{"id":1877250,"date":"2026-04-11T08:59:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T05:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1877250"},"modified":"2026-04-11T08:59:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T05:59:15","slug":"intalnirea-vance-ghalibaf-moment-istoric-intr-un-dialog-marcat-de-neincredere-profunda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1877250","title":{"rendered":"\u00cent\u00e2lnirea Vance\u2013Ghalibaf, moment istoric \u00eentr-un dialog marcat de ne\u00eencredere profund\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-d\/dafe8db8-8d21-41a2-bcd1-afb8a90de085\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article class=\"svelte-t0js42\">\n<nav>\n<ul class=\"breadcrump svelte-xauq0s\">\n<li class=\"svelte-xauq0s\"><a href=\"\/\" title=\"Adev\u0103rul\" class=\"svelte-xauq0s\">Home<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-xauq0s\"><a href=\"\/stiri-externe\" class=\"svelte-xauq0s\">\u0218tiri Externe<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-xauq0s\"><a href=\"\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\" class=\"svelte-xauq0s\">\u00cen lume<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"svelte-xauq0s\"><a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\/intalnirea-vance-ghalibaf-moment-istoric-intr-un-2522076.html\" class=\"svelte-xauq0s\">\u00cent\u00e2lnirea Vance\u2013Ghalibaf, moment istoric \u00eentr-un dialog marcat de ne\u00eencredere profund\u0103<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/nav>\n<p><main class=\"svelte-t0js42\"><\/p>\n<p>Dac\u0103 \u0219i c\u00e2nd va fi realizat\u0103 o fotografie cu vicepre\u0219edintele Statelor Unite, JD Vance, al\u0103turi de pre\u0219edintele Parlamentului iranian, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, la Islamabad, \u00een acest weekend, imaginea va intra, f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103, \u00een istorie.<\/p>\n<div class=\"container-image  svelte-jd4qiv\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-d\/dafe8db8-8d21-41a2-bcd1-afb8a90de085\/index.jpeg?p=a%3D1%26co%3D1.05%26w%3D1400%26h%3D750%26r%3Dcontain%26f%3Dwebp 1400w\" media=\"(min-width: 1400px)\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"caption\">Vicepre\u0219edintele SUA, JD Vance \u0219i pre\u0219edintele parlamentului iranina, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Ar fi vorba despre cel mai \u00eenalt nivel de contact direct fa\u021b\u0103 \u00een fa\u021b\u0103 \u00eentre Statele Unite \u0219i Republica Islamic\u0103 Iran de la Revolu\u021bia din 1979, moment care a rupt brutal rela\u021biile strategice dintre cele dou\u0103 \u021b\u0103ri \u0219i a proiectat o umbr\u0103 lung\u0103 asupra raporturilor bilaterale p\u00e2n\u0103 ast\u0103zi, relateaz\u0103 BBC.<\/p>\n<p>Chiar \u0219i \u00een eventualitatea \u00een care cei doi oficiali nu vor z\u00e2mbi sau nu vor da m\u00e2na, simpla lor prezen\u021b\u0103 \u00een aceea\u0219i \u00eenc\u0103pere ar transmite un semnal diplomatic important: ambele p\u0103r\u021bi ar fi dispuse s\u0103 exploreze o ie\u0219ire dintr-un conflict cu reverbera\u021bii globale, evit\u00e2nd o escaladare \u0219i mai periculoas\u0103 \u0219i deschiz\u00e2nd, m\u0103car teoretic, o cale c\u0103tre negociere.<\/p>\n<h2>F\u0103r\u0103 iluzii de \u201eacord rapid\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Cu toate acestea, \u0219ansele unui \u201eacord de pace\u201d rapid, a\u0219a cum a sugerat pre\u0219edintele Donald Trump, sunt considerate practic inexistente. Armisti\u021biul fragil de dou\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni a fost contestat \u0219i \u00eenc\u0103lcat aproape imediat dup\u0103 anun\u021barea sa.