{"id":1876622,"date":"2026-04-10T13:05:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T10:05:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1876622"},"modified":"2026-04-10T13:05:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T10:05:18","slug":"elections-in-hungary-what-do-the-polls-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1876622","title":{"rendered":"Elections in Hungary: What do the polls say?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/69\/37\/1200x675_cmsv2_d0b8ff54-c5e6-517d-971e-888fb841b636-9716937.jpg&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2885315-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2885315\" data-cid=\"9718094\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885315-label-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/80\/72\/189x106_cmsv2_a889a61a-afa0-555a-bfa3-7b1d54a51fef-9718072.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Paraffin refuelling operations at Duesseldorf Airport in Germany last month\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Economy<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Airport council warns: Hormuz closure poses major fuel shortage risks\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885293-pos2-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2885293\" data-cid=\"9718014\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885293-label-pos2-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/80\/14\/189x106_cmsv2_4dbec1df-9c8b-534e-82d6-dffda02b4ec8-9718014.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Vice President JD Vance speaks to the press before boarding Air Force Two, Friday, April 10, 2026, at Joint Base Andrews, Md., for expected departure to Pakistan, for talks on\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    USA<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    JD Vance warns Iran not to &#8220;play&#8221; US during planned negociations\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885206-pos3-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2885206\" data-cid=\"9717485\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885206-label-pos3-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/74\/85\/189x106_cmsv2_0f2ed97a-628a-5e88-81ef-39d729f52fa8-9717485.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Lithuanian Prime Minister Inga Ruginien\u0117 and Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev in Baku\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    World News<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Lithuania and Azerbaijan expand ties during PM Ruginien\u0117\u2019s visit\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885288-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2885288\" data-cid=\"9717997\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885288-label-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/79\/97\/189x106_cmsv2_25ebf85b-9c80-5e94-b860-dfb6ef0f905b-9717997.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People gathering around a giant version of Risk on display\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    No Comment<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Italy: From Go to Monopoly, board games bridge generations\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885315-pos1-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2885315\" data-cid=\"9718094\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885315-label-pos1-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/80\/72\/189x106_cmsv2_a889a61a-afa0-555a-bfa3-7b1d54a51fef-9718072.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Paraffin refuelling operations at Duesseldorf Airport in Germany last month\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Economy<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Airport council warns: Hormuz closure poses major fuel shortage risks\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885293-pos2-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2885293\" data-cid=\"9718014\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885293-label-pos2-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/80\/14\/189x106_cmsv2_4dbec1df-9c8b-534e-82d6-dffda02b4ec8-9718014.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Vice President JD Vance speaks to the press before boarding Air Force Two, Friday, April 10, 2026, at Joint Base Andrews, Md., for expected departure to Pakistan, for talks on\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    USA<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    JD Vance warns Iran not to &#8220;play&#8221; US during planned negociations\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885206-pos3-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2885206\" data-cid=\"9717485\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885206-label-pos3-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/74\/85\/189x106_cmsv2_0f2ed97a-628a-5e88-81ef-39d729f52fa8-9717485.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Lithuanian Prime Minister Inga Ruginien\u0117 and Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev in Baku\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    World News<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Lithuania and Azerbaijan expand ties during PM Ruginien\u0117\u2019s visit\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885288-pos4-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2885288\" data-cid=\"9717997\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885288-label-pos4-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/79\/97\/189x106_cmsv2_25ebf85b-9c80-5e94-b860-dfb6ef0f905b-9717997.