><a 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cei&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-editor-date\"><span class=\"td-author-date\"><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana Ivan<\/a><span>&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-10T00:03:37+03:00\">10\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-span12\">\n<div class=\"td_module_mx1 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack\">\n<div class=\"td-module-thumb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/stalinism-pe-fata-antena-1-a-modificat-interviu-ilie-bolojan-scos-montaj-parte-premier-demis-parlament-anunta-oamenii-pnl-demisii-functii-publice\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" class=\"td-image-wrap \" title=\"VIDEO | Stalinism pe fa\u021b\u0103! 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class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-10T17:11:14+03:00\">10\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-span12\">\n<div class=\"td_module_mx1 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack\">\n<div class=\"td-module-thumb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/postul-de-televiziune-digi24-acuzat-face-liste-negre-invitati-preferentiali-iulian-fota-radu-carp-chemat-invitati-platiti\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" class=\"td-image-wrap \" title=\"Postul de televiziune Digi24 e acuzat c\u0103 face \u201eliste negre\u201c \u0219i are invita\u021bi preferen\u021biali: Dup\u0103 dezv\u0103luirile lui Iulian Fota, Radu Carp a descoperit c\u0103 e chemat la TV pentru a \u021bine locul unor invita\u021bi pl\u0103ti\u021bi care s-au \u00eemboln\u0103vit \u0219i nu au putut ajunge\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"entry-thumb\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/iulian-fota-356x220.png\" alt title=\"Postul de televiziune Digi24 e acuzat c\u0103 face \u201eliste negre\u201c \u0219i are invita\u021bi preferen\u021biali: Dup\u0103 dezv\u0103luirile lui Iulian Fota, Radu Carp a descoperit c\u0103 e chemat la TV pentru a \u021bine locul unor invita\u021bi pl\u0103ti\u021bi care s-au \u00eemboln\u0103vit \u0219i nu au putut ajunge\" width=\"356\" height=\"220\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/postul-de-televiziune-digi24-acuzat-face-liste-negre-invitati-preferentiali-iulian-fota-radu-carp-chemat-invitati-platiti\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Postul de televiziune Digi24 e acuzat c\u0103 face \u201eliste negre\u201c \u0219i are invita\u021bi preferen\u021biali: Dup\u0103 dezv\u0103luirile lui Iulian Fota, Radu Carp a descoperit c\u0103 e chemat la TV pentru a \u021bine locul unor invita\u021bi pl\u0103ti\u021bi care s-au \u00eemboln\u0103vit \u0219i nu au putut ajunge\">Postul de televiziune Digi24 e acuzat c\u0103 face \u201eliste negre\u201c \u0219i are invita\u021bi preferen\u021biali: Dup\u0103 dezv\u0103luirile lui Iulian Fota, Radu Carp a descoperit c\u0103&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-editor-date\"><span class=\"td-author-date\"><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana Ivan<\/a><span>&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-09T08:31:55+03:00\">09\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-span12\">\n<div class=\"td_module_mx1 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack\">\n<div class=\"td-module-thumb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/laura-codruta-kovesi-trimite-la-somn-nicusor-dan-obtinut-scor-bun-olimpiade-internationale-matematica-afirmatii-somn-bun-tara\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" class=\"td-image-wrap \" title=\"Laura Codru\u021ba Kovesi \u00eel trimite la culcare pe Nicu\u0219or Dan: Faptul c\u0103 ai ob\u0163inut un scor bun la olimpiade interna\u0163ionale de matematic\u0103 nu te calific\u0103 s\u0103 faci altfel de afirma\u0163ii. \u00cei doresc un somn bun! \u021aara are nevoie de el s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i revin\u0103 \u00een form\u0103\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"entry-thumb\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/nicusor-dan-356x220.png\" alt title=\"Laura Codru\u021ba Kovesi \u00eel trimite la culcare pe Nicu\u0219or Dan: Faptul c\u0103 ai ob\u0163inut un scor bun la olimpiade interna\u0163ionale de matematic\u0103 nu te calific\u0103 s\u0103 faci altfel de afirma\u0163ii. \u00cei doresc un somn bun! \u021aara are nevoie de el s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i revin\u0103 \u00een