{"id":1873829,"date":"2026-04-09T12:35:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T09:35:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1873829"},"modified":"2026-04-09T12:35:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T09:35:38","slug":"close-your-borders-wreck-your-economy-spain-has-done-the-math-on-clamping-down-migration","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1873829","title":{"rendered":"Close your borders, wreck your economy: Spain has done the math on clamping down migration"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/14\/44\/1200x675_cmsv2_f72c8ab1-5389-5076-a305-855ac3c936df-9711444.jpg&#8221;]<\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884925-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884925\" data-cid=\"9715923\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884925-label-pos1-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/23\/189x106_cmsv2_6b74d474-6b82-59df-bde8-a50826f5fd92-9715923.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE. 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You may face a higher cancer risk, study finds\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884926-pos3-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884926\" data-cid=\"9715928\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884926-label-pos3-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/28\/189x106_cmsv2_f05a629d-47f8-5ecf-951e-45664f32ad67-9715928.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Two traditional dhows sail by a large container ship in the Strait of Hormuz, 19 May 2023\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Iran<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Confusion reigns over Hormuz reopening as Iran issues new conditions\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884897-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884897\" data-cid=\"9715757\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884897-label-pos4-c-latest-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/68\/96\/71\/189x106_cmsv2_0ade2120-58b5-54bd-9448-7828124035b4-9689671.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - The Anthropic website and mobile phone app are shown in this photo, in New York, July 5, 2024\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Tech News<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Court rejects Anthropic appeal over US national security risk label\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884925-pos1-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884925\" data-cid=\"9715923\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884925-label-pos1-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/23\/189x106_cmsv2_6b74d474-6b82-59df-bde8-a50826f5fd92-9715923.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE. Advertisement by Polymarket in New York City, Nov. 4 2025\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Markets<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively on US-Iran ceasefire bets\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884875-pos2-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884875\" data-cid=\"9715684\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884875-label-pos2-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/56\/84\/189x106_cmsv2_04182176-345c-5923-8ee1-03998a6b31b5-9715684.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"People who are or have been married have a lower risk of developing cancer.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Health news<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Never married? You may face a higher cancer risk, study finds\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884926-pos3-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884926\" data-cid=\"9715928\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884926-label-pos3-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/28\/189x106_cmsv2_f05a629d-47f8-5ecf-951e-45664f32ad67-9715928.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Two traditional dhows sail by a large container ship in the Strait of Hormuz, 19 May 2023\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Iran<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Confusion reigns over Hormuz reopening as Iran issues new conditions\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884897-pos4-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2\" data-nid=\"2884897\" data-cid=\"9715757\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884897-label-pos4-c-latest-stories-sidebar\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/68\/96\/71\/189x106_cmsv2_0ade2120-58b5-54bd-9448-7828124035b4-9689671.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - The Anthropic website and mobile phone app are shown in this photo, in New York, July 5, 2024\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Tech News<\/p>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Court rejects Anthropic appeal over US national security risk label\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"helper-site-row o-article-newsy\">\n<div class=\"helper-site-container o-article-newsy__container\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__main\">\n<header class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__header\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumbs\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs\">\n<div id=\"adb-article-breadcrumb\" class=\"c-article-breadcrumbs__list\">\n<p>                          Business<\/p>\n<p>                          Business<\/p><\/div>\n<\/nav>\n<h1 class=\"c-article-redesign-title\">\n                            Close your borders, wreck your economy: Spain has done the math on clamping down migration<\/h1>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-video u-position-relative \">\n<div class=\"js-superdiv u-aspect-ratio-16x9 u-position-relative \" data-sponsored=\"Partner content\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"js-poster-img c-article-media__img\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/14\/44\/1536x864_cmsv2_f72c8ab1-5389-5076-a305-855ac3c936df-9711444.jpg\" width=\"1536\" height=\"864\" loading=\"eager\" alt=\"Pastor Alvaro Esteban cures cheese in Los Cortijos, Ciudad Real, on Friday 10 October 2025.