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People gathering around a giant version of Risk on display\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    No Comment<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Italy: From Go to Monopoly, board games bridge generations\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"helper-site-row o-article-newsy\">\n<div class=\"helper-site-container o-article-newsy__container\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__main\">\n<header class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__header\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumbs\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs\">\n<div id=\"adb-article-breadcrumb\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs__list\">\n<p>                          News<\/p>\n<p>                          World<\/p>\n<p>                          Hungary<\/p><\/div>\n<\/nav>\n<h1 class=\"c-article-redesign-title\">\n                            Elections in Hungary: What do the polls say?<\/h1>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-video u-position-relative \">\n<div class=\"js-superdiv u-aspect-ratio-16x9 u-position-relative \" data-sponsored=\"Partner content\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"js-poster-img c-article-media__img\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/69\/37\/1536x864_cmsv2_d0b8ff54-c5e6-517d-971e-888fb841b636-9716937.jpg\" width=\"1536\" height=\"864\" loading=\"eager\" alt=\"A woman rides a bicycle by a poster showing Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and the slogan &quot;Let's stand together against the war!&quot; in Albertirsa, Hungary, 9 April 2026\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-caption u-position-absolute\"><i id=\"article-caption-content\" class=\"c-article-caption__content\"><span class=\"c-article-caption__text\"><br \/>\n              A woman rides a bicycle by a poster showing Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and the slogan &#8220;Let&#8217;s stand together against the war!&#8221; in Albertirsa, Hungary, 9 April 2026<br \/>\n                    <span class=\"u-color-white\">&#8211;\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__copyright\">Copyright\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__credit\">Eldar Emric\/AP Photo<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-copyright c-article-image-copyright--novideo\">\n      Copyright\u00a0Eldar Emric\/AP Photo\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__body u-article-content\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__contributors-publication-date\">\n<div class=\"c-article-contributors\">\n  By&amp;nbsp<b>Horv\u00e1th Ferenc<\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-publication-date\" data-timestamp=\"1775826318\">\n         Published on<br \/>\n            <time datetime=\"2026-04-10 15:05:18 +02:00\">10\/04\/2026 &#8211; 15:05 GMT+2<\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-partage-commentaire-share\"><span>Share<\/span><\/span><span>Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup-overlay js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup-overlay u-display-none\">\n<div id=\"js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup\" class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup\">\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup__header u-display-flex\"><span>Share<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/icon-close.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"Close Button\" class=\"u-cursor-pointer js-c-article-partage-commentaire-close\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup__content u-display-flex\">\n<div id=\"partage-commentaire-popup-content-container\" class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup__content__container u-display-flex\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-facebook.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"facebook\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Facebook<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-facebook.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"facebook\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-twitter.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"twitter\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Twitter<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-twitter.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"twitter\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-flipboard.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"flipboard\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Flipboard<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-flipboard.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"flipboard\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-send.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"send\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Send<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-send.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"send\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-reddit.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"reddit\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Reddit<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-reddit.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"reddit\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-linkedin.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"linkedin\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Linkedin<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-linkedin.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"linkedin\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-messenger.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"messenger\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Messenger<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-messenger.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"messenger\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-telegram.