form\u0103\" width=\"356\" height=\"220\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/laura-codruta-kovesi-trimite-la-somn-nicusor-dan-obtinut-scor-bun-olimpiade-internationale-matematica-afirmatii-somn-bun-tara\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Laura Codru\u021ba Kovesi \u00eel trimite la culcare pe Nicu\u0219or Dan: Faptul c\u0103 ai ob\u0163inut un scor bun la olimpiade interna\u0163ionale de matematic\u0103 nu te calific\u0103 s\u0103 faci altfel de afirma\u0163ii. \u00cei doresc un somn bun! \u021aara are nevoie de el s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i revin\u0103 \u00een form\u0103\">Laura Codru\u021ba Kovesi \u00eel trimite la culcare pe Nicu\u0219or Dan: Faptul c\u0103 ai ob\u0163inut un scor bun la olimpiade interna\u0163ionale de matematic\u0103 nu te&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-editor-date\"><span class=\"td-author-date\"><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana Ivan<\/a><span>&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-09T08:50:40+03:00\">09\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-span12\">\n<div class=\"td_module_mx1 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack\">\n<div class=\"td-module-thumb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/schimbare-istorica-marea-britanie-nigel-farage-castiga-alegerile-locale-reform-uk-spulbera-laburisti-keir-starmer\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" class=\"td-image-wrap \" title=\"VIDEO | Schimbare istoric\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie: Nigel Farage a c\u00e2\u0219tigat alegerile locale cu Reform UK \u0219i i-a spulberat pe laburi\u0219tii premierului Keir Starmer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"entry-thumb\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/steagul-marii-britanii-si-big-ben-356x220.png\" alt title=\"VIDEO | Schimbare istoric\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie: Nigel Farage a c\u00e2\u0219tigat alegerile locale cu Reform UK \u0219i i-a spulberat pe laburi\u0219tii premierului Keir Starmer\" width=\"356\" height=\"220\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/schimbare-istorica-marea-britanie-nigel-farage-castiga-alegerile-locale-reform-uk-spulbera-laburisti-keir-starmer\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"VIDEO | Schimbare istoric\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie: Nigel Farage a c\u00e2\u0219tigat alegerile locale cu Reform UK \u0219i i-a spulberat pe laburi\u0219tii premierului Keir Starmer\">VIDEO | Schimbare istoric\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie: Nigel Farage a c\u00e2\u0219tigat alegerile locale cu Reform UK \u0219i i-a spulberat pe laburi\u0219tii premierului Keir Starmer<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-editor-date\"><span class=\"td-author-date\"><span class=\"td-post-author-name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/author\/oana\/\">Oana Ivan<\/a><span>&#8211;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-08T14:17:04+03:00\">08\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap td_block_7 td_block_widget tdi_31 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 td-column-1 td_block_padding\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_31\">\n<div class=\"td-block-title-wrap\">\n<h4 class=\"block-title td-block-title\"><span class=\"td-pulldown-size\">Articole RELA\u021aIONATE<\/span><\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"tdi_31\" class=\"td_block_inner\">\n<div class=\"td-block-span12\">\n<div class=\"td_module_6 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack\">\n<div class=\"td-module-thumb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/r3media-sursa-favorita-google\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" class=\"td-image-wrap \" title=\"Cum s\u0103 alegi R3media ca surs\u0103 ta favorit\u0103 pe Google\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"entry-thumb\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/r3media-logo-nou-100x70.png\" alt title=\"Cum s\u0103 alegi R3media ca 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class=\"item-details\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/actorul-ioan-isaiu-a-facut-infarct-si-a-murit-in-fata-colegilor-sai-bou-vaccinat-anti-covid-19\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Actorul Ioan Isaiu a f\u0103cut infarct \u0219i a murit \u00een fa\u021ba colegilor s\u0103i: Am fost bou c\u0103 m-am vaccinat \u0219i v-am blocat pe cei care \u00eemi era\u021bi prieteni\">Actorul Ioan Isaiu a f\u0103cut infarct \u0219i a murit \u00een fa\u021ba&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\"><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-10T00:03:37+03:00\">10\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td-block-span12\">\n<div