\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-caption u-position-absolute\"><i id=\"article-caption-content\" class=\"c-article-caption__content\"><span class=\"c-article-caption__text\"><br \/>\n              Pastor Alvaro Esteban cures cheese in Los Cortijos, Ciudad Real, on Friday 10 October 2025.<br \/>\n                    <span class=\"u-color-white\">&#8211;\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__copyright\">Copyright\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"c-article-caption__credit\">Bernat Armangue \/ AP<\/span><\/span><\/i><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-image-copyright c-article-image-copyright--novideo\">\n      Copyright\u00a0Bernat Armangue \/ AP\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"h-grid o-article-newsy__main__body u-article-content\">\n<div class=\"o-article-newsy__contributors-publication-date\">\n<div class=\"c-article-contributors\">\n  By&amp;nbspJavier Iniguez De Onzono\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-publication-date\" data-timestamp=\"1775738138\">\n         Published on<br \/>\n            <time datetime=\"2026-04-09 14:35:38 +02:00\">09\/04\/2026 &#8211; 14:35 GMT+2<\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-partage-commentaire-share\"><span>Share<\/span><\/span><span>Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup-overlay js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup-overlay u-display-none\">\n<div id=\"js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup\" class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup js-c-article-partage-commentaire-popup\">\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire-popup__header u-display-flex\"><span>Share<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/icon-close.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" 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u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-bluesky.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"bluesky\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Bluesky<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-bluesky.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"bluesky\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"threads\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Threads<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-threads.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"threads\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><span class=\"u-display-flex u-gap-1 u-show-for-mobile-only\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" alt=\"whatsapp\" loading=\"lazy\"><span>Whatsapp<\/span><\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/vector\/social-icons\/article-redesign-whatsapp.svg\" width=\"48\" height=\"48\" alt=\"whatsapp\" class=\"u-show-for-desktop\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"c-article-summary\">\n        Spain&#8217;s government has modelled what happens if it closes the door on migration. The results make for uncomfortable reading.<br \/>\n    <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-content c-article-content--business js-article-content\">\n<p>Spain&#8217;s government has picked a side in the West&#8217;s biggest political battle \u2014 and it insists it has the data to back it up.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt loading=\"lazy\"><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>While most Western governments race to tighten borders, Prime Minister Pedro S\u00e1nchez is doubling down on open migration, armed with a technical report making the economic case for why pulling back would be a serious mistake.<\/p>\n<p>According to their findings, a 30% annual reduction in migration flows would shrink Spain&#8217;s GDP by 5% within a decade, 14% by 2055 and 22% by 2075, according to projections drawn up by the National Office of Foresight and Strategy (ONPE). <\/p>\n<p>That is not a forecast any government would want on its hands.<\/p>\n<p>The report lands the same week Spain hit a record 22 million employed workers \u2014 a milestone experts partly attribute to sustained migration flows that have accelerated sharply since the pandemic.<\/p>\n<h2>Farms, villages, classrooms<\/h2>\n<p>The consequences of a migration clampdown would reach far beyond the headline GDP figures. <\/p>\n<p>More than 220,000 agri-food farms could be abandoned within 50 years or nearly three in ten of those operating today, deepening Spain&#8217;s chronic rural depopulation crisis. <\/p>\n<p>Up to 2,300 small municipalities, around 20% of the total, could disappear entirely.<\/p>\n<p>Provinces such as Orense and Zamora, where the average age already exceeds 50, face demographic conditions the report compares to the Siberian steppe.<\/p>\n<p>The knock-on effects compound rapidly. Fewer workers means fewer children in schools \u2014 the analysis projects the closure of 32,000 primary classrooms and 18,000 secondary ones. <\/p>\n<p>Rural primary care centres would follow, stripping remaining residents of basic services and accelerating the very decline they are trying to reverse.<\/p>\n<h2>Who is filling the gaps?<\/h2>\n<p>Migrant workers are already propping up sectors the domestic workforce will not go as eagerly. <\/p>\n<p>In agriculture \u2014 where poor conditions on farms in Huelva, Almer\u00eda and inland Catalonia have long drawn criticism from rights groups \u2014 they fill roles that would otherwise go empty. <\/p>\n<p>The report argues that migrants generate between 15% and 25% of the annual increase in average income and do not, contrary to popular assumption, depress the wages or employment prospects of native-born workers.<\/p>\n<p>The politics are equally charged. An express regularisation scheme introduced in 2018 \u2014 due to be revoked in June \u2014 has granted near-automatic residency to around 240,000 Venezuelan citizens. <\/p>\n<p>S\u00e1nchez&#8217;s deal with Podemos at the time also unlocked an extraordinary regularisation programme, pushed by groups such as Regularisation Now, which has long campaigned against exploitative conditions on Spanish farms.