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"telegram\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Telegram<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-telegram.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"telegram\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-vk.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"vk\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>VK<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-vk.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"vk\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-bluesky.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"bluesky\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Bluesky<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-bluesky.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"bluesky\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"threads\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Threads<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"threads\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"whatsapp\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Whatsapp<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"whatsapp\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"c-article-summary\">\n        Medi\u00e1n, currently considered among the most accurate pollsters in Hungary, predicts a two-thirds majority in parliament for opposition party Tisza. Most other pollsters estimate a smaller lead for them, while few have the ruling Fidesz party narrowly ahead.<br \/>\n    <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-content js-article-content\">\n<p>Hungary&#8217;s parliamentary election, taking place this coming Sunday, is shaping up to be the biggest challenge to Prime Minister Viktor Orb\u00e1n during his 16 years in charge of government.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Polling agencies continue to show significantly different outcomes, with overall trends over time favouring the opposition Tisza Party.<\/p>\n<p>A survey by Medi\u00e1n has support for Tisza, led by former Fidesz Party member and MEP P\u00e9ter Magyar, at 58%. The same poll showed support for Fidesz to be at 33%, a much wider gap between the two compared to earlier polls by the same agency. <\/p>\n<p>Other pollsters including Publicus Institute, Z\u00e1vecz Research, 21 Research Centre, Republikon Institute, IDEA Institute and Ir\u00e1nyt\u0171 Institute, all show Tisza ahead of Fidesz at lower but still significant rates.<\/p>\n<p>Magyar T\u00e1rsadalomkutat\u00f3, Alapjogok\u00e9rt Centre, XXI. Sz\u00e1zad Institute and N\u00e9z\u0151pont are the only pollsters to predict that Fidesz will end up on the winning side.<\/p>\n<p>A number of Hungary&#8217;s polling agencies found that a series of government scandals coming to light in the run-up to the election have worked against Orb\u00e1n&#8217;s governing Fidesz party.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, understanding the voting intentions of people who avoid taking part in surveys has remained a challenge.<\/p>\n<p>Four pollsters &#8211; Medi\u00e1n, Ir\u00e1nyt\u0171 Int\u00e9zet, 21 Research Centre and IDEA Int\u00e9zet &#8211; published their most recent figures in the final week before the election. All of them show that Tisza has widened its lead over Fidesz.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00e9z\u0151pont Institute published its most recent figures last week, predicting a narrow Fidesz majority.<\/p>\n<h2>Medi\u00e1n predicts a nearly two-thirds majority for Tisza<\/h2>\n<p>Polling agency Medi\u00e1n is considered one of the most accurate on Hungarian elections. <\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the most recent parliamentary elections four years ago, it surprisingly predicted a two-thirds majority for Fidesz just days before the election. It turned out to have only slightly overestimated support for the opposition by a few seats, as Fidesz scored an easy victory.<\/p>\n<p>Medi\u00e1n has now produced a seat projection based on its five most recent surveys, predicting that Tisza can expect to secure between 138 and 143 out of 199 seats in parliament. <\/p>\n<p>This would completely upend Hungary&#8217;s existing political direction and provide Tisza with the two-thirds majority needed to amend the country&#8217;s constitution, overturn laws and introduce new ones. <\/p>\n<p>According to Medi\u00e1n, Fidesz is headed for a resounding defeat and, due to the nature of Hungary&#8217;s electoral system heavily favouring the winning side, would only take between 49-55 seats and barely register any victories in individual constituencies.<\/p>\n<p>The same polls show the far-right Mi Haz\u00e1nk party securing five or six seats in parliament. The socialist Democratic Coalition (DK) and satirical Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) are set to win no seats in parliament.<\/p>\n<div class=\"widget widget--type-image widget--size-fullwidth widget--animation-fade-in widget--align-center\" data-ratio=\"0.5625\">\n<div class=\"widget__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"widget__ratio widget__ratio--auto\">\n<div class=\"widget__contents\">\n<figure class=\"widget__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"widgetImage__image\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/60\/80\/808x454_cmsv2_376740f1-e3a7-5c95-8f22-9b0bb6a0c57b-9716080.jpg\" alt=\"Medi\u00e1n\u2019s seat projection\"><figcaption class=\"widget__caption\"><span class=\"widget__captionWrap\"><span class=\"widget__captionText\">Medi\u00e1n\u2019s seat projection<\/span><span class=\"widget__captionCredit\">median.hu<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Medi\u00e1n&#8217;s methodology consisted of five telephone surveys in the last week of February and March, using three different call centres and a total sample of 5,000 people.