{"id":1100013,"date":"2014-08-20T22:20:16","date_gmt":"2014-08-20T19:20:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1100013"},"modified":"2014-08-20T22:20:16","modified_gmt":"2014-08-20T19:20:16","slug":"declin-demografic-accentuat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/?p=1100013","title":{"rendered":"Declin demografic accentuat"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pf-content\">\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/timpolis.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/Pensionari.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Pensionari\" height=\"167\" title=\"Pensionari\" width=\"251\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-9908 lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pensionari-270x180-3.jpg\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Pensionari\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-9908\" height=\"167\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/pensionari-270x180-3.jpg\" title=\"Pensionari\" width=\"251\">Rom\u00e2nia a \u00eenregistrat, \u00een luna iunie, un spor natural negativ de 3.186 persoane, deceda\u0163ii av\u00e2nd un excedent fa\u0163\u0103 de n\u0103scu\u0163ii-vii, la fel ca \u00een luna mai 2014, dar \u015fi fa\u0163\u0103 de aceea\u015fi perioad\u0103 din 2013, conform Institutului Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103. Estim\u0103ri bazate pe evolu\u0163iile demografice de p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent, realizate de c\u0103tre Institutul European de Statistic\u0103 Eurostat, arat\u0103 c\u0103 popula\u0163ia Rom\u00e2niei va sc\u0103dea puternic \u00een urm\u0103torii 50 de ani, noi av\u00e2nd deja \u00een prezent unul dintre cele mai acute declinuri demografice din tot spa\u0163iul european.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\u00a0\n<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Statistici \u00eengrijor\u0103toare<\/strong><br \/><\/h4>\n<p>\n\tConform datelor INS, \u00een luna iunie s-a \u00eenregistrat na\u015fterea a 16.098 de copii, cu 894 mai mul\u0163i dec\u00e2t \u00een luna mai, \u00eens\u0103 num\u0103rul persoanelor ale c\u0103ror decese au fost \u00eenregistrate \u00een iunie a fost de 19.284, cu 1.619 mai pu\u0163ine dec\u00e2t \u00een luna mai.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tSporul natural a fost negativ \u00een iunie, de 3.186 persoane (deceda\u0163ii av\u00e2nd un excedent fa\u0163\u0103 de n\u0103scu\u0163ii-vii), la fel ca \u00een luna mai (5.699 persoane). Num\u0103rul deceselor copiilor cu v\u00e2rst\u0103 sub un an, \u00eenregistrate \u00een luna iunie a fost de 141, \u00een cre\u015ftere fa\u0163\u0103 de luna mai (137 deceda\u0163i sub 1 an).\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tPe de alt\u0103 parte, la oficiile de stare civil\u0103 s-au \u00eenregistrat, tot \u00een luna iunie, 10.054 c\u0103s\u0103torii, cu 666 mai pu\u0163ine dec\u00e2t \u00een luna mai, \u00een timp ce prin hot\u0103r\u00e2ri judec\u0103tore\u015fti definitive \u015fi conform Legii nr. 202\/2010 s-au pronun\u0163at 2.201 divor\u0163uri, cu 75 mai pu\u0163ine dec\u00e2t \u00een luna mai.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tComparativ cu iunie 2013, anul acesta, \u00een acela\u015fi interval, num\u0103rul nou-n\u0103scu\u0163ilor a fost mai mic cu 495, iar num\u0103rul persoanelor care au decedat a fost cu 550 mai mic. Sporul natural a fost negativ \u00een iunie 2014 (-3.186 persoane), la fel ca \u00een luna iunie 2013 (-3.241 persoane). De asemenea, num\u0103rul copiilor cu v\u00e2rst\u0103 sub un an care au decedat a fost cu doar doi mai mare dec\u00e2t \u00een luna iunie 2013.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tTotodat\u0103, num\u0103rul c\u0103s\u0103toriilor a fost cu 2.102 mai mic dec\u00e2t \u00een aceea\u015fi lun\u0103 din anul precedent, iar prin hot\u0103r\u00e2ri judec\u0103tore\u015fti definitive \u015fi conform Legii nr. 202\/2010 s-au pronun\u0163at cu 55 mai pu\u0163ine divor\u0163uri \u00een luna iunie 2014 dec\u00e2t \u00een luna iunie 2013.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tDatele privind fenomenele demografice s-au ob\u0163inut prin prelucrarea informa\u0163iilor cuprinse \u00een buletinele statistice de n\u0103scu\u0163i-vii, decese, c\u0103s\u0103torii \u015fi divor\u0163uri \u00eentocmite de prim\u0103riile municipale, or\u0103\u015fene\u015fti \u015fi comunale, odat\u0103 cu \u00eenregistrarea fenomenelor \u00een actele de stare civil\u0103. Statistica pentru anul 2013 este definitiv\u0103, \u00een timp ce pentru anul 2014 este provizorie.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tPotrivit estim\u0103rilor Eurostat, dac\u0103 actualul declin demografic continu\u0103, popula\u0163ia Rom\u00e2niei va sc\u0103dea la 19,8 milioane de persoane p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een anul 2035, urm\u00e2nd apoi s\u0103 se reduc\u0103, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2060, la 17,3 milioane de locuitori. Conform Eurostat, popula\u0163ia Rom\u00e2niei ar putea sc\u0103dea cu 7,5% p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2035, aceasta fiind a patra sc\u0103dere din spa\u0163iul european, dup\u0103 cele \u00eenregistrate de Bulgaria (-15,3%), Letonia (-12,7%) \u015fi Lituania (-10,6%).