{"id":1910937,"date":"2026-04-30T14:20:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T11:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1910937"},"modified":"2026-04-30T14:20:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T11:20:33","slug":"the-bounce-can-anybody-close-out-a-playoff-series","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1910937","title":{"rendered":"The Bounce: Can anybody close out a playoff series?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"Article_ContentContainer__jBNW3 article-content-container bodytext1\">\n<p><b data-stringify-type=\"bold\">The Bounce Newslette<\/b><strong>r<\/strong>\u00a0<span class=\"c-emoji c-emoji__medium c-emoji--inline\" data-qa=\"emoji\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/apple-medium\/1f3c0@2x.png\" alt=\":basketball:\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" aria-label=\"basketball emoji\" data-stringify-type=\"emoji\" data-stringify-emoji=\":basketball:\"><\/span>\u00a0| This is <em>The Athletic\u2019s<\/em> daily NBA newsletter.\u00a0<a class=\"c-link c-link--underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/newsletters\/the-bounce\/?source=pulsenewsletter&amp;campaign=9178780&amp;userId=10748855\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"https:\/\/theathletic.com\/newsletters\/the-bounce\/?source=pulsenewsletter&amp;campaign=9178780&amp;userId=10748855\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">Sign up here<\/a>\u00a0to receive The Bounce directly in your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>How do you trade for two Hall of Famers, win a title with them \u2014 and still lose the trade? On this day in 1956, the St. Louis Hawks acquired Ed Macauley and Cliff Hagan from the Boston Celtics. They\u2019d go on to help the Hawks take the 1958 championship, but they gave the Celtics the No. 1 draft pick. Boston selected Bill Russell with it. Case closed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid1\" data-position=\"mid1\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr>\n<h3>The Comeback(s)<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Are we about to witness playoff history?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Celtics, Wolves, Magic and Lakers have all failed to close out their respective series. Boston couldn\u2019t end Philadelphia at home while up 3-1. Minnesota and Orlando couldn\u2019t close out on the road with a 3-1 lead. And the Lakers were up 3-0 on the Rockets.<\/p>\n<p id=\"article-pickem\">\n<p>So how seriously should we take these potential comebacks? Since Doc Rivers isn\u2019t coaching any of the teams that are up 3-1, it\u2019s not such an easy answer. We\u2019ve had 13 out of 298 teams complete comebacks after going down 3-1 in a playoff series. Let\u2019s eliminate some series right off the bat. If Doc coached you, or it happened in The Bubble or it happened before the Merger, we\u2019re going to excuse you from this exercise.<\/p>\n<p>That leaves us with seven series.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>1979: Bullets over Spurs: <\/strong>Elvin Hayes and Bob Dandridge get the stops at home.<\/li>\n<li><strong>1981: Celtics over 76ers: <\/strong>Five games decided by one or two points. Game 7 in Boston.<\/li>\n<li><strong>1995: Rockets over Suns: <\/strong>Game 7 was in Phoenix, and Houston won by one.<\/li>\n<li><strong>1997: Heat over Knicks: <\/strong>Tim Hardaway Sr. lit up the Knicks for 38 in Game 7 in Miami.<\/li>\n<li><strong>2006: Suns over Lakers: <\/strong>Kobe Bryant kind of quietly quit on his team in Phoenix.<\/li>\n<li><strong>2016: Warriors over Thunder: <\/strong>The 73-9 Warriors made an epic comeback that sent Kevin Durant right into their arms. Won Game 7 at home.<\/li>\n<li><strong>2016: Cavs over Warriors: <\/strong>The most famous example, with LeBron and company winning it in Oakland.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>It so rarely happens, and only a couple of teams have closed it out on the road. Philadelphia and Orlando would have to do that. Denver has a good chance because of the Anthony Edwards injury. As for the Rockets, they\u2019re already just the 16th team to force a Game 6 after going down 3-0. The 1951 Knicks, 1994 Nuggets, 2003 Blazers and 2023 Celtics are the only teams to force a Game 7. And nobody has won that Game 7 \u2026 yet?<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Since we\u2019re here, let\u2019s do a quick preview of tonight\u2019s Game 6s. All times Eastern.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Knicks at Hawks, 7 p.m. (ESPN) | Knicks lead 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Something to look for: <\/strong>James Edwards III said it best in his article. <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/58f9b4c2714b49fbb6c4a8bb6a5a847d\/067f885669e54170a2b869690f2ea2e4\">We\u2019ll find out how serious the Knicks are<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Celtics at 76ers, 8 p.m. (NBCSN\/Peacock) | Celtics lead 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Something to look for: <\/strong>The Sixers found the right balance with Joel Embiid on the court in Game 5. But the Celtics getting back to their normal shooting would neutralize that.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nuggets at Wolves, 9:30 p.m. (ESPN) | Wolves lead 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Something to look for: <\/strong>Dare I say\u2026 must-win game for <em>both<\/em> teams! The Wolves don\u2019t want to go back to Denver, sans Edwards.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid2\" data-position=\"mid2\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr>\n<h3>The last 24<\/h3>\n<p>\ud83c\udfd3 <strong>Lottery reform. <\/strong>Vecenie also took a look at the NBA\u2019s new lottery proposal. <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/fff77a3acfee4fb59b0d0e9042aea1ab\"><strong>He\u2019s not convinced it\u2019ll fix tanking<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\ud83c\udfc6 <strong>Not dwelling. <\/strong>Cooper Flagg accepted his Rookie of the Year award yesterday. <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/78e94e9d41cb48ebb4a1f5ccc30ba774\"><strong>And he just wants to start winning games<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83e\udd14 Decision time. <\/strong>It\u2019s up in the air whether Steve Kerr will be back as Warriors coach. <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/ddc58681d305468c901926c551de1429\"><strong>The two sides talked and will meet again next week<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83d\udd0a \u201cNBA Daily.