<\/p>\n<p>If proven accurate, the result would mean Fidesz lost a quarter of its base from the 2022 elections, and point to a significant drop from its result in the 2024 European Parliament elections.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of demographics, age is the biggest determining factor for voting intentions, with education in second place, while where voters live appears to be becoming less influential. <\/p>\n<p>Urban areas would normally be expected to see higher support for Tisza, with rural areas more likely to lean towards Fidesz. However, surveys conducted in March predict Tisza to be ahead in rural areas, with 41% compared to Fidesz&#8217; 35%.<\/p>\n<p>The Tisza Party remains most popular among young people and is on an upward trajectory, according to Medi\u00e1n. Three-quarters of those under 30 intend to vote for Tisza, and 63% of those aged between 30 and 40. Fidesz\u2019s support in these two age groups sits at just 10% and 17% respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz holds the advantage with those 64 or older &#8211; almost half support the governing party, while 29% prefer Tisza. <\/p>\n<p>Those who are more highly educated are more likely to vote for Tisza, according to the poll. Meanwhile 49% of people who have completed eight years of primary school or less support Fidesz, compared to 29% for Tisza. Fidesz holds a slight lead among those with vocational training.<\/p>\n<p>Further analysis conducted in late March by Hungarian civic movement group aHang and the 21 Research Center shows that voters are generally keen to see a change of government.<\/p>\n<p>A poll conducted by both organisations, based on eight questions, showed voters&#8217; desire to see a change of government grew over time, with the proportion now estimated to be at 51%. <\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, 30% of respondents said they would like the ruling party to stay in office.<\/p>\n<p>Their analysis showed that the overall assessment of the current Orb\u00e1n government\u2019s performance is negative. Some 38% of Hungarians are not at all satisfied, and another 13% are quite dissatisfied. <\/p>\n<p>11% are quite satisfied and 15% are fully satisfied, a combined 26%. A further 9% placed themselves in the middle and 14% did not want to answer.<\/p>\n<p>The most recent figures from the N\u00e9z\u0151pont Institute, which has in the past few months consistently shown the Fidesz Party holding a small lead, predict a 6% margin between them and Tisza, with 46% and 40% respectively.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00e9z\u0151pont conducted a survey early this month that asked respondents whether they believe price cuts on utility bills will remain in place if Fidesz wins. 60% said they would, while 56% felt a Tisza-led government would abolish them.<\/p>\n<p>It also found that a quarter of Tisza voters believe the party they intend to vote for plans to raise utility bills if in government.<\/p>\n<h2>Orb\u00e1n projects confidence but remains cautious<\/h2>\n<p>Addressing the polling numbers, Orb\u00e1n pointed to surveys predicting a Fidesz victory, insisting that &#8220;as far as we know, we are on course to win&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>During an interview on Wednesday, he said, &#8220;We do not need to run a campaign to overturn the balance of power, but rather a campaign to defend our lead.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He added that it is hard to assess the veracity of polling numbers at this stage, as emotions are running high with election day so close.<\/p>\n<p>Minister of the Prime Minister&#8217;s office Gergely Guly\u00e1s, meanwhile, admitted this week that &#8220;winning a two-thirds majority belongs in the realm of miracles&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Asked how many seats he currently considered attainable, he replied that anything above 100 seats would be a gift. Still, he insisted that the governing party has the better chance of finishing in first place come Sunday.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>                          Go to accessibility shortcuts<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-partage-commentaire-share\"><span>Share<\/span><\/span><span>Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-you-might-also-like\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-article-you-might-also-like\">\n<h2 class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__title\">\n        Read more<br \/>\n      <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__item\">\n<h3>\n<p>                  MEPs warn of \u2018serious&#8217; risks to Hungary election, urge Commission to act<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__item\">\n<h3>\n<p>                  Elections in Hungary: What do the polls say?<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__item\">\n<h3>\n<p>                  Hungarian polls split on April election outcome as Fidesz and Tisza trade leads<\/p>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto\">\n<ul id=\"adb-article-tags\" class=\"c-tags-list\">\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Peter Magyar<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    TISZA party<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Hungary parliamentary elections 2026<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Fidesz<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Viktor Orb\u00e1n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"o-article-newsy__aside\">\n<div class=\"c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-1\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-top-stories\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-top-stories\">\n<h2 class=\"c-top-stories__title\">Top stories<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2885293-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885293\" data-cid=\"9718014\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885293-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/80\/14\/320x180_cmsv2_4dbec1df-9c8b-534e-82d6-dffda02b4ec8-9718014.