<\/p>\n<div class=\"widget widget--type-euronews\nwidget--size-fullwidth\nwidget--align-center\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"widget__wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"widget__figure\">\n<div class=\"auto widget__ratio widget__ratio--16x9\">\n        \n      <\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>No doctors, no carers in an ageing country<\/h2>\n<p>The healthcare system would feel the strain acutely. <\/p>\n<p>With fewer migrant workers arriving, the supply of care could fall by 28% \u2014 just as the number of elderly dependents rises by nearly 60%, according to ONPE analysts. <\/p>\n<p>In cities such as Madrid, 90% of carers are already of migrant origin.<\/p>\n<p>Meeting future care demand would require around 483,600 additional workers on top of current employment levels, analysts say, citing research by BBVA, the University of Cambridge and the OECD. <\/p>\n<p>Those studies are now over a decade old \u2014 meaning the gap may already be wider than the figures suggest.<\/p>\n<p>The medical workforce faces its own crunch. <\/p>\n<p>The Technical Working Group on Migration, made up of nine academics from Spanish universities, estimates a clampdown would reduce the country&#8217;s doctor count by 64,000 specialists \u2014 a serious blow to a public health system already battling growing waiting lists and a profession currently on general strike over working conditions.<\/p>\n<h2>Pensions: Spain&#8217;s eternal economic taboo<\/h2>\n<p>The pension system adds another layer of pressure. <\/p>\n<p>By 2075, analysts estimate each beneficiary would need to contribute an additional \u20ac2,000 to maintain current benefit levels \u2014 though they note a paradox: public finances would actually peak between 2050 and 2060, as Generation X, born during Spain&#8217;s late Franco-era baby boom, completes its retirement. <\/p>\n<p>After that, the fiscal cushion deflates rapidly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>                          Go to accessibility shortcuts<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire u-align-items-center u-display-flex\"><span class=\"c-article-partage-commentaire__links u-align-items-center u-display-flex u-justify-content-center js-c-article-partage-commentaire-share\"><span>Share<\/span><\/span><span>Comments<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-you-might-also-like\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-article-you-might-also-like\">\n<h2 class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__title\">\n        Read more<br \/>\n      <\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-article-you-might-also-like__container\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884059-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884059\" data-cid=\"9711669\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884059-label-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/15\/66\/480x270_cmsv2_abbda4c7-8311-598b-91e2-54f18baa8af1-9711566.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE: Workers work at a construction site in Madrid, Spain, 3 December 2013.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Economy<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain breaks jobs record with 22 million Social Security contributors<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2876115-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2876115\" data-cid=\"9675023\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2876115-label-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/67\/50\/23\/480x270_cmsv2_cba222e7-a041-5418-83bf-dcbc3b0c570b-9675023.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Commissioner Brunner with the minister of Germany, The Netherlands, Greece, Denmark and Austria\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Europe News<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Five EU countries team up to build return hub for migrants<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884034-pos2-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2884034\" data-cid=\"9713985\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884034-label-pos2-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/14\/44\/480x270_cmsv2_f72c8ab1-5389-5076-a305-855ac3c936df-9711444.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Pastor Alvaro Esteban cures cheese in Los Cortijos, Ciudad Real, on Friday 10 October 2025.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Business<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain&#8217;s warning to the West: Close your borders, wreck your economy<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"perf-cv-auto\">\n<ul id=\"adb-article-tags\" class=\"c-tags-list\">\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Survey<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    PSOE<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Spain<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Economy<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-tags-list__item\">\n<p>    Immigration<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"o-article-newsy__aside\">\n<div class=\"c-ad-wrapper o-article-newsy__aside__content-1\" data-ad-name=\"adzone-halfpage\">\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad-halfpage u-show-for-desktop\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-ad u-show-for-mobile-only\">\n<div class=\"c-ad__placeholder\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"c-ad__placeholder__logo\" src=\"https:\/\/static.euronews.com\/website\/images\/logos\/logo-euronews-stacked-outlined-72x72-grey-9.svg\" width=\"72\" height=\"72\" alt><span>ADVERTISEMENT<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"adb-article-top-stories\" class=\"perf-cv-auto c-top-stories\">\n<h2 class=\"c-top-stories__title\">Top stories<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2883949-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2883949\" data-cid=\"9711252\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2883949-label-pos2-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/12\/52\/320x180_cmsv2_1c075f9b-2023-591e-a7bf-f93bb41a3082-9711252.