{"id":1874396,"date":"2026-04-09T12:53:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T09:53:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1874396"},"modified":"2026-04-09T12:53:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T09:53:59","slug":"newly-made-polymarket-accounts-won-massively-on-us-iran-ceasefire-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1874396","title":{"rendered":"Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively on US-Iran ceasefire bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/23\/1200x675_cmsv2_6b74d474-6b82-59df-bde8-a50826f5fd92-9715923.jpg&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884972-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884972\" data-cid=\"9716266\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884972-label-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/62\/66\/189x106_cmsv2_af533320-8310-5723-b5db-4dafcbef81b5-9716266.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"German Chancellor Friedrich Merz speaks to media at the chancellery in Berlin, 9 April, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Germany<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Germany resumes talks with Iran, Chancellor Friedrich Merz says\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885002-pos2-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2885002\" data-cid=\"9716433\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885002-label-pos2-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/64\/33\/189x106_cmsv2_c6f574ce-cceb-5319-bc2f-47a7a149bcac-9716433.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Men inspect the damage to their home destroyed in an Israeli airstrike a day earlier in Beirut, 9 April, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Lebanon<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Israel&#8217;s cabinet told &#8216;to begin direct negotiations&#8217; with Lebanon\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884987-pos3-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884987\" data-cid=\"9716336\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884987-label-pos3-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/63\/36\/189x106_cmsv2_f036b22c-8ea9-5550-a26b-99c11ac8423b-9716336.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"US President Donald Trump speaks with reporters in the James Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House, 6 April, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    USA<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Trump again berates NATO, calls it &#8216;disappointing&#8217;\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884835-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884835\" data-cid=\"9715487\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884835-label-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/54\/87\/189x106_cmsv2_85d086c2-1d8f-5f9f-9e76-85745bc20423-9715487.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A healthy plant-based diet might be linked to a lower risk of developing Alzheimer's and other dementias.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Health news<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Plant-food rich diet may cut dementia risk, study finds\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884972-pos1-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884972\" data-cid=\"9716266\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884972-label-pos1-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/62\/66\/189x106_cmsv2_af533320-8310-5723-b5db-4dafcbef81b5-9716266.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"German Chancellor Friedrich Merz speaks to media at the chancellery in Berlin, 9 April, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Germany<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Germany resumes talks with Iran, Chancellor Friedrich Merz says\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2885002-pos2-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2885002\" data-cid=\"9716433\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2885002-label-pos2-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/64\/33\/189x106_cmsv2_c6f574ce-cceb-5319-bc2f-47a7a149bcac-9716433.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Men inspect the damage to their home destroyed in an Israeli airstrike a day earlier in Beirut, 9 April, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Lebanon<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Israel&#8217;s cabinet told &#8216;to begin direct negotiations&#8217; with Lebanon\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884987-pos3-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884987\" data-cid=\"9716336\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884987-label-pos3-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/63\/36\/189x106_cmsv2_f036b22c-8ea9-5550-a26b-99c11ac8423b-9716336.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"US President Donald Trump speaks with reporters in the James Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House, 6 April, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    USA<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Trump again berates NATO, calls it &#8216;disappointing&#8217;\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884835-pos4-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884835\" data-cid=\"9715487\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884835-label-pos4-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/54\/87\/189x106_cmsv2_85d086c2-1d8f-5f9f-9e76-85745bc20423-9715487.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A healthy plant-based diet might be linked to a lower risk of developing Alzheimer's and other dementias.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Health news<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Plant-food rich diet may cut dementia risk, study finds\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"helper-site-row o-article-newsy\">\n<div class=\"helper-site-container o-article-newsy__container\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__main\">\n<header class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__header\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumbs\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs\">\n<div id=\"adb-article-breadcrumb\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs__list\">\n<p>                          Business<\/p>\n<p>                          Markets<\/p><\/div>\n<\/nav>\n<h1 class=\"c-article-redesign-title\">\n                            Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively on US-Iran ceasefire bets<\/h1>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-video u-position-relative \">\n<div class=\"js-superdiv u-aspect-ratio-16x9 u-position-relative \" data-sponsored=\"Partner