\u201d <\/strong>Watch and listen to a recap of last night\u2019s games. <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/z\/c\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/0cb664a3624c4b0fb2a7f3ecc8013878\"><strong>Including how Cade and Paolo put on a show<\/strong><\/a><strong>. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Stream the NBA on Fubo (<\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/z\/c\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/e323c0233c7744999712ed16bd20a845\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">try it for free!<\/a>)<\/em><em>\u00a0and catch out-of-market games on\u00a0<\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/z\/c\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/eb09f8881e6248908875eb97d2698866\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">League Pass<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3>About last night<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Pistons and Rockets survive<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s review last night\u2019s Game 5s \u2026<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pistons 116, Magic 109: Magic lead 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/d0812fad7777491ab704bc9cf4b3ce9c\">Read the takeaways from <em>The Athletic<\/em><\/a>. Here are mine.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The duel! Cade Cunningham set the Pistons franchise record with 45 in a playoff game. He inexplicably hit five 3s. Paolo Banchero had 45 and inexplicably hit <em>six<\/em> 3s.<\/li>\n<li>Board dominance. The teams were about even on second-chance points (22-21 for Detroit), but the Pistons had eight more offensive boards and 16 more total rebounds.<\/li>\n<li>Free throws. In a game the Magic lost by seven, they missed 14 free throws. Banchero missed half of them! His game could have been so much better.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Who played huge in this game? <\/strong>Cade, obviously. You can\u2019t say enough about how great he was in this game. He got a little sloppy in the fourth, but made the big plays when it counted.<\/p>\n<div id=\"top-league-content-root\"><\/div>\n<p>    {&#8220;endpoint&#8221;:&#8221;https:\/\/api-prd-nyt.theathletic.com\/graphql&#8221;}<\/p>\n<p><strong>Who came up short for the Magic? <\/strong>Wendell Carter Jr. wasn\u2019t the guy we saw the last few games. Jalen Duren wasn\u2019t back to All-NBA form, but he outplayed Carter, finally.<\/p>\n<p><strong>How concerned should the Magic be? <\/strong>Paolo goes for 45 on the road, and you lose? They have to be concerned. Yes, Game 6 is at home, but <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/562ed675c9f746a1925b875abdab07fd\">we don\u2019t know if Franz Wagner will play<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div data-ath-video-stream=\"FtvJqsOwnKJGA59\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>PPM: <\/strong>\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8 for Orlando | \ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8 for Detroit<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cavs 125, Raptors 120: Cavs lead 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/58f9b4c2714b49fbb6c4a8bb6a5a847d\/cbddb2dba1f947a692a24092b61d00c9\">Read the takeaways from <em>The Athletic<\/em><\/a>. Here are mine.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dennis Schr\u00f6der saved the day. He had 11 of his 19 points off the bench to help on a night James Harden turned it over six times and Donovan Mitchell struggled.<\/li>\n<li>Fourth-quarter shutdown. Toronto didn\u2019t make a basket in the first 4 1\/2 minutes and shot 25 percent from the field and 2-of-12 from deep in the final quarter.<\/li>\n<li>The Raptors\u2019 running did not help. They had a 26-6 fast-break advantage, but they only had nine of those in the second half. They needed to keep the pressure on Cleveland.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Who played huge in this game? <\/strong>Evan Mobley. After the Raptors\u2019 dominant second quarter, Mobley responded with 10 of his 23 points in the third. He also made three 3-pointers and blocked three shots.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Who came up short for the Raptors? <\/strong>RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes and Jamal Shead. They combined for six points on 2-of-17 from the field in the fourth. Barnes was banged up, but Barrett threw up some terrible shots. Shead missed three wide-open 3s down the stretch.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid3\" data-position=\"mid3\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>How concerned should the Raptors be? <\/strong>Pretty concerned. They played much better at home than in Cleveland, but they still need to win the next two.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PPM: <\/strong>\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8 for Toronto | \ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8 for Cleveland<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rockets 99, Lakers 93: Lakers lead 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/58f9b4c2714b49fbb6c4a8bb6a5a847d\/e2347fa088d8431ca8152fade78fb0b3\">Read the takeaways from <em>The Athletic<\/em><\/a>. Here are mine.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In the first three games, the Lakers made 46 percent of their 3s. Houston made 28.7 percent. The last two games? Lakers: 24.4 percent. Rockets: 37.1 percent. Los Angeles went 1-of-12 in the second half last night.