{"id":1139242,"date":"2019-07-21T01:37:13","date_gmt":"2019-07-20T22:37:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1139242"},"modified":"2019-07-21T01:37:13","modified_gmt":"2019-07-20T22:37:13","slug":"posibil-colaps-economic-prin-deutsche-bank-incorect-politic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1139242","title":{"rendered":"Posibil Colaps Economic Prin Deutsche Bank &#8211; Incorect Politic"},"content":{"rendered":"<article class=\"post-listing post-25701 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail  category-international category-stirea-zilei tag-colaps-economic-deutsche-bank tag-criza-financiara tag-deutsche-bank tag-deutsche-bank-faliment\" id=\"the-post\">\n<div class=\"post-inner\">\n<h1 class=\"name post-title entry-title\"><span>Posibil Colaps Economic Prin Deutsche Bank<\/span><\/h1>\n<div class=\"entry\">\n<header class=\"entry-header clearfix\"><strong>Incorect Politic<\/strong><br \/>\nIulie 21, 2019<\/p>\n<p>Via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.justitiarul.ro\/deutsche-bank-cadavrul-din-gradina\/\">Justi\u021biarul<\/a>:<\/p>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"entry-content clearfix\">\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h1>Deutsche Bank, cadavrul din gr\u0103din\u0103<\/h1>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/deutsche-bank-kaput-620x350-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-25703 aligncenter lazyload\" width=\"620\" height=\"350\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/deutsche-bank-kaput-620x350-1.jpg\" title=\"deutsche-bank-kaput-620x350-1\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-25703 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/deutsche-bank-kaput-620x350-1.jpg\" width=\"620\" height=\"350\" data-eio=\"l\" title=\"deutsche-bank-kaput-620x350-1\"><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00cen caz c\u0103 nu \u0219tia\u021bi avem un cadavru \u00een sistem. Unul care pute teribil, dar despre care toat\u0103 lumea tace. Se nume\u0219te\u00a0<em>Deutsche Bank<\/em>\u00a0\u0219i trage s\u0103 moar\u0103. De ani buni ba se judec\u0103, ba e investigat\u0103, ba se restructureaz\u0103. Indiferent ce-ar face o face prost. \u0218i, \u00een ciuda situa\u021biei destul de jenante \u00een care se afl\u0103, tot \u00ee\u0219i face timp s\u0103 dea lec\u021bii, s\u0103 fac\u0103 prognoze sau s\u0103 emit\u0103 opinii docte. Cum s-ar spune, \u021bie \u00ee\u021bi e inundat\u0103 casa \u0219i vorbe\u0219ti despre necesitatea stringent\u0103 a unei piscine.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ultima gogori\u021b\u0103 lansat\u0103 de\u00a0<em>DB<\/em>\u00a0e restructurarea suprem\u0103. A \u00eenceput s\u0103 renun\u021be la opera\u021biunile globale, s\u0103 concedieze o t\u00e2rl\u0103 de angaja\u021bi \u0219i s\u0103 devin\u0103 mai mic\u0103 pentru a fi mai performant\u0103 din punct de vedere al profitului. C\u0103 despre profit o fi vorba atunci c\u00e2nd ai ton\u0103 de rahat \u00een contabilitate. \u00cen fapt aici e problema, iar restructurarea e o \u00eencercare disperat\u0103 de a salva Titanicul. Numai c\u0103 asta e imposibil.<\/p>\n<p>Chestiunea spinoas\u0103 e c\u0103 lumea a \u00eenceput s\u0103 se prind\u0103. Cei de la Unicredit au renun\u021bat pe ultima sut\u0103 de metri la planificata fuziune cu entitatea care va rezulta din fuziunea\u00a0<em>Deutsche Bank<\/em>\u00a0cu\u00a0<em>Commerzbank<\/em>. Chiar \u0219i fuziunea cu\u00a0<em>Commerzbank<\/em>\u00a0e sub semnul \u00eentreb\u0103rii \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care guvernul german se uit\u0103 str\u00e2mb la num\u0103rul mare de disponibiliz\u0103ri care ar rezulta \u00een urma acestei mega-fuziuni. Numai c\u0103 disponibiliz\u0103rile reprezint\u0103 cea mai mic\u0103 problem\u0103 \u00een toat\u0103 aceast\u0103 ecua\u021bie.<\/p>\n<p>Dup\u0103 ce fondul speculativ\u00a0<em>RenTec<\/em>\u00a0\u2013 unul dintre cele mai performante la nivel mondial \u2013 \u0219i-a retras banii de la\u00a0<em>Deutsche Bank<\/em>\u00a0pentru a evita, \u00een cazul unei pr\u0103bu\u0219iri a b\u0103ncii, o blocare a fondurilor proprii pe o perioad\u0103 nedeterminat\u0103, mi\u0219carea a fost imitatat\u0103 de o groaz\u0103 de al\u021bi juc\u0103tori. Practic s-a declan\u0219at un efect de turm\u0103 de tipul \u201e<em>bank-run<\/em>\u201d, dar generat nu de clien\u021bii de r\u00e2nd ci de contrap\u0103r\u021bile care-\u0219i retrag expunerile lichide de-aici. Este vorba de retrageri care se cifreaz\u0103 la peste 1 mld$\/zi, ceea ce provoac\u0103 o tensiune extrem\u0103 b\u0103ncii.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/deutsche-bank-ok.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-25702 aligncenter lazyload\" width=\"618\" height=\"348\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/deutsche-bank-ok-800x450-1.jpg\" title=\"deutsche-bank-ok-800x450-1\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-25702 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/deutsche-bank-ok-800x450-1.jpg\" width=\"618\" height=\"348\" data-eio=\"l\" title=\"deutsche-bank-ok-800x450-1\"><\/p>\n<p>Ceea ce e interesant de constatat e c\u0103, \u00een timp ce caut\u0103 solu\u021bii de salvare prin disponibiliz\u0103ri masive \u0219i v\u00e2nzare a unor h\u0103lci \u00eentregi de business profitabil la nivel global, banca angajeaz\u0103 pe bani buni echipe private bankeri speciali\u0219ti \u00een administrarea averilor clien\u021bilor boga\u021bi. Tocmai ce au tras o duzin\u0103 de speciali\u0219ti de la\u00a0<em>Credit Suisse<\/em>. A ce altceva poate s\u0103 miroas\u0103 asta dec\u00e2t a disperare dup\u0103 surse?