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Vice President JD Vance speaks to the press before boarding Air Force Two, Friday, April 10, 2026, at Joint Base Andrews, Md., for expected departure to Pakistan, for talks on\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    JD Vance warns Iran not to &#8220;play&#8221; US during planned negociations<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884829-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884829\" data-cid=\"9715437\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884829-label-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/70\/35\/20\/320x180_cmsv2_48e32de6-387d-5a20-b7f6-477c94a545ca-9703520.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People walk next to a campaign poster which reads, &quot;They're a risk. Fidesz is the safe choice&quot; in Budapest, Hungary, on Saturday, March 14, 2026, ahead of the April 12 parliam\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Orb\u00e1n or Magyar: EU braces for veto politics or a cautious reset<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2885276-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885276\" data-cid=\"9717816\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885276-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/78\/16\/320x180_cmsv2_61fc6b03-5e7a-5b41-9510-cf0f80901940-9717816.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"P\u00e9ter Magyar speaks during the party's campaign opener. Budapest, Hungary on Sunday, Feb. 15, 2026..\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Russian propaganda unit targets Hungary\u2019s elections<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2885112-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885112\" data-cid=\"9716862\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885112-label-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/68\/62\/320x180_cmsv2_1fc5a8ac-55fd-5e8b-b887-d7e4b94d0b64-9716862.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"military chaplain holds a Palm Sunday service in an church damaged by the Russian troops in the frontline town of Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine,April 5, 2026. \" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Putin announces Easter ceasefire, proposed by Kyiv for weeks<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2885126-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885126\" data-cid=\"9716951\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885126-label-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/69\/51\/320x180_cmsv2_beb427d4-4090-596c-bcb6-f26793829c63-9716951.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE: Ukrainian officer examines a downed Shahed drone with thermobaric charge launched by Russia in a research laboratory in an undisclosed location in Ukraine Nov. 14, 2024\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Ukrainians shot down Iranian drones in the Gulf, Zelenskyy says<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-2\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-most-viewed\">\n<h2 class=\"c-most-viewed__title qa-section-title\">Most read<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__list\">\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">1<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2885022-pos1-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885022\" data-cid=\"9716515\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Trump issues NATO ultimatum to reopen Strait of Hormuz &#8216;within days&#8217;<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">2<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884367-pos2-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884367\" data-cid=\"9713104\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>     Petrol and diesel in Europe: Where are prices highest and lowest?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">3<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884952-pos3-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884952\" data-cid=\"9716937\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Elections in Hungary: What do the polls say?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">4<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2879646-pos4-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2879646\" data-cid=\"9690878\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Rome Colosseum renovation reveals structures hidden for centuries<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">5<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2885103-pos5-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885103\" data-cid=\"9716837\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    &#8216;NATO not obliged to reopen the Strait,&#8217; Turkey&#8217;s trade minister says<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-3\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885293-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885293\" data-cid=\"9718014\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885293-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/80\/14\/320x180_cmsv2_4dbec1df-9c8b-534e-82d6-dffda02b4ec8-9718014.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Vice President JD Vance speaks to the press before boarding Air Force Two, Friday, April 10, 2026, at Joint Base Andrews, Md., for expected departure to Pakistan, for talks on\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    JD Vance warns Iran not to &#8220;play&#8221; US during planned negociations<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884829-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884829\" data-cid=\"9715437\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884829-label-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/70\/35\/20\/320x180_cmsv2_48e32de6-387d-5a20-b7f6-477c94a545ca-9703520.