class=\"td_module_6 td_module_wrap td-animation-stack\">\n<div class=\"td-module-thumb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/calendarul-zilei-10-mai-ziua-independentei-romaniei-ziua-aromanilor\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" class=\"td-image-wrap \" 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Ziua Regalit\u0103\u021bii\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"entry-thumb\" src=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Coroana-de-otel-a-Regelui-Carol-I-100x70.jpg\" alt title=\"Calendarul zilei: 10 mai, Ziua Independen\u021bei de Stat, Ziua Rom\u00e2nilor din Balcani sau Ziua Arom\u00e2nilor. Ziua Regalit\u0103\u021bii\" width=\"100\" height=\"70\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"item-details\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title td-module-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/calendarul-zilei-10-mai-ziua-independentei-romaniei-ziua-aromanilor\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" title=\"Calendarul zilei: 10 mai, Ziua Independen\u021bei de Stat, Ziua Rom\u00e2nilor din Balcani sau Ziua Arom\u00e2nilor. 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Antena 1 a modificat interviul cu&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"td-module-meta-info\"><span class=\"td-post-date\"><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2026-05-09T09:58:55+03:00\">09\/05\/2026<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"td-page-meta\"><\/span><span class=\"td-page-meta\"><span class=\"td-page-meta\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"td-page-meta\"><\/span><\/article>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_content tdi_19 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 td-post-content tagdiv-type\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_19\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_horizontal_sharing\" data-heateor-sss-href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/economist-radu-georgescu-pib-trimestrul-1-2026-romania-se-prabuseste\/\">\n<div class=\"heateor_sss_sharing_title\">D\u0103 mai departe, nu \u021bine doar pentru tine<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Economistul <a href=\"https:\/\/r3media.ro\/tag\/radu-georgescu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Radu Georgescu<\/a> a spus care vor fi cele dou\u0103 cazuri de evolu\u021bie politic\u0103 \u00een Rom\u00e2nia \u00een func\u021bie de PIB-ul ajustat din trimestrul 1 din anul 2026.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Radu Georgescu:<\/strong><em>Lec\u021bia zilnic\u0103 de economie<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Eu am zero interes pentru politic\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Nu simpatizez niciun partid.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Nu m\u0103 uit la nicio emisiune politic\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Dar probabil pot s\u0103 estimez evolu\u021bia politic\u0103 mai bine dec\u00e2t majoritatea anali\u0219tilor politici de la TV \u0219i de pe re\u021belele sociale.<\/em><br \/><em>S\u0103 \u00eencepem.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Miercuri, 13 mai, ora 9, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>De asemenea, vom afla care va fi noul Guvern.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>La acea or\u0103 se va publica PIB-ul Rom\u00e2niei pe trimestrul 1 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>De\u0219i toat\u0103 lumea din Rom\u00e2nia vorbe\u0219te sau a auzit de PIB, nu cred c\u0103 sunt 10 persoane \u00een Rom\u00e2nia care s\u0103 \u00een\u021beleag\u0103 cu adev\u0103rat ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 PIB-ul.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Sunt aproximativ 10 no\u021biuni diferite despre PIB.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00ce\u021bi explic mai jos:<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB nominal: valoarea generat\u0103 de economie \u00eentr-o anumit\u0103 perioad\u0103 (an, trimestru);<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB real: PIB-ul nominal este ajustat cu infla\u021bia, deoarece o parte a PIB-ului nominal este crescut\u0103 de infla\u021bie;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB serie brut\u0103: este PIB-ul real, dar publicat pe fiecare trimestru;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>PIB serie ajustat\u0103: INS face ajust\u0103ri \u00een func\u021bie de sezonalitate: num\u0103r de zile lucr\u0103toare, s\u0103rb\u0103tori etc.