content\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"js-poster-img c-article-media__img\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/23\/1536x864_cmsv2_6b74d474-6b82-59df-bde8-a50826f5fd92-9715923.jpg\" width=\"1536\" height=\"864\" loading=\"eager\" alt=\"FILE. Advertisement by Polymarket in New York City, Nov. 4 2025\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-caption u-position-absolute\"><i id=\"article-caption-content\" class=\"c-article-caption__content\"><span class=\"c-article-caption__text\"><br \/>\n              FILE. Advertisement by Polymarket in New York City, Nov. 4 2025<br \/>\n                    <span class=\"u-color-white\">&#8211;\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__copyright\">Copyright\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__credit\">AP Photo\/Olga Fedorova<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-copyright c-article-image-copyright--novideo\">\n      Copyright\u00a0AP Photo\/Olga Fedorova\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__body u-article-content\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__contributors-publication-date\">\n<div class=\"c-article-contributors\">\n  By&amp;nbspQuirino Mealha&amp;nbspwith&amp;nbsp<b>AP<\/b><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-publication-date\" data-timestamp=\"1775739239\">\n                    Published on                 <time datetime=\"2026-04-09 14:53:59 +02:00\">09\/04\/2026 &#8211; 14:53 GMT+2<\/time><span class=\"c-article-publication-date__bullet\">\u2022<\/span>Updated<br \/>\n                                     <time datetime=\"19:57\">19:57<\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-partage-commentaire-share\"><span>Share<\/span><\/span><span>Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup-overlay js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup-overlay u-display-none\">\n<div id=\"js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup\" class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup\">\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup__header u-display-flex\"><span>Share<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/icon-close.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"Close Button\" class=\"u-cursor-pointer js-c-article-partage-commentaire-close\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<div 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height=\"24\" alt=\"bluesky\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Bluesky<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-bluesky.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"bluesky\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"threads\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Threads<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"threads\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"whatsapp\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Whatsapp<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"whatsapp\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"c-article-summary\">\n        Newly-made Polymarket accounts bet big on the US-Iran ceasefire mere hours before Trump&#8217;s announcement profiting hundreds of thousands of dollars and raising suspicions of insider trading.<br \/>\n    <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-content c-article-content--business js-article-content\">\n<p>A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific and well-timed bets on whether the US and Iran would reach a ceasefire on 7 April, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new users.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The bets were made hours before a two-week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, even though US President Donald Trump\u2019s rhetoric had escalated sharply and there were few signals that a ceasefire deal was imminent. <\/p>\n<p>Earlier in the day, Trump had issued a warning on social media that \u201ca whole civilization will die tonight\u201d if Iran did not meet his demand to open the Strait of Hormuz by his 8 pm Eastern Time (2 am CET) deadline.<\/p>\n<p>This is the latest in a series of episodes evolving prediction markets that have raised suspicions over potential insider trading from members of the Trump administration or other US government employees.<\/p>\n<p>An analysis of publicly available blockchain data from Polymarket, using the crypto analytics platform Dune, shows that at least 50 accounts placed substantial \u201cYes\u201d bets right before Trump announced the ceasefire in a Truth Social post at around 06:30 pm Eastern Time (00:30 am CET).<\/p>\n<div class=\"widget widget--type-tweet widget--size-fullwidth widget--align-center\">\n<div class=\"widget__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"widget__ratio widget__ratio\u2014auto\">\n<div class=\"widget__contents\">\n<figure class=\"widget__figure\"><figcaption class=\"widget__caption\"><span class=\"widget__captionWrap\"><span class=\"widget__captionText\">Trump&#8217;s ceasefire announcement<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The wagers were the first bets ever made by these new wallets.<\/p>\n<p>One of the accounts, created on the same day, placed roughly $72,000 (\u20ac61,600) in bets at an average price of $0.088. The buy-in for each betting event ranges from $0 to $1 each, reflecting a 0% to 100% chance of what users think could happen. <\/p>\n<p>This Polymarket user then cashed out for a profit of $200,000 (\u20ac171,200). Another wallet, which joined the platform the day before, won over $125,500 (\u20ac107,400).<\/p>\n<p>A third wallet, created just twelve minutes before Trump\u2019s post, placed $31,908 (\u20ac27,315) of \u201cYes\u201d bets at around $0.33 and is estimated to have earned a profit of $48,500 (\u20ac41,520). <\/p>\n<p>The higher price for \u201cYes\u201d at that time reflected the pricing in of reports about the efforts late on Tuesday by the government of Pakistan to get Trump to extend his deadline by two weeks.<\/p>\n<p>It is also possible that these Polymarket users placed their bets expecting Trump to back down, given he has frequently made bold threats only to retreat, a phenomenon his critics have derided as \u201cTrump Always Chickens Out\u201d or TACO.<\/p>\n<h2>Bet settling and user identification<\/h2>\n<p>While some users reaped handsome profits, others must wait for payouts as Polymarket has labeled the 7 April Iran-US ceasefire contract as \u201cdisputed,\u201d given that Iran was still placing restrictions on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and missile attacks in the region continued<\/p>\n<p>Public blockchain data cannot identify who controls the new wallets. Polymarket uses proxy smart contract wallets, meaning a single user can create multiple accounts. <\/p>\n<p>Only the company has the internal data needed to determine whether these were new users or existing users opening additional accounts.