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Gas prices are displayed at a patrol station in Munich, Germany, Saturday, 4 April 2026. \" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Why Europe\u2019s energy 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Advertisement by Polymarket in New York City, Nov. 4 2025\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively on US-Iran ceasefire bets<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-top-stories__item\">\n<article id=\"abe-2884807-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884807\" data-cid=\"9715322\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884807-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/53\/22\/320x180_cmsv2_48258492-7703-5650-b234-e53ac000c125-9715322.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, 12 March 2026.\" height=\"9\" 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c-most-viewed\">\n<h2 class=\"c-most-viewed__title qa-section-title\">Most read<\/h2>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__list\">\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">1<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884086-pos1-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884086\" data-cid=\"9711850\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Which were Europe&#8217;s richest and poorest countries in 2025?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-most-viewed__item\"><span class=\"c-most-viewed__item__number\">2<\/span><\/p>\n<article id=\"abe-2884368-pos2-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884368\" data-cid=\"9713129\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div 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id=\"abe-2884059-label-pos0-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/15\/66\/480x270_cmsv2_abbda4c7-8311-598b-91e2-54f18baa8af1-9711566.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE: Workers work at a construction site in Madrid, Spain, 3 December 2013.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n                    Economy<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain breaks jobs record with 22 million Social Security contributors<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2876115-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-1 m-modeDesktop-1 m-modeXL-1\" data-nid=\"2876115\" data-cid=\"9675023\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2876115-label-pos1-c-article-you-might-also-like__item\" 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src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/12\/52\/320x180_cmsv2_1c075f9b-2023-591e-a7bf-f93bb41a3082-9711252.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Gas prices are displayed at a patrol station in Munich, Germany, Saturday, 4 April 2026. \" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Why Europe\u2019s energy prices could stay high even if the Iran war ends<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884925-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884925\" data-cid=\"9715923\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884925-label-pos3-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/59\/23\/320x180_cmsv2_6b74d474-6b82-59df-bde8-a50826f5fd92-9715923.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE. Advertisement by Polymarket in New York City, Nov. 4 2025\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively on US-Iran ceasefire bets<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884807-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884807\" data-cid=\"9715322\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884807-label-pos4-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/53\/22\/320x180_cmsv2_48258492-7703-5650-b234-e53ac000c125-9715322.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, 12 March 2026.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Oil pushes past $97 again as markets eye ceasefire doubts<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884616-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884616\" data-cid=\"9714382\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884616-label-pos5-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/69\/16\/84\/320x180_cmsv2_112abe6e-7eb5-53a2-971e-0c02f7273928-9691684.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"FILE - Liberia-flagged tanker Shenlong Suezmax, carrying crude oil from Saudi Arabia, that arrived clearing the Strait of Hormuz.\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Greek and Liberian-flagged ships first to pass Hormuz since ceasefire<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884580-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-2 m-modeDesktop-2 m-modeXL-2 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884580\" data-cid=\"9714244\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<figure id=\"abe-2884580-label-pos6-top-stories\" class=\"the-media-object__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"the-media-object__image\" src=\"https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/42\/44\/320x180_cmsv2_0824e775-43d5-5b72-a662-19ced38161a0-9714244.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"The Indian flagged LPG carrier Jag Vasant transporting LNG at the Mumbai Port after it arrived clearing the Strait of Hormuz, India, 1 April 2026\" height=\"9\" width=\"16\"><\/figure>\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Shipping companies seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884086-pos1-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884086\" data-cid=\"9711850\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Which were Europe&#8217;s richest and poorest countries in 2025?