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een ultimul moment, partea iranian\u0103 a l\u0103sat incert\u0103 participarea, \u00een timp ce Israelul a transmis mesaje contradictorii privind extinderea conflictului \u00een Liban, unde un armisti\u021biu separat nu este recunoscut.<\/p>\n<h2>Ultimele negocieri reale la nivel \u00eenalt<\/h2>\n<p>Ultimele contacte majore \u00eentre Washington \u0219i Teheran au avut loc \u00een cadrul negocierilor prelungite dintre fostul secretar de stat John Kerry \u0219i ministrul iranian de externe Mohammad Javad Zarif \u2014 un proces diplomatic \u00eentins pe aproape 18 luni, cu progrese lente \u0219i blocaje repetate.<\/p>\n<p>De atunci, tentativele ulterioare, inclusiv \u00een mandatul pre\u0219edintelui Joe Biden, nu au reu\u0219it s\u0103 produc\u0103 rezultate consistente.<\/p>\n<p>Analistul Ali Vaez, de la International Crisis Group, consider\u0103 c\u0103 trimiterea unor oficiali de rang mai \u00eenalt ar putea deschide u\u0219i diplomatice anterior \u00eenchise. Totu\u0219i, avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 de aceast\u0103 dat\u0103 procesul este \u201eexponen\u021bial mai dificil\u201d.<\/p>\n<h2>O pr\u0103pastie de ne\u00eencredere<\/h2>\n<p>Diferen\u021bele dintre cele dou\u0103 p\u0103r\u021bi r\u0103m\u00e2n considerabile, iar ne\u00eencrederea este profund \u00eenr\u0103d\u0103cinat\u0103 \u2014 \u00een special la Teheran, unde memoria ultimelor runde de negocieri, \u00eentrerupte brusc de izbucnirea unor confrunt\u0103ri militare, este \u00eenc\u0103 proasp\u0103t\u0103.<\/p>\n<div class=\"_hydratable\" data-props=\"%7B%22data%22%3A%7B%22caption%22%3A%22%22%2C%22embed%22%3A%22https%3A%2F%2Ftwitframe.reperio.news%3Furl%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2FNEXT_HD24%2Fstatus%2F2042301700686627210%22%2C%22height%22%3A300%2C%22service%22%3A%22x%22%2C%22source%22%3A%22https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2FNEXT_HD24%2Fstatus%2F2042301700686627210%22%2C%22width%22%3A600%7D%2C%22id%22%3A%22j6-OisH0if%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22embed%22%2C%22lines%22%3A10%2C%22linesAbove%22%3A76%2C%22index%22%3A13%2C%22paragraphsAbove%22%3A9%2C%22percentage%22%3A0.4810126582278481%2C%22linesBellow%22%3A82%7D\" data-context=\"%7B%22parentBlockColumnCount%22%3A%7B%22value%22%3A0%2C%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%2C%22parentBlockBackgroundColor%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22store%2Freadable%22%7D%7D\" data-component=\"EditorEmbedViewDefault\">\n<div class=\"container-embed svelte-1bb21e6\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Stiluri de negociere incompatibile<\/h2>\n<p>Diferen\u021bele nu sunt doar politice, ci \u0219i de abordare.<\/p>\n<p>Administra\u021bia Trump mizeaz\u0103 pe trimi\u0219i speciali precum Steve Witkoff, un fost dezvoltator imobiliar, \u0219i Jared Kushner, figura central\u0103 a diploma\u021biei informale din primul mandat, asociat inclusiv cu acordurile Abraham.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack='{\"event\":\"utm_click\",\"data\":{\"event_category\":\"article_related\"}}' href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/sua\/vicepresedintele-vance-se-confrunta-cu-un-test-de-2521956.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-1t8qpgs\"> Vicepre\u0219edintele Vance se confrunt\u0103 cu un test de \u00eenalt\u0103 performan\u021b\u0103 al abilit\u0103\u021bilor de negociere cu Iranul<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Iranul, \u00eens\u0103, respinge aceast\u0103 formul\u0103, consider\u00e2ndu-i prea apropia\u021bi de Israel \u0219i a insistat ca discu\u021biile s\u0103 fie conduse de JD Vance, perceput ca o voce mai institu\u021bional\u0103 \u0219i mai sceptic\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de interven\u021biile militare.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen plus, Teheranul prefer\u0103 canale indirecte de negociere, prin intermediul Omanului, mediator tradi\u021bional \u00een regiune.