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket has not made any public statement on the issue.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-widget-related\" data-stories-id data-event=\"widget_related\">\n<div class=\"c-widget-related__title\"><b class=\"c-widget-related__title__text\" lang=\"en\">Related<\/b><\/div>\n<ul class=\"c-widget-related__list\">\n<li class=\"c-widget-related__item\">Oil pushes past $97 again as markets eye ceasefire doubts<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-widget-related__item\">The business of predicting the future is booming but EU regulators remain uneasy<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>Republican Congressman Blake Moore from the state of Utah, who has introduced legislation to regulate prediction markets, stated on Wednesday that \u201cit is highly unlikely that these are good-faith trades, it is much more likely that these are insiders with access to information ahead of the public&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Without some kind of restrictions, there is nothing stopping government or military officials from profiting from their positions,\u201d Moore added.<\/p>\n<p>Such bets have repeatedly raised questions from the public as well as from members of Congress about whether some traders are using inside information to profit in these prediction markets. <\/p>\n<p>Bipartisan groups of senators as well as representatives have introduced legislation that would broaden the definition of insider trading to include prediction markets.<\/p>\n<p>Even the two biggest platforms in the industry, Kalshi and Polymarket, have previously admitted they see a need to broaden the definition of insider trading on their platforms.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>                          Go to accessibility shortcuts<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-partage-commentaire-share\"><span>Share<\/span><\/span><span>Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-you-might-also-like\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-article-you-might-also-like\">\n<h2 class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__title\">\n        Read more<br \/>\n      <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__container\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884726-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2884726\" data-cid=\"9715052\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884726-label-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/50\/52\/480x270_cmsv2_ff481c18-a591-52bb-9946-f368ed793fa0-9715052.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Oil tankers and cargo ships line up in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Khor Fakkan, 11 March, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Iran<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Closing Strait of Hormuz &#8216;completely unacceptable,&#8217; White House says<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884616-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884616\" data-cid=\"9714382\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884616-label-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/69\/16\/84\/480x270_cmsv2_112abe6e-7eb5-53a2-971e-0c02f7273928-9691684.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Liberia-flagged tanker Shenlong Suezmax, carrying crude oil from Saudi Arabia, that arrived clearing the Strait of Hormuz.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Business<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Greek and Liberian-flagged ships first to pass Hormuz since ceasefire<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884580-pos2-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884580\" data-cid=\"9714244\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884580-label-pos2-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/42\/44\/480x270_cmsv2_0824e775-43d5-5b72-a662-19ced38161a0-9714244.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"The Indian flagged LPG carrier Jag Vasant transporting LNG at the Mumbai Port after it arrived clearing the Strait of Hormuz, India, 1 April 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Economy<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Shipping companies seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto\">\n<ul id=\"adb-article-tags\" class=\"c-tags-list\">\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    US-Israel attack on Iran 2026<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Iran war<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Donald Trump<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Markets<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Strait of Hormuz<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"o-article-newsy__aside\">\n<div class=\"c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-1\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-top-stories\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-top-stories\">\n<h2 class=\"c-top-stories__title\">Top stories<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884863-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884863\" data-cid=\"9715624\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884863-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/56\/24\/320x180_cmsv2_0cae5fa5-ef6e-5ae4-a7ed-33295621302d-9715624.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People donate money following a call by Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani to support Iran and Lebanon during the war, Babylon, Iraq, 27 March 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Could billions in frozen Iranian assets help the US unlock a deal?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884926-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884926\" data-cid=\"9715928\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884926-label-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/28\/320x180_cmsv2_f05a629d-47f8-5ecf-951e-45664f32ad67-9715928.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Two traditional dhows sail by a large container ship in the Strait of Hormuz, 19 May 2023\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Confusion reigns over Hormuz reopening as Iran issues new conditions<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2883949-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2883949\" data-cid=\"9711252\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2883949-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/12\/52\/320x180_cmsv2_1c075f9b-2023-591e-a7bf-f93bb41a3082-9711252.