<\/li>\n<li>Tari Eason. He had 18 points after having 20 in Game 4. His ability to score and make plays on defense is galvanizing Houston.<\/li>\n<li>Austin Reaves is back. He looked a little rusty on a couple of missed layups, but he had 22 points off the bench on 4-of-16 shooting. He was 12-of-13 from the line.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Who played huge in this game? <\/strong>Jabari Smith Jr. stretched the floor with four 3-pointers, blocked a couple shots and led Houston with 22 points.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Who came up short for the Lakers? <\/strong>Luke Kennard. One point? That\u2019s it? That was Kennard\u2019s night in 31 minutes. He missed all four of his shots.<\/p>\n<p><strong>How concerned should the Lakers be? <\/strong>History says not to worry. The Lakers have Reaves now. They should be able to close out.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PPM: <\/strong>\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8 for Houston | \ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8\ud83d\udea8 for Los Angeles.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3>Draft SZN<\/h3>\n<p><strong>What I like and don\u2019t like from latest mock<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>obody is better at breaking down the NBA Draft, knowing every prospect\u2019s attributes and creating mocks with expertise and reporting, than <em>The Athletic<\/em>\u2019s Sam Vecenie. Yesterday, he did a <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/z\/c\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/c2b085ff058247ea96d73e22c5f0b7e9\">spin on Tankathon<\/a> to get a draft order before the actual lottery on May 10. In this spin, the Jazz won the top pick, the Wizards were second and the Hawks were third, thanks to New Orleans\u2019 trade on draft night last year to select Derik Queen.<\/p>\n<p>Sam <a href=\"https:\/\/links.e1.nytimes.com\/a\/zc\/5037\/7252ddf2f3524e53abb2e4da180129f3\/0fe7647a7afe4f939a6ec4b437f7d16c\">unleashed a great two-round mock draft with full analysis<\/a>. I picked out three things I love from it and three things I don\u2019t. Let\u2019s journey through this!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Three things I love:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>1. Darius Acuff, Jr. to the Nets at No. 6. <\/strong>I fully recognize that BYU\u2019s AJ Dybantsa is the best player in the draft. But Acuff is my favorite. I think the Arkansas point guard is probably the third or fourth best prospect overall. He\u2019s a killer on the court. He can really shoot. He can score. He\u2019s a good facilitator who takes care of the ball. The Nets need a future star, and he\u2019s exactly that.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-container\">\n<div class=\"ad-wrapper article-treatment\">\n<div class=\"ad-slug-container\">\n<p class=\"ad-slug\">Advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"mid4\" data-position=\"mid4\" class=\"ad place-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>2. Kingston Flemings to the Kings at No. 7. <\/strong>Sacramento desperately needs star potential and an injection of fun into its arena and organization. Kings fans have been through enough and need some hope. I\u2019m not totally convinced Flemings can shoot right away, but the Houston freshman is super explosive and will make great decisions on the court. The Kings should actually keep this point guard.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Koa Peat to the Grizzlies at No. 16. <\/strong>This would be teaming him up with North Carolina\u2019s Caleb Wilson, whom Sam mocks to the Grizzlies at No. 4. I have no idea if Arizona\u2019s Peat will be a big-time player at the NBA level. I know at No. 16, you\u2019re not getting a more physical player with this upside.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Three things I don\u2019t:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>1. Cameron Boozer to the Hawks at No. 3. <\/strong>It\u2019s not that I think Boozer is a bad prospect. I just hate the fit with him in Atlanta. The Hawks need a big man, but there isn\u2019t one to take here. They kind of need a point guard, but I doubt they\u2019d reach at 3. Duke\u2019s Boozer doesn\u2019t fit with Jalen Johnson, Jonathan Kuminga and Okyeka Okongwu on the frontline. Maybe they move down?<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Aday Mara to the Bulls at No. 9. <\/strong>Granted, we don\u2019t even know who will be handling these decisions. I promise the Bulls fans did not sit through this monstrosity of a direction to see them finally embrace more of a sound rebuild to get Michigan\u2019s 7-foot-3 Mara. I hated it the first time we did this and called him Danny Wolf.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3. Nate Ament to the Thunder at No. 12. <\/strong>This just feels unfair. Ament\u2019s draft stock is all over the place and he had a horrible end to what was a promising freshman season at Tennessee. But you\u2019re going to put this 6-foot-10 bubbling potential in the Thunder\u2019s program, and then they get yet another one of these guys who plugs in perfectly in Year 2?<\/p>\n<p>The NBA Draft will be held June 23-24.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bounce Newsletter\u00a0\u00a0| This is The Athletic\u2019s daily NBA newsletter.\u00a0Sign up here\u00a0to receive The Bounce directly in your inbox. How do you trade for two Hall of Famers, win a title with them \u2014 and still lose the trade? On this day in 1956, the St. Louis Hawks acquired Ed Macauley and Cliff Hagan from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[226,241],"class_list":["post-1910937","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-crawlmanager","tag-nytimes-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1910937","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1910937"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1910937\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1910937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1910937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1910937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}