<\/p>\n<p>Personal nu cred \u00een capacitatea\u00a0<em>Deutsche Bank<\/em>\u00a0de a se auto-restructura \u0219i de a se salva. De asemenea, nu cred nici c\u0103 Germania va dori s\u0103 suporte singur\u0103 costurile picajului colosului cu picioare de lut, chiar dac\u0103 respectiva banc\u0103 se afl\u0103 \u00een ograda proprie. Cel mai probabil va pasa ingrata sarcin\u0103 de sus\u021binere a mega-mortului nem\u021besc\u00a0<em>B\u0103ncii Centrale Europene<\/em>\u00a0care-i va administra nelimitat lichiditate astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 se poat\u0103 mi\u0219ca \u00een continuare, \u00een ciuda mor\u021bii clinice \u00een care se afl\u0103. Aici \u00eens\u0103 ar putea interveni ceilal\u021bi membri ai BCE care vor avea tot dreptrul s\u0103 str\u00e2mbe din nas. Nu de alta, dar \u00een timp ce Grecia a fost \u00eempins\u0103 s\u0103-\u0219i v\u00e2nd\u0103 tot ce are prin b\u0103t\u0103tur\u0103 pentru a pl\u0103ti nota de plat\u0103 a statului, nu cred c\u0103 retorica \u201efiecare s\u0103-\u0219i pl\u0103teasc\u0103 pre\u021bul propriei consuma\u021bii\u201d nu va fi pus\u0103 pe mas\u0103. Mai ales \u00een condi\u021biile unei Italii din ce \u00een ce mai g\u0103l\u0103gioase sau a unei Polonii tot mai deranjate de retorica na\u021bionalist-german\u0103 din teritoriul aflat \u00een disput\u0103 tacit\u0103 cu Germania. \u00cen aceste condi\u021bii, monstrul de eficien\u021b\u0103 \u0219i stabilitate Deutsche Bank s-ar putea transforma \u00eentr-o explozie de propor\u021bii cu consecin\u021be radicale pentru \u00eentreaga economie mondial\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u00centr-un asemenea scenariu, pierderile partenerilor ar fi greu de cuantificat. M\u0103 g\u00e2ndesc c\u0103 \u00een cazul nostru pierderea direct\u0103 \u0219i indirect\u0103\u00a0 a b\u0103ncilor ar putea ajunge \u00een momentul de fa\u021b\u0103 la peste 10 mld. EUR. Dac\u0103 punem \u00een balan\u021b\u0103 consecin\u021bele \u00eenghe\u021b\u0103rii liniilor de finan\u021bare nota de plat\u0103 se va duce chiar mai sus de-at\u00e2t. Ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 asta, e deja previzibil:<\/p>\n<p>Un asemenea scenariu ar putea fi evitat dac\u0103 s-ar face un comandament de criz\u0103 care s\u0103 adopte m\u0103suri menite s\u0103 izoleze sistemului bancar autohton de din ce \u00een ce mai toxicele b\u0103nci germane. S-a f\u0103cut a\u0219a ceva? Bine\u00een\u021beles c\u0103 nu. Dar oare nu \u0103sta e pre\u021bul Tutankhamonului? G\u00e2ndi\u021bi-v\u0103 la asta c\u00e2nd o s\u0103 vede\u021bi explod\u00e2nd marele foc de artificii.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dan DIACONU<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"share-post\"><span class=\"share-text\">Share<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"flat-social\">\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https:\/\/www.incorectpolitic.com\/?p=25701\" class=\"social-facebook\" rel=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span>Facebook<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Posibil+Colaps+Economic+Prin+Deutsche+Bank&amp;url=https:\/\/www.incorectpolitic.com\/?p=25701\" class=\"social-twitter\" rel=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span>Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/pinterest.com\/pin\/create\/button\/?url=https:\/\/www.incorectpolitic.com\/?p=25701&amp;description=Posibil+Colaps+Economic+Prin+Deutsche+Bank&amp;media=https:\/\/www.incorectpolitic.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Deutsche-Bank-ok-660x330.jpg\" class=\"social-pinterest\" rel=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span>Pinterest<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/www.incorectpolitic.com\/posibil-colaps-economic-prin-deutsche-bank\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Posibil Colaps Economic Prin Deutsche Bank Incorect Politic Iulie 21, 2019 Via Justi\u021biarul: \u00a0 Deutsche Bank, cadavrul din gr\u0103din\u0103 \u00cen caz c\u0103 nu \u0219tia\u021bi avem un cadavru \u00een sistem. Unul care pute teribil, dar despre care toat\u0103 lumea tace. Se nume\u0219te\u00a0Deutsche Bank\u00a0\u0219i trage s\u0103 moar\u0103. De ani buni ba se judec\u0103, ba e investigat\u0103, ba [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1139243,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[95],"class_list":["post-1139242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-romania","tag-incorectpolitic-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1139242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1139242"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1139242\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1139243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1139242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1139242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1139242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}