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Gas prices are displayed at a patrol station in Munich, Germany, Saturday, 4 April 2026. \" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Why Europe\u2019s energy prices could stay high even if the Iran war ends<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884034-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884034\" data-cid=\"9713985\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884034-label-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/14\/44\/320x180_cmsv2_f72c8ab1-5389-5076-a305-855ac3c936df-9711444.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Pastor Alvaro Esteban cures cheese in Los Cortijos, Ciudad Real, on Friday 10 October 2025.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain&#8217;s warning to the West: Close your borders, wreck your economy<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884807-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884807\" data-cid=\"9715322\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884807-label-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/53\/22\/320x180_cmsv2_48258492-7703-5650-b234-e53ac000c125-9715322.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, 12 March 2026.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Oil pushes past $97 again as markets eye ceasefire doubts<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-2\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto c-most-viewed\">\n<h2 class=\"c-most-viewed__title qa-section-title\">Most read<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__list\">\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">1<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884086-pos1-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884086\" data-cid=\"9711850\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Which were Europe&#8217;s richest and poorest countries in 2025?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">2<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884368-pos2-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884368\" data-cid=\"9713129\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Gas discovery off Egypt&#8217;s coast comes at critical moment for Iran war<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">3<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2883949-pos3-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2883949\" data-cid=\"9711252\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Why Europe\u2019s energy prices could stay high even if the Iran war ends<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">4<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884580-pos4-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884580\" data-cid=\"9714244\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Shipping companies seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span 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alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884726-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1 the-media-object--has-video\" data-nid=\"2884726\" data-cid=\"9715052\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884726-label-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/50\/52\/480x270_cmsv2_ff481c18-a591-52bb-9946-f368ed793fa0-9715052.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Oil tankers and cargo ships line up in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Khor Fakkan, 11 March, 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Iran<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Closing Strait of Hormuz &#8216;completely unacceptable,&#8217; White House says<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884616-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884616\" data-cid=\"9714382\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884616-label-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/69\/16\/84\/480x270_cmsv2_112abe6e-7eb5-53a2-971e-0c02f7273928-9691684.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Liberia-flagged tanker Shenlong Suezmax, carrying crude oil from Saudi Arabia, that arrived clearing the Strait of Hormuz.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Business<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Greek and Liberian-flagged ships first to pass Hormuz since ceasefire<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884580-pos2-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884580\" data-cid=\"9714244\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884580-label-pos2-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/42\/44\/480x270_cmsv2_0824e775-43d5-5b72-a662-19ced38161a0-9714244.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"The Indian flagged LPG carrier Jag Vasant transporting LNG at the Mumbai Port after it arrived clearing the Strait of Hormuz, India, 1 April 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Economy<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Shipping companies seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884863-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884863\" data-cid=\"9715624\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884863-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/56\/24\/320x180_cmsv2_0cae5fa5-ef6e-5ae4-a7ed-33295621302d-9715624.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People donate money following a call by Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani to support Iran and Lebanon during the war, Babylon, Iraq, 27 March 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Could billions in frozen Iranian assets help the US unlock a deal?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884926-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884926\" data-cid=\"9715928\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884926-label-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/28\/320x180_cmsv2_f05a629d-47f8-5ecf-951e-45664f32ad67-9715928.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Two traditional dhows sail by a large container ship in the Strait of Hormuz, 19 May 2023\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Confusion reigns over Hormuz reopening as Iran issues new conditions<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2883949-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--has-video the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2883949\" data-cid=\"9711252\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2883949-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/12\/52\/320x180_cmsv2_1c075f9b-2023-591e-a7bf-f93bb41a3082-9711252.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Gas prices are displayed at a patrol station in Munich, Germany, Saturday, 4 April 2026. \" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Why Europe\u2019s energy prices could stay high even if the Iran war ends<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884034-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884034\" data-cid=\"9713985\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884034-label-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/14\/44\/320x180_cmsv2_f72c8ab1-5389-5076-a305-855ac3c936df-9711444.