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People walk next to a campaign poster which reads, &quot;They're a risk. Fidesz is the safe choice&quot; in Budapest, Hungary, on Saturday, March 14, 2026, ahead of the April 12 parliam\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Orb\u00e1n or Magyar: EU braces for veto politics or a cautious reset<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885276-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885276\" data-cid=\"9717816\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885276-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/78\/16\/320x180_cmsv2_61fc6b03-5e7a-5b41-9510-cf0f80901940-9717816.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"P\u00e9ter Magyar speaks during the party's campaign opener. Budapest, Hungary on Sunday, Feb. 15, 2026..\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Russian propaganda unit targets Hungary\u2019s elections<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885112-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885112\" data-cid=\"9716862\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885112-label-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/68\/62\/320x180_cmsv2_1fc5a8ac-55fd-5e8b-b887-d7e4b94d0b64-9716862.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"military chaplain holds a Palm Sunday service in an church damaged by the Russian troops in the frontline town of Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine,April 5, 2026. \" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Putin announces Easter ceasefire, proposed by Kyiv for weeks<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885126-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885126\" data-cid=\"9716951\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885126-label-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/69\/51\/320x180_cmsv2_beb427d4-4090-596c-bcb6-f26793829c63-9716951.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE: Ukrainian officer examines a downed Shahed drone with thermobaric charge launched by Russia in a research laboratory in an undisclosed location in Ukraine Nov. 14, 2024\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Ukrainians shot down Iranian drones in the Gulf, Zelenskyy says<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885022-pos1-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885022\" data-cid=\"9716515\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Trump issues NATO ultimatum to reopen Strait of Hormuz &#8216;within days&#8217;<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884367-pos2-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884367\" data-cid=\"9713104\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>     Petrol and diesel in Europe: Where are prices highest and lowest?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884952-pos3-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884952\" data-cid=\"9716937\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Elections in Hungary: What do the polls say?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2879646-pos4-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2879646\" data-cid=\"9690878\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Rome Colosseum renovation reveals structures hidden for centuries<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885103-pos5-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2885103\" data-cid=\"9716837\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    &#8216;NATO not obliged to reopen the Strait,&#8217; Turkey&#8217;s trade minister says<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"articleBody\" data-key=\"articleBody\">Hungary&#8217;s parliamentary election, taking place this coming Sunday, is shaping up to be the biggest challenge to Prime Minister Viktor Orb\u00e1n during his 16 years in charge of government.Polling agencies continue to show significantly different outcomes, with overall trends over time favouring the opposition Tisza Party.A survey by Medi\u00e1n has support for Tisza, led by former Fidesz Party member and MEP P\u00e9ter Magyar, at 58%. The same poll showed support for Fidesz to be at 33%, a much wider gap between the two compared to earlier polls by the same agency.Other pollsters including Publicus Institute, Z\u00e1vecz Research, 21 Research Centre, Republikon Institute, IDEA Institute and Ir\u00e1nyt\u0171 Institute, all show Tisza ahead of Fidesz at lower but still significant rates.Magyar T\u00e1rsadalomkutat\u00f3, Alapjogok\u00e9rt Centre, XXI. Sz\u00e1zad Institute and N\u00e9z\u0151pont are the only pollsters to predict that Fidesz will end up on the winning side.A number of Hungary&#8217;s polling agencies found that a series of government scandals coming to light in the run-up to the election have worked against Orb\u00e1n&#8217;s governing Fidesz party.Nevertheless, understanding the voting intentions of people who avoid taking part in surveys has remained a challenge.Four pollsters &#8211; Medi\u00e1n, Ir\u00e1nyt\u0171 Int\u00e9zet, 21 Research Centre and IDEA Int\u00e9zet &#8211; published their most recent figures in the final week before the election. All of them show that Tisza has widened its lead over Fidesz.N\u00e9z\u0151pont Institute published its most recent figures last week, predicting a narrow Fidesz majority.Medi\u00e1n predicts a nearly two-thirds majority for TiszaPolling agency Medi\u00e1n is considered one of the most accurate on Hungarian elections.Ahead of the most recent parliamentary elections four years ago, it surprisingly predicted a two-thirds majority for Fidesz just days before the election. It turned out to have only slightly overestimated support for the opposition by a few seats, as Fidesz scored