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Conven\u021bia economic\u0103 este c\u0103 recesiunea\/cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 se calculeaz\u0103 \u00een func\u021bie de PIB-ul ajustat al trimestrelor consecutive.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Pentru economie, cel mai bun trimestru este trimestrul 4 din an.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00cen acest trimestru avem: Black Friday, Mo\u0219 Nicolae, Cr\u0103ciunul, Revelionul.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Cel mai slab trimestru este trimestrul 1 din an.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Oamenii cump\u0103r\u0103 mai pu\u021bin dup\u0103 dezm\u0103\u021bul financiar din noiembrie \u0219i decembrie.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Deci, evident, PIB-ul nominal din trim. 1 este mai mic dec\u00e2t cel din trim. 4.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Aici apare magia statisticii \u0219i a INS-ului.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00cen fiecare trimestru, INS ajusteaz\u0103 PIB-ul dup\u0103 sezonalitate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Pe rom\u00e2ne\u0219te, INS-ul spune ce PIB vrea.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Dup\u0103 cum am explicat de mai multe ori, toate datele la INS sunt trimise de companii \u00een documente Word.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Adic\u0103 \u00eentr-un format care nu are nicio leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu statistica \u0219i care nu permite verificarea datelor consolidate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Acum sunt 2 situa\u021bii total diferite pentru Rom\u00e2nia.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3><em><strong>Cazul 1<\/strong><\/em><\/h3>\n<p><em>Dac\u0103 PIB-ul ajustat din trim. 1 2026 va sc\u0103dea fa\u021b\u0103 de PIB-ul ajustat din trim. 4 2025, \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 actualul Guvern este de 3 trimestre \u0219i toate trimestrele sunt \u00een sc\u0103dere economic\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Actuala formul\u0103 din Guvern va avea zero \u0219anse s\u0103 mai continue.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ar \u00eensemna c\u0103 nici m\u0103car institu\u021biile de sub Guvern (INS) nu mai vor aceast\u0103 formul\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Evident c\u0103 toate emisiunile vor avea Breaking News cu pr\u0103bu\u0219irea economiei.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3><em><strong>Cazul 2<\/strong><\/em><\/h3>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Dac\u0103, din contr\u0103, PIB-ul ajustat din trimestrul 1 2026 va cre\u0219te fa\u021b\u0103 de PIB-ul ajustat din trim. 4 2025, actualul Guvern prime\u0219te o bil\u0103 alb\u0103 de la INS.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ar \u00eensemna c\u0103 institu\u021biile de sub Guvern (INS etc.) mai vor aceast\u0103 formul\u0103.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Evident c\u0103 la emisiuni, \u00een func\u021bie de apartenen\u021b\u0103, se va schimba Breaking News-ul.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Concluzii<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Po\u021bi s\u0103 te ui\u021bi la datele economice \u0219i vei \u0219ti care vor fi \u0219tirile politice din viitor.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/r3media.ro\/economist-radu-georgescu-pib-trimestrul-1-2026-romania-se-prabuseste\/&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/radu-georgescu.pnghttps:\/\/r3media.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/radu-georgescu.png&#8221;] ECONOMIEEconomistul Radu Georgescu: Miercuri, 13 mai, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te ECONOMIE\u0218TIRISTIRILE ZILEITRENDING Economistul Radu Georgescu: Miercuri, 13 mai, vom afla dac\u0103 economia se pr\u0103bu\u0219e\u0219te Oana Ivan 11\/05\/2026 Surs\u0103 &#8211; Radu Georgescu D\u0103 mai departe, nu \u021bine doar pentru tine Economistul Radu Georgescu a spus care vor fi cele dou\u0103 cazuri [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[226,93],"class_list":["post-1929310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-crawlmanager","tag-r3media-ro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1929310","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1929310"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1929310\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1929310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1929310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1929310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}