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884368-pos2-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884368\" data-cid=\"9713129\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Gas discovery off Egypt&#8217;s coast comes at critical moment for Iran war<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2883949-pos3-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2883949\" data-cid=\"9711252\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Why Europe\u2019s energy prices could stay high even if the Iran war ends<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884580-pos4-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884580\" data-cid=\"9714244\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Shipping companies seek clarity on Strait of Hormuz reopening<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<article id=\"abe-2884059-pos5-mostViewed\" class=\"the-media-object m-modeMobile-3 m-modeDesktop-3 m-modeXL-3 the-media-object--has-related the-media-object--no-label\" data-nid=\"2884059\" data-cid=\"9711669\" data-part-label=\"Partner content\">\n<div class=\"the-media-object__content\">\n<h3 class=\"the-media-object__title  \">\n<p>    Spain breaks jobs record with 22 million Social Security contributors<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"articleBody\" data-key=\"articleBody\">Spain&#8217;s government has picked a side in the West&#8217;s biggest political battle \u2014 and it insists it has the data to back it up.While most Western governments race to tighten borders, Prime Minister Pedro S\u00e1nchez is doubling down on open migration, armed with a technical report making the economic case for why pulling back would be a serious mistake.According to their findings, a 30% annual reduction in migration flows would shrink Spain&#8217;s GDP by 5% within a decade, 14% by 2055 and 22% by 2075, according to projections drawn up by the National Office of Foresight and Strategy (ONPE).That is not a forecast any government would want on its hands.The report lands the same week Spain hit a record 22 million employed workers \u2014 a milestone experts partly attribute to sustained migration flows that have accelerated sharply since the pandemic.Farms, villages, classroomsThe consequences of a migration clampdown would reach far beyond the headline GDP figures.More than 220,000 agri-food farms could be abandoned within 50 years or nearly three in ten of those operating today, deepening Spain&#8217;s chronic rural depopulation crisis.Up to 2,300 small municipalities, around 20% of the total, could disappear entirely.Provinces such as Orense and Zamora, where the average age already exceeds 50, face demographic conditions the report compares to the Siberian steppe.The knock-on effects compound rapidly. Fewer workers means fewer children in schools \u2014 the analysis projects the closure of 32,000 primary classrooms and 18,000 secondary ones.Rural primary care centres would follow, stripping remaining residents of basic services and accelerating the very decline they are trying to reverse.Who is filling the gaps?Migrant workers are already propping up sectors the domestic workforce will not go as eagerly.In agriculture \u2014 where poor conditions on farms in Huelva, Almer\u00eda and inland Catalonia have long drawn criticism from rights groups \u2014 they fill roles that would otherwise go empty.The report argues that migrants generate between 15% and 25% of the annual increase in average income and do not, contrary to popular assumption, depress the wages or employment prospects of native-born workers.The politics are equally charged. An express regularisation scheme introduced in 2018 \u2014 due to be revoked in June \u2014 has granted near-automatic residency to around 240,000 Venezuelan citizens.S\u00e1nchez&#8217;s deal with Podemos at the time also unlocked an extraordinary regularisation programme, pushed by groups such as Regularisation Now, which has long campaigned against exploitative conditions on Spanish farms.No doctors, no carers in an ageing countryThe healthcare system would feel the strain acutely.With fewer migrant workers arriving, the supply of care could fall by 28% \u2014 just as the number of elderly dependents rises by nearly 60%, according to ONPE analysts.In cities such as Madrid, 90% of carers are already of migrant origin.Meeting future care demand would require around 483,600 additional workers on top of current employment levels, analysts say, citing research by BBVA, the University of Cambridge and the OECD.Those studies are now over a decade old \u2014 meaning the gap may already be wider than the figures suggest.The medical workforce faces its own crunch.The Technical Working Group on Migration, made up of nine academics from Spanish universities, estimates a clampdown would reduce the country&#8217;s doctor count by 64,000 specialists \u2014 a serious blow to a public health system already battling growing waiting lists and a profession currently on general strike over working conditions.Pensions: Spain&#8217;s eternal economic tabooThe pension system adds another layer of pressure.By 2075, analysts estimate each beneficiary would need to contribute an additional \u20ac2,000 to maintain current benefit levels \u2014 though they note a paradox: public finances would actually peak between 2050 and 2060, as Generation X, born during Spain&#8217;s late Franco-era baby boom, completes its retirement.After that, the fiscal cushion deflates rapidly.<\/div>\n<p>[analyse_source url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/business\/2026\/04\/09\/close-your-borders-wreck-your-economy-spain-has-done-the-math-on-clamping-down-migration&#8221;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[analyse_image type=&#8221;featured&#8221; src=&#8221;https:\/\/images.euronews.com\/articles\/stories\/09\/71\/14\/44\/1200x675_cmsv2_f72c8ab1-5389-5076-a305-855ac3c936df-9711444.jpg&#8221;] Markets Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively on US-Iran ceasefire bets Health news Never married? You may face a higher cancer risk, study finds Iran Confusion reigns over Hormuz reopening as Iran issues new conditions Tech News Court rejects Anthropic appeal over US national security risk label Markets Newly-made Polymarket accounts won massively [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[90],"tags":[226,36],"class_list":["post-1873829","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-international","tag-crawlmanager","tag-euronews-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1873829","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1873829"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1873829\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1873829"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1873829"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1873829"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}