<\/p>\n<h2>O diploma\u021bie fragmentat\u0103<\/h2>\n<p>\u00cen rundele anterioare, inclusiv la Geneva, au existat discu\u021bii directe limitate, desf\u0103\u0219urate \u00een paralel cu canalele indirecte. Totu\u0219i, suspiciunile interne din Iran au limitat flexibilitatea negociatorilor, care au evitat orice gest ce ar putea fi interpretat drept concesie sau vulnerabilitate.<\/p>\n<p>Surse diplomatice noteaz\u0103 c\u0103 stilul lui Witkoff \u2014 adesea solitar, f\u0103r\u0103 luare de noti\u021be \u2014 a alimentat suspiciunile iraniene \u0219i a contribuit la stagnarea discu\u021biilor. Ulterior, echipa a fost extins\u0103 cu Jared Kushner.<\/p>\n<h2>O schimbare radical\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de trecut<\/h2>\n<p>Compara\u021bia cu negocierile de acum un deceniu este evident\u0103. Atunci, discu\u021biile implicau diploma\u021bi de carier\u0103, exper\u021bi tehnici \u0219i reprezentan\u021bi ai marilor puteri globale, inclusiv din Marea Britanie, Fran\u021ba, China \u0219i Rusia, precum \u0219i sprijinul Agen\u021biei Interna\u021bionale pentru Energie Atomic\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen rundele recente, progresul a fost posibil doar datorit\u0103 implic\u0103rii exper\u021bilor tehnici interna\u021bionali, inclusiv \u00een dosarul nuclear, unde s-au discutat concesii privind nivelul de \u00eembog\u0103\u021bire a uraniului. Totul s-a \u00eentrerupt \u00eens\u0103 odat\u0103 cu reluarea conflictului.<\/p>\n<h2>O regiune recalibrat\u0103 de r\u0103zboi<\/h2>\n<p>Escaladarea militar\u0103 a schimbat fundamental calculele de securitate ale tuturor actorilor implica\u021bi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen interiorul Iranului, vocile dure din structurile de securitate sus\u021bin tot mai vocal ideea dezvolt\u0103rii unei capacit\u0103\u021bi nucleare militare. \u00cen paralel, Teheranul \u00ee\u0219i consolideaz\u0103 pozi\u021bia asupra programului de rachete \u0219i asupra Str\u00e2mtorii Hormuz, elemente esen\u021biale pentru influen\u021ba sa regional\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"related-inline svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack='{\"event\":\"utm_click\",\"data\":{\"event_category\":\"article_related\"}}' href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/blogurile-adevarul\/islamabad-ultima-sansa-negocierile-de-pace-2522033.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><span class=\"inline-title svelte-1t8qpgs\">ISLAMABAD, ULTIMA \u0218ANS\u0102 \u2014 Negocierile de pace SUA-Iran: \u00eentre speran\u021b\u0103 fragil\u0103 \u0219i jocuri de putere<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Statele din Golf, ini\u021bial sceptice fa\u021b\u0103 de acordul nuclear din 2015, cer acum includerea programului de rachete \u00een orice viitoare negociere. Israelul, la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, urm\u0103re\u0219te cu aten\u021bie fiecare evolu\u021bie diplomatic\u0103, insist\u00e2nd asupra riscurilor reprezentate de Iran.<\/p>\n<p>O ecua\u021bie politic\u0103 instabil\u0103 la Teheran<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen Iran, situa\u021bia intern\u0103 este marcat\u0103 de presiuni multiple: economie sl\u0103bit\u0103, proteste reprimate violent \u0219i o conducere fragmentat\u0103 \u00eentre aripa dur\u0103 \u0219i cercurile reformiste.<\/p>\n<p>Succesiunea de putere \u0219i rolul noilor centre de influen\u021b\u0103 adaug\u0103 un plus de incertitudine asupra direc\u021biei negocierilor.<\/p>\n<h2>Un moment de cotitur\u0103<\/h2>\n<p>\u00cen acest context tensionat, \u00eent\u00e2lnirea Vance\u2013Ghalibaf, dac\u0103 va avea loc, ar putea deveni un reper simbolic \u2014 nu pentru ceea ce va rezolva imediat, ci pentru faptul c\u0103 reia un canal diplomatic \u00eenghe\u021bat de decenii.