\u00a0\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tDac\u0103 prognoza Eurostat se va dovedi a fi corect\u0103, Rom\u00e2nia va avea unul dintre cele mai grave declinuri demo\u00adgrafice din tot spa\u0163iul european. <em>\u201cDin p\u0103cate, nu se observ\u0103 niciun plan efectiv de contracarare a declinului demografic, prin stimularea cre\u015fterii natalit\u0103\u0163ii. \u015ei f\u0103r\u0103 m\u0103suri concrete, situa\u0163ia se va agrava, pe termen mediu \u015fi lung\u201d <\/em>estimeaz\u0103 conf. dr. <strong>Ioan P\u0103\u015fcu\u0163\u0103<\/strong>, \u015feful Catedrei de Sociologie \u2013 Antropologie din cadrul Facult\u0103\u0163ii de Sociologie \u015fi Psihologie a Universit\u0103\u0163ii de Vest.\n<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Migra\u0163ia intern\u0103 atenueaz\u0103 declinul \u00een Timi\u015f<\/strong><br \/><\/h4>\n<p>\n\tTimi\u015ful este un caz relativ atipic din punct de vedere al indicatorilor demografici, \u00een primul r\u00e2nd din cauza migra\u0163iei interne. Cu un centru universitar puternic, la Timi\u015foara, Timi\u015ful reu\u015fe\u015fte s\u0103 atrag\u0103 tineri din alte jude\u0163e. Pe an, prin schimbarea domiciliului, \u00een jude\u0163 au venit 16.000 de persoane \u015fi au plecat 12.000, deci, ca urmare a migra\u0163iei interne exist\u0103 un plus de peste 4.000 de persoane. Dac\u0103 nu ar fi existat acest factor de cre\u015ftere, probabil c\u0103 \u015fi \u00een Timi\u015f s-ar fi \u00eenregistrat sc\u0103deri masive ale num\u0103rului de locuitori.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tTotu\u015fi, fa\u0163\u0103 de num\u0103rul de locuitori ai jude\u0163ului de dinainte de 1989, care ajunsese la 700.000, se \u00eenregistreaz\u0103 \u015fi \u00een Timi\u015f o sc\u0103dere lent\u0103, dar constant\u0103 a popula\u0163iei. Timi\u015ful are \u00een prezent aproximativ 70 de locuitori pe kilometrul p\u0103trat, fa\u0163\u0103 de 80 de locuitori pe kilometrul p\u0103trat, \u00een anii &#8217;80. De asemenea, exist\u0103 mai mult de 120.000 de persoane de peste 60 de ani, fa\u0163\u0103 de 110.000, c\u00e2te erau \u00een 1990.<\/p>\n<div id=\"metaslider-id-56545\" class=\"ml-slider-3-18-9 metaslider metaslider-responsive metaslider-56545 ml-slider nav-hidden nav-hidden nav-hidden\">\n<div id=\"metaslider_container_56545\">\n<ul id=\"metaslider_56545\" class=\"rslides\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/iuliustown.ro\/ro\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"610\" height=\"260\" loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Banner Iulius Town - decembrie 2025 - 610x260\" class=\"slider-56545 slide-60736 lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/banner-iulius-town-decembrie-2025-610x260-1-77.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"610\" height=\"260\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/banner-iulius-town-decembrie-2025-610x260-1-77.png\" class=\"slider-56545 slide-60736\" loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Banner Iulius Town - decembrie 2025 - 610x260\"><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"printfriendly pf-alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/timpolis.ro\/declin-demografic-accentuat\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Printer Friendly, PDF &amp; Email\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Print Friendly, PDF &amp; Email\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/print-button-77.png\" title=\"print-button-77\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/print-button-77.png\" alt=\"Print Friendly, PDF &amp; Email\" title=\"print-button-77\"><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p> Source URL: https:\/\/timpolis.ro\/declin-demografic-accentuat\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rom\u00e2nia a \u00eenregistrat, \u00een luna iunie, un spor natural negativ de 3.186 persoane, deceda\u0163ii av\u00e2nd un excedent fa\u0163\u0103 de n\u0103scu\u0163ii-vii, la fel ca \u00een luna mai 2014, dar \u015fi fa\u0163\u0103 de aceea\u015fi perioad\u0103 din 2013, conform Institutului Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103. Estim\u0103ri bazate pe evolu\u0163iile demografice de p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent, realizate de c\u0103tre Institutul European de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1100014,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[89],"tags":[202],"class_list":["post-1100013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-romania","tag-timpolis-ro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1100013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1100013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1100013\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1100014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1100013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1100013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/analyse.optim.biz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1100013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}