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Pastor Alvaro Esteban cures cheese in Los Cortijos, Ciudad Real, on Friday 10 October 2025.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain&#8217;s warning to the West: Close your borders, wreck your economy<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884807-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884807\" data-cid=\"9715322\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884807-label-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/53\/22\/320x180_cmsv2_48258492-7703-5650-b234-e53ac000c125-9715322.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, 12 March 2026.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Oil pushes past $97 again as markets eye ceasefire doubts<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884086-pos1-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884086\" data-cid=\"9711850\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div 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stay high even if the Iran war ends<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884580-pos4-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884580\" data-cid=\"9714244\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Shipping companies seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884034-pos5-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884034\" data-cid=\"9713985\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain&#8217;s warning to the West: Close your borders, wreck your economy<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"articleBody\" data-key=\"articleBody\">A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific and well-timed bets on whether the US and Iran would reach a ceasefire on 7 April, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new users.The bets were made hours before a two-week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, even though US President Donald Trump\u2019s rhetoric had escalated sharply and there were few signals that a ceasefire deal was imminent.Earlier in the day, Trump had issued a warning on social media that \u201ca whole civilization will die tonight\u201d if Iran did not meet his demand to open the Strait of Hormuz by his 8 pm Eastern Time (2 am CET) deadline.This is the latest in a series of episodes evolving prediction markets that have raised suspicions over potential insider trading from members of the Trump administration or other US government employees.An analysis of publicly available blockchain data from Polymarket, using the crypto analytics platform Dune, shows that at least 50 accounts placed substantial \u201cYes\u201d bets right before Trump announced the ceasefire in a Truth Social post at around 06:30 pm Eastern Time (00:30 am CET).The wagers were the first bets ever made by these new wallets.One of the accounts, created on the same day, placed roughly $72,000 (\u20ac61,600) in bets at an average price of $0.088. The buy-in for each betting event ranges from $0 to $1 each, reflecting a 0% to 100% chance of what users think could happen.This Polymarket user then cashed out for a profit of $200,000 (\u20ac171,200). Another wallet, which joined the platform the day before, won over $125,500 (\u20ac107,400).A third wallet, created just twelve minutes before Trump\u2019s post, placed $31,908 (\u20ac27,315) of \u201cYes\u201d bets at around $0.33 and is estimated to have earned a profit of $48,500 (\u20ac41,520).The higher price for \u201cYes\u201d at that time reflected the pricing in of reports about the efforts late on Tuesday by the government of Pakistan to get Trump to extend his deadline by two weeks.It is also possible that these Polymarket users placed their bets expecting Trump to back down, given he has frequently made bold threats only to retreat, a phenomenon his critics have derided as \u201cTrump Always Chickens Out\u201d or TACO.Bet settling and user identificationWhile some users reaped handsome profits, others must wait for payouts as Polymarket has labeled the 7 April Iran-US ceasefire contract as \u201cdisputed,\u201d given that Iran was still placing restrictions on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and missile attacks in the region continuedPublic blockchain data cannot identify who controls the new wallets. Polymarket uses proxy smart contract wallets, meaning a single user can create multiple accounts.Only the company has the internal data needed to determine whether these were new users or existing users opening additional accounts.Polymarket has not made any public statement on the issue.Republican Congressman Blake Moore from the state of Utah, who has introduced legislation to regulate prediction markets, stated on Wednesday that \u201cit is highly unlikely that these are good-faith trades, it is much more likely that these are insiders with access to information ahead of the public&#8221;.&#8221;Without some kind of restrictions, there is nothing stopping government or military officials from profiting from their positions,\u201d Moore added.Such bets have repeatedly raised questions from the public as well as from members of Congress about whether some traders are using inside information to profit in these prediction markets.Bipartisan groups of senators as well as representatives have introduced legislation that would broaden the definition of insider trading to include prediction markets.Even the two biggest platforms in the industry, Kalshi and Polymarket, have previously admitted they see a need to broaden the definition of insider trading on their platforms.<\/div>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/business\/2026\/04\/09\/newly-made-polymarket-accounts-won-massively-on-us-iran-ceasefire-bets&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/23\/1200x675_cmsv2_6b74d474-6b82-59df-bde8-a50826f5fd92-9715923.jpg&#8221;] Germany Germany resumes talks with Iran, Chancellor Friedrich Merz says Lebanon Israel&#8217;s cabinet told &#8216;to begin direct negotiations&#8217; with Lebanon USA Trump again berates NATO, calls it &#8216;disappointing&#8217; Health news Plant-food rich diet may cut dementia risk, study finds Germany Germany resumes talks with Iran, Chancellor Friedrich Merz says Lebanon Israel&#8217;s cabinet [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[90],"tags":[226,36],"class_list":["post-1874396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-international","tag-crawlmanager","tag-euronews-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1874396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1874396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1874396\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1874396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1874396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1874396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}