<\/p>\n<p>Dar chiar \u0219i \u00een eventualitatea relu\u0103rii dialogului, distan\u021ba dintre p\u0103r\u021bi r\u0103m\u00e2ne uria\u0219\u0103. Iar istoria recent\u0103 sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103, \u00een rela\u021bia SUA\u2013Iran, progresul nu este niciodat\u0103 liniar \u2014 ci fragmentat, fragil \u0219i permanent expus riscului de a fi inversat.<\/p>\n<p><\/main><\/p>\n<footer class=\"svelte-t0js42\">\n<div class=\"related-wrap related-footer svelte-1t8qpgs\"><span class=\"related-label svelte-1t8qpgs\">Cite\u0219te \u0219i<\/span><a class=\"related svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack='{\"event\":\"utm_click\",\"data\":{\"event_category\":\"article_related\"}}' href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/sua\/jd-vance-a-ajuns-in-pakistan-unde-sunt-programate-2522062.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumb svelte-1t8qpgs\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-2\/2b5f70f6-177d-4799-a4f7-73bebdcc65a3\/index.jpeg\" alt loading=\"lazy\" width=\"80\" height=\"54\"><span class=\"title svelte-1t8qpgs\">JD Vance a ajuns \u00een Pakistan, unde sunt programate negocieri \u00eentre SUA \u0219i Iran. Imagini de la aterizarea vicepre\u0219edintelui SUA<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"meta svelte-t0js42\">\n<div class=\"authors svelte-t0js42\"><a href=\"\/author\/647\" rel=\"author\" class=\"svelte-t0js42\">Viorica Marin<\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tags svelte-12okeyl\"><span class=\"tags-label metaFont svelte-12okeyl\">Cite\u0219te mai multe despre<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"tags-list svelte-12okeyl\"><a href=\"\/tag\/razboi\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre razboi\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-12okeyl\">razboi<\/a><a href=\"\/tag\/iran\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre iran\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-12okeyl\">iran<\/a><a href=\"\/tag\/negocieri\" title=\"Ultimele \u0219tiri despre negocieri\" class=\"tag-pill svelte-12okeyl\">negocieri<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a class=\"moreFromCategory svelte-t0js42\" href=\"\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\" title=\"\u00cen lume\">Mai multe din <strong class=\"svelte-t0js42\">\u00cen lume<\/strong> \u203a<\/a><\/footer>\n<\/article>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-externe\/in-lume\/intalnirea-vance-ghalibaf-moment-istoric-intr-un-2522076.html&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/cdn.adh.reperio.news\/image-d\/dafe8db8-8d21-41a2-bcd1-afb8a90de085\/index.jpeg?p=f%3Djpeg%26w%3D1200%26h%3D630%26r%3Dcover&#8221;] Home \u0218tiri Externe \u00cen lume \u00cent\u00e2lnirea Vance\u2013Ghalibaf, moment istoric \u00eentr-un dialog marcat de ne\u00eencredere profund\u0103 Dac\u0103 \u0219i c\u00e2nd va fi realizat\u0103 o fotografie cu vicepre\u0219edintele Statelor Unite, JD Vance, al\u0103turi de pre\u0219edintele Parlamentului iranian, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, la Islamabad, \u00een acest weekend, imaginea va intra, f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103, \u00een istorie. Vicepre\u0219edintele SUA, JD [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[19,226],"class_list":["post-1877250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-romania","tag-adevarul","tag-crawlmanager"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1877250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1877250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1877250\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1877250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1877250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1877250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}