an easy victory.Medi\u00e1n has now produced a seat projection based on its five most recent surveys, predicting that Tisza can expect to secure between 138 and 143 out of 199 seats in parliament.This would completely upend Hungary&#8217;s existing political direction and provide Tisza with the two-thirds majority needed to amend the country&#8217;s constitution, overturn laws and introduce new ones.According to Medi\u00e1n, Fidesz is headed for a resounding defeat and, due to the nature of Hungary&#8217;s electoral system heavily favouring the winning side, would only take between 49-55 seats and barely register any victories in individual constituencies.The same polls show the far-right Mi Haz\u00e1nk party securing five or six seats in parliament. The socialist Democratic Coalition (DK) and satirical Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) are set to win no seats in parliament.Medi\u00e1n&#8217;s methodology consisted of five telephone surveys in the last week of February and March, using three different call centres and a total sample of 5,000 people.If proven accurate, the result would mean Fidesz lost a quarter of its base from the 2022 elections, and point to a significant drop from its result in the 2024 European Parliament elections.In terms of demographics, age is the biggest determining factor for voting intentions, with education in second place, while where voters live appears to be becoming less influential.Urban areas would normally be expected to see higher support for Tisza, with rural areas more likely to lean towards Fidesz. However, surveys conducted in March predict Tisza to be ahead in rural areas, with 41% compared to Fidesz&#8217; 35%.The Tisza Party remains most popular among young people and is on an upward trajectory, according to Medi\u00e1n. Three-quarters of those under 30 intend to vote for Tisza, and 63% of those aged between 30 and 40. Fidesz\u2019s support in these two age groups sits at just 10% and 17% respectively.Fidesz holds the advantage with those 64 or older &#8211; almost half support the governing party, while 29% prefer Tisza.Those who are more highly educated are more likely to vote for Tisza, according to the poll. Meanwhile 49% of people who have completed eight years of primary school or less support Fidesz, compared to 29% for Tisza. Fidesz holds a slight lead among those with vocational training.Further analysis conducted in late March by Hungarian civic movement group aHang and the 21 Research Center shows that voters are generally keen to see a change of government.A poll conducted by both organisations, based on eight questions, showed voters&#8217; desire to see a change of government grew over time, with the proportion now estimated to be at 51%.On the other hand, 30% of respondents said they would like the ruling party to stay in office.Their analysis showed that the overall assessment of the current Orb\u00e1n government\u2019s performance is negative. Some 38% of Hungarians are not at all satisfied, and another 13% are quite dissatisfied.11% are quite satisfied and 15% are fully satisfied, a combined 26%. A further 9% placed themselves in the middle and 14% did not want to answer.The most recent figures from the N\u00e9z\u0151pont Institute, which has in the past few months consistently shown the Fidesz Party holding a small lead, predict a 6% margin between them and Tisza, with 46% and 40% respectively.N\u00e9z\u0151pont conducted a survey early this month that asked respondents whether they believe price cuts on utility bills will remain in place if Fidesz wins. 60% said they would, while 56% felt a Tisza-led government would abolish them.It also found that a quarter of Tisza voters believe the party they intend to vote for plans to raise utility bills if in government.Orb\u00e1n projects confidence but remains cautiousAddressing the polling numbers, Orb\u00e1n pointed to surveys predicting a Fidesz victory, insisting that &#8220;as far as we know, we are on course to win&#8221;.During an interview on Wednesday, he said, &#8220;We do not need to run a campaign to overturn the balance of power, but rather a campaign to defend our lead.&#8221;He added that it is hard to assess the veracity of polling numbers at this stage, as emotions are running high with election day so close.Minister of the Prime Minister&#8217;s office Gergely Guly\u00e1s, meanwhile, admitted this week that &#8220;winning a two-thirds majority belongs in the realm of miracles&#8221;.Asked how many seats he currently considered attainable, he replied that anything above 100 seats would be a gift. Still, he insisted that the governing party has the better chance of finishing in first place come Sunday.<\/div>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2026\/04\/10\/elections-in-hungary-what-do-the-polls-say&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/69\/37\/1200x675_cmsv2_d0b8ff54-c5e6-517d-971e-888fb841b636-9716937.jpg&#8221;] Economy Airport council warns: Hormuz closure poses major fuel shortage risks USA JD Vance warns Iran not to &#8220;play&#8221; US during planned negociations World News Lithuania and Azerbaijan expand ties during PM Ruginien\u0117\u2019s visit No Comment Italy: From Go to Monopoly, board games bridge generations Economy Airport council warns: Hormuz closure poses [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[90],"tags":[226,36],"class_list":["post-1876622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-international","tag-crawlmanager","tag-euronews-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1876622","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1876622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1876622\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1876622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1876622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1876622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}